Hospitality Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 17 7 24
2 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 7 19 26
3 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 15 13 28
4 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 14 14 28
5 St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 31 29 60
6 Madison Central High School Madison Central High School Madison Central 30 32 62
7 Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep 26 36 62
8 Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative 40 30 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 1 1 1 3 1 7 Nate Hartwell '24 [1-5]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [1-2]
Katie Bonner '27 [3-5]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 4 3 2 2 3 14 Devon Long '24
Jonah Grumme '26
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 2 2 3 4 4 15 Aidan Castle '25
Lane Burroughs '24
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 3 4 4 1 5 17 Ryder Patterson '26
Charlie Conners '29
Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep 6 5 6 7 2 26 Sammie Johnson '27 [1-5]
Lucy Blair '29 [1-3]
Sutton Warrick '29 [4-5]
Madison Central High School Madison Central High School Madison Central 5 6 7 6 6 30 Maggie Barron '25 [1-3]
Reed Plotner '24 [4-5]
Reed Plotner '24 [1-3]
Maggie Barron '25 [4-5]
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 7 7 5 5 7 31 James Philpott '28 [1-3]
Jacob Boone '28 [4-5]
Connor Scanlon '28 [1-3]
Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative 8 8 8 8 8 40 Levon Picarsic '28 [1-5]
Hannah Butler '26 [1-3]
Lauren Zwiers '24 [4-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 1 1 2 1 2 7 Brody Wilson '29
Charlie Conners '29
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 2 3 1 3 4 13 Karoline Burroughs '26
Jackson Timberlake '27
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 4 2 3 4 1 14 Ruston Breisacher '24
Michael Dawley '26
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 5 4 5 2 3 19 Fisher Key '26 [1-2, 5]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [3-4]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [1-2, 5]
Fisher Key '26 [3-4]
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's 7 5 4 8 5 29 Ford Boone '29 [1-5]
Benjamin Ersin '28 [1-3]
Jackson Marjanovic '28 [4-5]
Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative 3 8 6 5 8 30 Nico Eddleman '28 [1-5]
Colin Starks '28 [1-3]
Gus Eddleman '30 [4-5]
Madison Central High School Madison Central High School Madison Central 6 7 7 6 6 32 Ava Ainsworth '26
Samantha Mcneil '25
Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep 8 6 8 7 7 36 Jefferson Keller '27 [1, 3, 5]
Kennedy Buchanan '27 [2, 4]
Kennedy Buchanan '27 [1, 3]
Jefferson Keller '27 [2, 4]
James Gauthier '27 [5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Jackson CooperativeJackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative11223
Jackson Preparatory SchoolJackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep22334
Madison Central High SchoolMadison Central High School Madison Central33445
St. Andrews Episcopal SchoolSt. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's44556
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals55667
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 166778
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 277881
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA88112

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Jackson CooperativeJackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative55667
Jackson Preparatory SchoolJackson Preparatory School Jackson Prep66778
Madison Central High SchoolMadison Central High School Madison Central77881
St. Andrews Episcopal SchoolSt. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrew's88112
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals11223
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 122334
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 233445
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA44556
School / Team SkipperCrew
Jackson Cooperative Jackson Cooperative Levon Picarsic '28 [1-5] Hannah Butler '26 [1-3]
Lauren Zwiers '24 [4-5]
Jackson Cooperative Nico Eddleman '28 [1-5] Colin Starks '28 [1-3]
Gus Eddleman '30 [4-5]
Jackson Preparatory School Jackson Preparatory School Sammie Johnson '27 [1-5] Lucy Blair '29 [1-3]
Sutton Warrick '29 [4-5]
Jackson Prep Jefferson Keller '27 [1, 3, 5]
Kennedy Buchanan '27 [2, 4]
Kennedy Buchanan '27 [1, 3]
Jefferson Keller '27 [2, 4]
James Gauthier '27 [5]
Madison Central High School Madison Central High School Maggie Barron '25 [1-3]
Reed Plotner '24 [4-5]
Reed Plotner '24 [1-3]
Maggie Barron '25 [4-5]
Madison Central Ava Ainsworth '26 Samantha Mcneil '25
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Aidan Castle '25 Lane Burroughs '24
Rock-A-Chaws 1 Karoline Burroughs '26 Jackson Timberlake '27
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Devon Long '24 Jonah Grumme '26
Rock-A-Chaws 2 Ruston Breisacher '24 Michael Dawley '26
St. Andrews Episcopal School St. Andrews Episcopal School James Philpott '28 [1-3]
Jacob Boone '28 [4-5]
Connor Scanlon '28 [1-3]
St. Andrew's Ford Boone '29 [1-5] Benjamin Ersin '28 [1-3]
Jackson Marjanovic '28 [4-5]
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Nate Hartwell '24 [1-5] Anna Christian Moore '26 [1-2]
Katie Bonner '27 [3-5]
Cardinals Fisher Key '26 [1-2, 5]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [3-4]
Anna Christian Moore '26 [1-2, 5]
Fisher Key '26 [3-4]
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA Ryder Patterson '26 Charlie Conners '29
SEISA Brody Wilson '29 Charlie Conners '29

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1014.3 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SE (128°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover63% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1014.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Stanislaus: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.71 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Stanislaus by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at St. Stanislaus, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →