MASSA 2025 Fall Fleet Championship

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date10/25/2025
TypeDistrict Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Severn School	Admirals	30	8	38
2	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	33	35	68
3	Southern Regional High School	Rams	33	37	70
4	Christchurch School	Seahorses	40	47	87
5	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	51	69	120
6	Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	24	97	121
7	The Stony Brook School	Bears	77	57	134
8	Key School	Zags	80	67	147
9	Hampton Roads Academy	Navigators	80	89	169
10	Leonardtown High School	Raiders	66	105	171
11	West Irondequoit	Eagles	113	59	172
12	Ridge High School	Red Devils	109	70	179
13	St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	95	85	180
14	Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	84	109	193
15	Henderson High School	Warriors	96	110	206
16	Kecoughtan High School	Warriors	135	83	218
17	Nardin Academy	Gators	103	116	219
18	Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	120	125	245

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	1	1	4	3	1	6	6	2	24	James Allgeier '27 Eliana Mopper '26
Severn School	Admirals	6	3	6	1	7	1	5	1	30	Annie Sitzmann '26 Annabelle Ulak '26
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	3	2	1	7	4	2	4	10	33	Christopher Small '26 Christian Diaz '28
Southern Regional High School	Rams	4	6	2	5	3	5	1	7	33	Jude Ryon '27 Sergio Santos '28
Christchurch School	Seahorses	7	8	9	4	2	4	3	3	40	Wylder Smith '27 Sarah Moore '29
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	2	5	5	10	12	11	2	4	51	Liam Marcell '26 Grace Torpey '26
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	5	11	3	12	10	8	9	8	66	Xander Moulds '29 Catherine Hicks '28
The Stony Brook School	Bears	9	4	DSQ	11	5	7	11	11	77	Arancha Rivero-Ansed '27 [1-8] Nora Beaver '27 [1-4, 7-8] Gisele Brandao '27 [5-6]
Key School	Zags	8	15	10	6	13	10	12	6	80	Casey Burman '28 [1-8] Paige Asbill '31 [1-4, 7-8] Ben Coster '31 [5-6]
Hampton Roads Academy	Navigators	17	12	7	2	15	3	8	16	80	Charlie Moore '27 [1-8] Daphne Ambrosino '27 [1-2] Josie Brindley '26 [3-8]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	10	10	14	14	8	13	10	5	84	Gene Williams '29 Daniel Schwaninger '26
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	16	13	11	9	14	9	14	9	95	Halsey Carter '26 Barrett Mouritzen '28
Henderson High School	Warriors	13	7	13	16	9	14	7	17	96	Drew Defonzo '26 Ashton Becker '27
Nardin Academy	Gators	12	9	17	8	16	15	13	13	103	Isabella Donovan '27 Olivia Malic '28
Ridge High School	Red Devils	11	14	12	18	6	17	16	15	109	James Mccarthy '26 Jack Schlenker '26
West Irondequoit	Eagles	15	16	15	15	11	12	15	14	113	Isaac Aymerich '26 [1-8] Noah Saks '29 [1-4, 7-8] Genevieve Heiermann '26 [5-6]
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	18	18	8	13	17	16	18	12	120	Ryan D'Orsi '26 Lucas Romano '28
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors	14	17	16	17	18	18	17	18	135	Kieran Mason '26 Piper Cartwright '29

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Severn School	Admirals	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	8	Harrison Szot '27 Hudson Grow '28
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	2	2	4	3	10	9	2	3	35	Cole Buczkowski '27 Christopher Reed '28
Southern Regional High School	Rams	3	8	2	6	9	3	4	2	37	Gannon Botwinick '27 Ella Linkewich '28
Christchurch School	Seahorses	4	7	3	5	4	8	6	10	47	Sam De Los Reyes '26 Rivers Hickey '28
The Stony Brook School	Bears	7	9	11	4	2	7	11	6	57	Carlos Gonzalez '28 Eric Panebianco '29
West Irondequoit	Eagles	13	6	7	2	11	4	7	9	59	Juliana Lanz '26 [1-8] Madelyn Principe '28 [1-6] Cooper Petzing '26 [7-8]
Key School	Zags	14	5	16	7	3	5	3	14	67	Trey Waters '29 [1-2, 5-6] Ethan Purdon '29 [3-4, 7-8] Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-2] Charlotte Lian '29 [3-4, 7-8] Gideon Santana '28 [5-6]
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	9	10	6	10	6	15	5	8	69	Cameron Hart '27 [1-4, 7-8] Henry Hull '29 [5-6] Anna Hnatt '28 [1-4, 7-8] Julianna Brooksbank '28 [5-6]
Ridge High School	Red Devils	11	3	5	8	16	10	13	4	70	Mae Schlenker '28 Katherine Chen '29
Kecoughtan High School	Warriors	12	17	9	9	5	11	15	5	83	William Chapman '28 [1-8] Sullivan Downs '28 [1-6] Piper Cartwright '29 [7-8]
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	8	11	12	15	7	13	8	11	85	James Chapman '27 [1-8] Delaney Carter '28 [1-2, 7-8] Aurelea Cerny '30 [3-6]
Hampton Roads Academy	Navigators	5	4	17	17	8	6	14	18	89	Madeline Monteith '29 [1-4, 7-8] Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [5-6] Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [1-4, 7-8] Daphne Ambrosino '27 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	18	18	13	12	12	2	9	13	97	Margaret Poston '28 [1-2, 5-8] Grant Fernandez '27 [3-4] Juliana Libby '28 [1-2, 5-8] Owen Peluso '26 [3-4]
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	17	12	14	14	13	12	16	7	105	Everett Moulds '26 Sam Glauner '27
Sts. Peter & Paul	Sabres	10	14	10	11	18	18	12	16	109	Justin Callahan '29 [1-8] Abby Tucker '28 [1-2, 7-8] Ian Cox '29 [3-6]
Henderson High School	Warriors	6	15	15	13	15	14	17	15	110	Peter Mazzagatti '26 Parker Li '26
Nardin Academy	Gators	16	16	8	16	14	16	18	12	116	Josie Riley '27 Clara Riley '29
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Pirates	15	13	18	18	17	17	10	17	125	Colby Christian '27 Dean Romain '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Christchurch School Seahorses	1	1	3	3	5	5	8	8
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	2	2	4	4	7	7	9	9
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	3	3	5	5	8	8	11	11
Hampton Roads Academy Navigators	4	4	7	7	9	9	12	12
Kecoughtan High School Warriors	7	7	9	9	12	12	14	14
Key School Zags	8	8	11	11	13	13	15	15
Leonardtown High School Raiders	9	9	12	12	14	14	16	16
Nardin Academy Gators	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Henderson High School Warriors	5	5	8	8	11	11	13	13
Ridge High School Red Devils	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	18	18	20	20	2	2	4	4
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20
Severn School Admirals	15	15	17	17	19	19	1	1
Southern Regional High School Rams	16	16	18	18	20	20	2	2
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	17	17	19	19	1	1	3	3
The Stony Brook School Bears	19	19	1	1	3	3	5	5
West Irondequoit Eagles	20	20	2	2	4	4	7	7

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Christchurch School Seahorses	2	2	4	4	7	7	9	9
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	3	3	5	5	8	8	11	11
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	4	4	7	7	9	9	12	12
Hampton Roads Academy Navigators	5	5	8	8	11	11	13	13
Kecoughtan High School Warriors	8	8	11	11	13	13	15	15
Key School Zags	9	9	12	12	14	14	16	16
Leonardtown High School Raiders	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Nardin Academy Gators	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Henderson High School Warriors	7	7	9	9	12	12	14	14
Ridge High School Red Devils	14	14	16	16	18	18	20	20
Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres	19	19	1	1	3	3	5	5
Seton Hall Preparatory School Pirates	15	15	17	17	19	19	1	1
Severn School Admirals	16	16	18	18	20	20	2	2
Southern Regional High School Rams	17	17	19	19	1	1	3	3
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	18	18	20	20	2	2	4	4
The Stony Brook School Bears	20	20	2	2	4	4	7	7
West Irondequoit Eagles	1	1	3	3	5	5	8	8

