PYC #1 9/16/2023

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 1 19 19
2 West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed 20 20
3 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 27 27
4 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 36 36
5 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold 46 46
6 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 53 53
7 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 64 64
8 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 75 75
9 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 79 79
10 Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV 79 79
11 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White 85 85
12 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Gold 85 85
13 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 1 90 90
14 Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 109 109
15 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange MIXED 110 110
16 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 111 111
17 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Black 113 113
18 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 115 115
19 Dewitt High School Dewitt High School Dewitt High School 126 126
20 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins 128 128
21 Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic HS 136 136
22 Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 2 136 136
23 Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Grey 138 138
24 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 142 142
25 West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 2 156 156
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 1 2 1 3 2 1 4 6 19 Amelia Traver '24
Carson Dobb '24
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed 1 4 2 1 2 7 3 20 Grayson Sikkema '27
Nathan Vanotteren '24
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED 9 3 4 4 4 1 2 27 Anna Mcaughey '24
Ryan Chabalowski '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS 4 5 6 5 6 3 7 36 Clayton Debruyn '26
Austin Kovalchick '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold 8 6 12 6 3 2 9 46 Aarush Kapur '25
Krish Reddy '26
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 3 11 7 3 22 6 1 53 William Quick-Severin '26
Owen Watkins '30
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 10 18 1 8 5 18 4 64 Erin Degrazia '27
Sophia Yancey '27
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees 11 7 9 13 7 13 15 75 Cara Falkowski '24
Abbey Toner '24
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue 5 12 13 14 19 11 5 79 Miles Kohn '25
Ashwin Kesliker '26
Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV 7 2 8 20 13 15 14 79 Oliver Vanderground '29
Ben Vonderheide '26
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White 12 22 5 9 11 8 18 85 Brianna Briggs '25
Maya Wilson '25
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Gold 15 15 11 19 12 5 8 85 Luc Messner '27
Luciana Palazeti '27
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 1 19 8 17 7 18 10 11 90 Kiarra Bracelly '25
Bryson Chrisman '27
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED 22 9 19 10 8 21 20 109 Savana Harte '26
Bryce Fowler '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange MIXED 17 17 15 22 10 16 13 110 Claire Fagan '26
Alexandra Hernandez '28
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green 16 13 21 11 20 14 16 111 Dorian Ferguson '26
Isabella Elzon '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Black 6 16 18 21 15 20 17 113 Luca Orsini '27
Jacob Brodbeck '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED 21 10 16 16 16 17 19 115 Michael Butcher '25
Quinn Rolands '24
Dewitt High School Dewitt High School Dewitt High School DNF 19 23 18 21 9 10 126 Owen Krause '25
Shea Martin '28
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins 24 20 14 24 9 25 12 128 Giacomo Delpizzo '28
Julian Grecki '28
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic HS 14 14 25 17 17 24 25 136 Logan Miceli '27 [1, 4, 6]
David Catarino '29 [2-3, 5, 7]
David Catarino '29 [1, 4, 6]
Logan Miceli '27 [2-3, 5, 7]
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 2 18 DNF 10 15 23 22 22 136 Olive Mcgough '27
Isaac Eklov '27
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Grey 20 21 24 12 25 12 24 138 Sydney Porter '24
Dylan Rydlicki '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red 13 23 20 DNF 14 23 23 142 Cameron Rocco '24 [1-7]
Dutch Goodman '29 [1, 3, 5]
Chris Mali '29 [2, 4, 6-7]
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 2 23 24 22 23 24 19 21 156 Cassius Ingham '29
Asher Albers Contant '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees22222222222222
Bath High SchoolBath High School Fighting Bees MIXED6666666
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed 114141414141414
Black River Public SchoolBlack River Public School Mixed 211111111111111
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue18181818181818
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED17171717171717
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange MIXED9999999
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Blue26262626262626
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Gold28282828282828
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School MIXED Red12121212121212
Dewitt High SchoolDewitt High School Dewitt High School13131313131313
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED29292929292929
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing HS19191919191919
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy Black7777777
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Gold1111111
Forest Hills Eastern (MI)Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV21212121212121
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED24242424242424
Grosse Ile High SchoolGrosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Grey20202020202020
Lansing CatholicLansing Catholic Lansing Catholic HS10101010101010
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins16161616161616
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Green23232323232323
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School WB White15151515151515
West Michigan Aviation AcademyWest Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed27272727272727
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed 125252525252525
West Ottawa High SchoolWest Ottawa High School Mixed 28888888
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees Cara Falkowski '24 Abbey Toner '24
Bath High School Bath High School Fighting Bees MIXED Savana Harte '26 Bryce Fowler '24
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 1 Kiarra Bracelly '25 Bryson Chrisman '27
Black River Public School Black River Public School Mixed 2 Olive Mcgough '27 Isaac Eklov '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue Erin Degrazia '27 Sophia Yancey '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue MIXED Michael Butcher '25 Quinn Rolands '24
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Orange MIXED Claire Fagan '26 Alexandra Hernandez '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Blue Miles Kohn '25 Ashwin Kesliker '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Gold Aarush Kapur '25 Krish Reddy '26
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red Cameron Rocco '24 [1-7] Dutch Goodman '29 [1, 3, 5]
Chris Mali '29 [2, 4, 6-7]
Dewitt High School Dewitt High School Dewitt High School Owen Krause '25 Shea Martin '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED William Quick-Severin '26 Owen Watkins '30
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing HS Clayton Debruyn '26 Austin Kovalchick '28
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Black Luca Orsini '27 Jacob Brodbeck '27
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Gold Luc Messner '27 Luciana Palazeti '27
Forest Hills Eastern (MI) Forest Hills Eastern (MI) JV Oliver Vanderground '29 Ben Vonderheide '26
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School GI Scarlet - MIXED Anna Mcaughey '24 Ryan Chabalowski '29
Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile High School Grosse Ile - Grey Sydney Porter '24 Dylan Rydlicki '27
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic HS Logan Miceli '27 [1, 4, 6]
David Catarino '29 [2-3, 5, 7]
David Catarino '29 [1, 4, 6]
Logan Miceli '27 [2-3, 5, 7]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED MUDJkins Giacomo Delpizzo '28 Julian Grecki '28
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green Dorian Ferguson '26 Isabella Elzon '27
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School WB White Brianna Briggs '25 Maya Wilson '25
West Michigan Aviation Academy West Michigan Aviation Academy Mixed Grayson Sikkema '27 Nathan Vanotteren '24
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 1 Amelia Traver '24 Carson Dobb '24
West Ottawa High School West Ottawa High School Mixed 2 Cassius Ingham '29 Asher Albers Contant '26

Conditions — 09/16/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 9.3 kn
From S (179°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1018.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Detroit Country Day/West Bloomfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →