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MISSA Great Oaks Qualifier Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 15 15
2 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 22 22
3 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 23 23
4 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 24 24
5 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 25 25
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 26 26
7 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 26 26
8 St Marys Prep St Marys Prep Varsity 29 29
9 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 30 30
10 Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 32 32
11 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 36 36
12 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Varsity 42 42
13 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 55 MRP 55 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 1 1 9 4 15 Charles Gallagher '25
David Hand '25
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 2 6 2 12 22 Finn Mahoney '25 [1-2]
Jack Calfee '26 [3-4]
Ellie Hutchings '26 [1-2]
Finn Mahoney '25 [3-4]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 8 5 5 5 23 Connor Coate '25
Jacob Hartong '26
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 7 8 7 2 24 Levi Gell '24
Gavin Parsons '24
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 6 7 4 8 25 Andrew Roeder '26
Simon Hegg '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 9 4 12 1 26 Miles Kohn '25 [1-3]
Aarush Kapur '25 [4]
Krish Reddy '26 [1, 4]
Aarush Kapur '25 [2-3]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers DSQ 2 3 7 26 Adler Johnston '27 [1-4]
Frank Wildi '25 [1-2]
Lia Nafe '25 [3-4]
St Marys Prep St Marys Prep Varsity 10 3 6 10 29 Jamie Stewart '27
Eli Budde '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 4 12 11 3 30 Erin Degrazia '27 [1-2]
Claire Fagan '26 [3-4]
Claire Fagan '26 [1-2]
Erin Degrazia '27 [3-4]
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans 11 11 1 9 32 Olivia Chigas '24 [1-2]
Watson Conant '26 [3-4]
Cole Summers '27 [1-2]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 3 10 10 13 36 Ryan Ellison '28 [1-2]
Sean Ellison '25 [3]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [4]
Nate Bacheller '24 [1-2]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [3]
Sean Ellison '25 [4]
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Varsity 5 13 13 11 42 Luciana Palazeti '27
Luca Orsini '27
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 12 9 8 6 55 MRP Macy Savage '27
Sadie Savage '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers11111212
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity21212222
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue12121313
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity13131414
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity14141515
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity15151616
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy Varsity16161717
Glenbrook South High SchoolGlenbrook South High School Titans17171818
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers18181919
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots19192121
St Marys PrepSt Marys Prep Varsity22222323
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals23232424
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black24241111
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers Levi Gell '24 Gavin Parsons '24
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity Ryan Ellison '28 [1-2]
Sean Ellison '25 [3]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [4]		 Nate Bacheller '24 [1-2]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [3]
Sean Ellison '25 [4]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue Erin Degrazia '27 [1-2]
Claire Fagan '26 [3-4]		 Claire Fagan '26 [1-2]
Erin Degrazia '27 [3-4]
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity Charles Gallagher '25 David Hand '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity Miles Kohn '25 [1-3]
Aarush Kapur '25 [4]		 Krish Reddy '26 [1, 4]
Aarush Kapur '25 [2-3]
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity Macy Savage '27 Sadie Savage '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Varsity Luciana Palazeti '27 Luca Orsini '27
Glenbrook South High School Glenbrook South High School Titans Olivia Chigas '24 [1-2]
Watson Conant '26 [3-4]		 Cole Summers '27 [1-2]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers Adler Johnston '27 [1-4] Frank Wildi '25 [1-2]
Lia Nafe '25 [3-4]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots Connor Coate '25 Jacob Hartong '26
St Marys Prep St Marys Prep Varsity Jamie Stewart '27 Eli Budde '24
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals Finn Mahoney '25 [1-2]
Jack Calfee '26 [3-4]		 Ellie Hutchings '26 [1-2]
Finn Mahoney '25 [3-4]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black Andrew Roeder '26 Simon Hegg '24

Conditions — 09/24/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From NE (49°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover23% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brother Rice (MI)/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.37)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brother Rice (MI)/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Brother Rice (MI)/Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →