MDISA Kent Island T2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 7 6 13
2 Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 27 19 46
3 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 23 23 46
4 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 22 28 50
5 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 33 31 64
6 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 28 40 68
7 Gunston Gunston Herons 43 30 73
8 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 43 54 97
9 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 50 52 102
10 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 54 49 103
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 Will Mohler '27
Lila Knoepfle '27
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 1 2 4 7 5 3 22 Tomas Coloton '27
Dylan Thomas '26
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 5 5 3 2 2 6 23 Nathaniel Wyman '28
Ian Kyriakou '27
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 3 4 2 10 4 4 27 Lance Shrum '25
Finn Urie '26
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 6 7 5 5 3 2 28 Thomas Birchfield '27 [1-6]
Freyja Raines '27 [1-4]
Owen Myers '29 [5-6]
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 4 3 7 8 6 5 33 Marco Gessner Pilotto '25
Sam Leblanc '25
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 7 6 6 6 9 9 43 John Wills '25
Ashley Kroeger '26
Gunston Gunston Herons 8 8 8 4 7 8 43 Annabelle Sinatra '24
Alix Allison '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 9 9 9 3 10 10 50 Ella Chasse '27
Oliver Stewart '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 10 10 10 9 8 7 54 George Macmillian '29 [1-6]
Audrey Valentino '24 [1-2]
Benjamin Kennedy '27 [3-4]
Ben Billets '27 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Chris Hanson '27
Char Wilkin '26
Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Baltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots 2 4 2 2 5 4 19 Holden Shrum '28
Aliana Shrum '26
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 8 3 4 4 2 2 23 Nathan Joseph '24
Emerson Stehl '26
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 4 5 7 5 4 3 28 Adam Kurpiewski '27
Gabby Hartigan '26
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 6 5 3 3 7 30 Preston Allen '27
Justin Mccubbin '25
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Vikings 9 2 3 6 6 5 31 Luke Johnson '25
Grace Shields '25
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 3 7 6 7 8 9 40 Nolan Wingate '28
Annabelle Yurko '29
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 5 8 9 8 9 10 49 Henry Macmillan '26 [1-4]
Gavin Klakring '27 [5-6]
Alejandro Piquero '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Lavoie '27 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 9 10 10 10 6 52 Skyler Krinetz '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Peter Bishop '28 [3-4]
Caleb Carrasco '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights DNF DNS 8 9 7 8 54 No Show [1-2]
Gavin Klakring '27 [3-4]
Henry Macmillan '26 [5-6]
No Show [1-2]
Lila Gottenberg '25 [3-4]
Mark Driver '27 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers113355
Baltimore Polytechnic InstituteBaltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots224466
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights335577
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers66881010
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers779911
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals88101022
GunstonGunston Herons557799
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans991133
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings10102244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466
Baltimore Polytechnic InstituteBaltimore Polytechnic Institute Poly Parrots335577
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights446688
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins557799
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers779911
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers88101022
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals991133
GunstonGunston Herons66881010
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans10102244
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Vikings113355

Conditions — 09/17/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 15.8 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →