West Irondequoit '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 (fleet 1.28) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–17 (6%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 1–17 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 1–17 against 1.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-27 | MASSA Team Championship and Baker Qualifier | skipper | 0.82 | 0.23 | 1–17 | 1.5 | −0.59 | 0.2 | 80% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-NW Fall Fleet Qualifier | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.2 | -0.19 |
| MASSA 2025 Fall Fleet Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 14.1 | 0.86 |
| NYISA-NW Fall Jamboree Fleet Race | Crew | A | 4 | 4.0 | -0.73 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-NW State High School Sailing Championship | Skipper | A | 12 | 3.6 | -0.25 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-NW Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.0 | 2.31 |
| MASSA Fall Fleet Championship | Skipper | B | 15 | 9.4 | 1.41 |
| NYISA-NW Fall Jamboree Regatta | Crew | B | 2 | 3.0 | — |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-NW Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.4 | 0.90 |
| New York State Champs | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.0 | 1.03 |
| MASSA Team Championship and Baker Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 18 | 6% | — |
| MASSA 2024 Fleet Championship & Mallory Qualifier | Skipper | A | 14 | 15.1 | -1.01 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| NYISA-NW Fall League Qualifier | Skipper | B | 4 | 3.2 | 1.16 |
| MASSA Fall Gold Championships | Skipper | B | 7 | 17.4 | -2.29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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