Monk Smith GOQ

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings 8 8
2 UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 10 10
3 Rocky Bayou Christian School Rocky Bayou Christian School RBCS 23 23
4 Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 24 24
5 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 28 28
6 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 1 28 28
7 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 5 39 39
8 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 41 41
9 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 47 47
10 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 48 48
11 St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 54 54
12 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 59 59
13 Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 1 62 62
14 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 1 68 68
15 Long Beach High School Long Beach High School Varsity 1 77 77
16 Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 2 84 84
17 Long Beach High School Long Beach High School Varsity 2 85 85
18 Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 2 87 87
19 Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Bay High 93 93
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings 1 1 1 2 3 8 Alec Ward '26
Cole Rewis '26
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity 3 3 2 1 1 10 Noah Gautier '28
Alexander Bridges '27
Rocky Bayou Christian School Rocky Bayou Christian School RBCS 4 2 7 6 4 23 John Douglas Harrison '26
Levi Reid '26
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles 2 9 3 3 7 24 Aidyn James '25 [1-5]
Nolan James '28 [1-2, 5]
Levi Shaw '28 [3-4]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 7 5 5 5 6 28 Aidan Castle '25 [1, 4-5]
Ruston Breisacher '24 [2-3]
Lane Burroughs '24 [1, 4-5]
Michael Dawley '26 [2-3]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 1 8 10 4 4 2 28 Cruz Dabney '26 [1-2]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [3-5]
Axel Jackson '26 [1-2]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 5 6 8 8 12 5 39 Karoline Burroughs '26
Emma Harris '27
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 5 4 12 10 10 41 Devon Long '24
Alexandra Bujan '24
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 9 7 11 7 13 47 Brockton Norris '24 [1-5]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [1-2]
Cruz Dabney '26 [3-5]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 13 6 6 11 12 48 Jackson Timberlake '27
Jason Zhang '27
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals 11 13 9 13 8 54 Fisher Key '26
Anna Christian Moore '26
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 10 15 10 9 15 59 Landon Newton '26
Kade Johnston '26
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 1 14 11 13 15 9 62 Dixon Mckenzie '24 [1-2, 5]
Jackson Goffinet '26 [3-4]
Lanee Imperato '25 [1-4]
Courtney Baker '25 [5]
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 1 16 16 14 8 14 68 Charlie Conner '26
Long Beach High School Long Beach High School Varsity 1 15 17 DNF 14 11 77 Amelia Clark '29
Tenly Ruhlman '29
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 2 12 12 DNF DNS DNS 84 Ryder Patterson '26
Long Beach High School Long Beach High School Varsity 2 19 19 15 16 16 85 Jonathan Mate '28
Brinkley Cauldfield '29
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 2 17 14 16 DNS DNS 87 Ben Klecker '26 [1-4]
No Show [5]
Courtney Baker '25 [1-2]
Gavin Williams '28 [3-4]
No Show [5]
Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Bay High 18 18 17 DNS DNF 93 Sachin Desilva '26
Jackson Lee '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bay High School (FL)Bay High School (FL) Bay High11111
Bayshore Christian SchoolBayshore Christian School Eagles22222
Bayside AcademyBayside Academy Bayside Sailing 133333
Bayside AcademyBayside Academy Bayside Sailing 21010101010
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates 144444
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Pirates 21111111111
Ft. Walton Beach High SchoolFt. Walton Beach High School Vikings88888
Long Beach High SchoolLong Beach High School Varsity 11616161616
Long Beach High SchoolLong Beach High School Varsity 28888888888
Rocky Bayou Christian SchoolRocky Bayou Christian School RBCS99999
St. Michael Catholic High SchoolSt. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals55555
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 166666
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 21414141414
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 31515151515
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 41212121212
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 51313131313
UMS-WrightUMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity77777
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA 1835835835835835
Unregistered-SEISAUnregistered-SEISA SEISA 22424242424
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bay High School (FL) Bay High School (FL) Bay High Sachin Desilva '26 Jackson Lee '27
Bayshore Christian School Bayshore Christian School Eagles Aidyn James '25 [1-5] Nolan James '28 [1-2, 5]
Levi Shaw '28 [3-4]
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 1 Dixon Mckenzie '24 [1-2, 5]
Jackson Goffinet '26 [3-4]
Lanee Imperato '25 [1-4]
Courtney Baker '25 [5]
Bayside Academy Bayside Academy Bayside Sailing 2 Ben Klecker '26 [1-4]
No Show [5]
Courtney Baker '25 [1-2]
Gavin Williams '28 [3-4]
No Show [5]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 1 Cruz Dabney '26 [1-2]
Coleman Kennedy '25 [3-5]
Axel Jackson '26 [1-2]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Pirates 2 Brockton Norris '24 [1-5] Coleman Kennedy '25 [1-2]
Cruz Dabney '26 [3-5]
Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings Alec Ward '26 Cole Rewis '26
Long Beach High School Long Beach High School Varsity 1 Amelia Clark '29 Tenly Ruhlman '29
Long Beach High School Long Beach High School Varsity 2 Jonathan Mate '28 Brinkley Cauldfield '29
Rocky Bayou Christian School Rocky Bayou Christian School RBCS John Douglas Harrison '26 Levi Reid '26
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 1 Aidan Castle '25 [1, 4-5]
Ruston Breisacher '24 [2-3]
Lane Burroughs '24 [1, 4-5]
Michael Dawley '26 [2-3]
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 2 Devon Long '24 Alexandra Bujan '24
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 3 Landon Newton '26 Kade Johnston '26
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 Jackson Timberlake '27 Jason Zhang '27
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 5 Karoline Burroughs '26 Emma Harris '27
St. Michael Catholic High School St. Michael Catholic High School Cardinals Fisher Key '26 Anna Christian Moore '26
UMS-Wright UMS-Wright Bulldogs - Varsity Noah Gautier '28 Alexander Bridges '27
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 1 Charlie Conner '26
Unregistered-SEISA Unregistered-SEISA SEISA 2 Ryder Patterson '26

Conditions — 10/14/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1012.5 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.5 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From WNW (302°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1012.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Stanislaus: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Stanislaus by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at St. Stanislaus, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →