NYISA-NW Fall League Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 1 10 13 23
2 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 1 12 17 29
3 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 8 21 29
4 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 13 19 32
5 St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 19 20 39
6 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 1 30 17 47
7 West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 2 33 21 54
8 Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 32 32 64
9 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 2 30 36 66
10 Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 3 43 26 69
11 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 3 34 42 76
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 2 1 1 4 8 Mason Howell '24
Sophie Kimelberg '26
West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 1 3 2 4 1 10 Juliana Lanz '26
Genevieve Heiermann '26
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 1 1 3 5 3 12 Jack Riley '25
Ian Bren '25
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 4 4 3 2 13 Emmett Benedicto '28
James Jiang '26
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 6 5 2 6 19 Josh Elliott '24
Mathew Terry '26
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 1 5 10 10 5 30 Philipp Meyer '24
Matt Lefler '24
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 2 8 8 7 7 30 Jack Colburn '29
Annika Hedin '25
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 7 7 8 10 32 Samuel Ferguson '23
Travis Modzelewski '25
West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 2 9 9 6 9 33 Matt Baker '26
Aj Bondi '26
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 3 11 6 9 8 34 Avi Whitmore '29
Ethan Arnone '29
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 3 10 11 11 11 43 Duncan Jorgenson '28
Levi Mayer '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 1 3 6 1 3 13 Isaac Aymerich '26
Cooper Petzing '26
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 1 2 3 10 2 17 Nolan Lefler '25
Aiden Dearman '26
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 1 4 7 2 4 17 Matthew Murad '26
Joe Marynowski '24
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 2 6 5 7 1 19 Olive Donaghy '27
Ishan Albrecht-Buehler '27
St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute St. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders 9 2 3 6 20 Benjamin Mazurkiewicz '25
Daniel Piazza '26
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 1 1 1 11 8 21 Richard Lagutaine '24
Tiffany Jiang '24
West Irondequoit West Irondequoit Eagles 2 7 4 5 5 21 Chase Werner '26 [1-4]
Violet Richter '27 [1-3]
Susan Bondi '27 [4]
Nichols School Nichols School Vikings 3 5 10 4 7 26 Emmett Benedicto '28
Ishan Albrecht-Buehler '27
Canisius High School Canisius High School Crusaders 2 8 9 6 9 32 Alex Emblidge '29
Brendan Copeland '26
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 2 10 8 8 10 36 Jack Ballard '29
Hannah Dearman '24
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 3 11 11 9 11 42 Jack Ballard '29
Tommy Clark '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 11122
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 22233
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 13344
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 24455
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 35566
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans 16677
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans 27788
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans 38899
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders991010
West IrondequoitWest Irondequoit Eagles 110101111
West IrondequoitWest Irondequoit Eagles 211111212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 112121313
Canisius High SchoolCanisius High School Crusaders 213131414
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 114141515
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 215151616
Nichols SchoolNichols School Vikings 316161717
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans 117171818
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans 218181919
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans 319192020
St. Joseph's Collegiate InstituteSt. Joseph's Collegiate Institute Marauders20202121
West IrondequoitWest Irondequoit Eagles 121212222
West IrondequoitWest Irondequoit Eagles 2222211

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1024.4 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.5 kn
Gusts to 9.9 kn
From NNE (19°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover85% Sunshine5.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1024.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southwestern Central: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southwestern Central by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Southwestern Central: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →