Archbishop Spalding '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.40 (fleet 0.69) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.03 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–17 (6%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–17 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 1–17 against 3.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | MASSA Baker Qualifier | skipper | 0.54 | -1.65 | 1–17 | 3.1 | −2.18 | 2.2 | 99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA St. Marys Ryken Tier 2 Fleet | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.2 | 1.13 |
| MDISA SSPP T2 Fleet | Skipper | A | 2 | 3.5 | 1.42 |
| MASSA Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 18 | 6% | — |
| 2025 T1 Fleet Championship | Skipper | A | 5 | 10.0 | 0.74 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA JV Championship | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.8 | 0.58 |
| MDISA BCSC Tier 2 September Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.8 | 0.14 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA TAYC Fleet | Skipper | A | 7 | 8.6 | 0.26 |
| MDISA St. Marys Ryken Tier 3 Fleet | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.2 | 0.56 |
| MDISA BCSC May Tier 2 Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 11.8 | -0.50 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| MDISA Kent Island T2 | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.7 | 0.63 |
| MDISA Gunston Fall '23 T3 | Skipper | B | 5 | 10.6 | -0.91 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