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Christchurch School	Wylder Smith '27	Sarah Moore '29
Seahorses	Sam De Los Reyes '26	Rivers Hickey '28
Christian Brothers Academy	Christopher Small '26	Christian Diaz '28
Colts	Cole Buczkowski '27	Christopher Reed '28
Donovan Catholic High School	Liam Marcell '26	Grace Torpey '26
Griffins	Cameron Hart '27 [1-4, 7-8] Henry Hull '29 [5-6]	Anna Hnatt '28 [1-4, 7-8] Julianna Brooksbank '28 [5-6]
Hampton Roads Academy	Charlie Moore '27 [1-8]	Daphne Ambrosino '27 [1-2] Josie Brindley '26 [3-8]
Navigators	Madeline Monteith '29 [1-4, 7-8] Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [5-6]	Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [1-4, 7-8] Daphne Ambrosino '27 [5-6]
Henderson High School	Drew Defonzo '26	Ashton Becker '27
Warriors	Peter Mazzagatti '26	Parker Li '26
Kecoughtan High School	Kieran Mason '26	Piper Cartwright '29
Warriors	William Chapman '28 [1-8]	Sullivan Downs '28 [1-6] Piper Cartwright '29 [7-8]
Key School	Casey Burman '28 [1-8]	Paige Asbill '31 [1-4, 7-8] Ben Coster '31 [5-6]
Zags	Trey Waters '29 [1-2, 5-6] Ethan Purdon '29 [3-4, 7-8]	Elizabeth Roesch '27 [1-2] Charlotte Lian '29 [3-4, 7-8] Gideon Santana '28 [5-6]
Leonardtown High School	Xander Moulds '29	Catherine Hicks '28
Raiders	Everett Moulds '26	Sam Glauner '27
Nardin Academy	Isabella Donovan '27	Olivia Malic '28
Gators	Josie Riley '27	Clara Riley '29
Norfolk Academy	James Allgeier '27	Eliana Mopper '26
Bulldogs	Margaret Poston '28 [1-2, 5-8] Grant Fernandez '27 [3-4]	Juliana Libby '28 [1-2, 5-8] Owen Peluso '26 [3-4]
Ridge High School	James Mccarthy '26	Jack Schlenker '26
Red Devils	Mae Schlenker '28	Katherine Chen '29
Seton Hall Preparatory School	Ryan D'Orsi '26	Lucas Romano '28
Pirates	Colby Christian '27	Dean Romain '26
Severn School	Annie Sitzmann '26	Annabelle Ulak '26
Admirals	Harrison Szot '27	Hudson Grow '28
Southern Regional High School	Jude Ryon '27	Sergio Santos '28
Rams	Gannon Botwinick '27	Ella Linkewich '28
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Halsey Carter '26	Barrett Mouritzen '28
Saints	James Chapman '27 [1-8]	Delaney Carter '28 [1-2, 7-8] Aurelea Cerny '30 [3-6]
Sts. Peter & Paul	Gene Williams '29	Daniel Schwaninger '26
Sabres	Justin Callahan '29 [1-8]	Abby Tucker '28 [1-2, 7-8] Ian Cox '29 [3-6]
The Stony Brook School	Arancha Rivero-Ansed '27 [1-8]	Nora Beaver '27 [1-4, 7-8] Gisele Brandao '27 [5-6]
Bears	Carlos Gonzalez '28	Eric Panebianco '29
West Irondequoit	Isaac Aymerich '26 [1-8]	Noah Saks '29 [1-4, 7-8] Genevieve Heiermann '26 [5-6]
Eagles	Juliana Lanz '26 [1-8]	Madelyn Principe '28 [1-6] Cooper Petzing '26 [7-8]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MASSA 2025 Fall Fleet Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes