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Shepherd Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 24 58 82
2 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 66 54 120
3 Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 75 63 138
4 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 116 33 149
5 Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 106 47 153
6 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 63 110 173
7 Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 89 92 181
8 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 82 123 205
9 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 102 117 219
10 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 103 121 224
11 St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 95 151 246
12 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 176 77 253
13 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 105 171 276
14 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 165 155 320
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 4 1 3 1 3 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 24 Deana Fedulova '24
Matthew Pfeiffer '25
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 5 4 9 3 8 6 1 4 3 7 2 2 9 63 Charles Gallagher '25
David Hand '25
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 3 9 4 2 7 5 5 9 1 2 10 4 5 66 Christopher Mikesell '24
Madelyn Martin '25
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 1 7 2 9 12 4 4 10 7 4 4 8 3 75 Jack Baird '25
Simon Hegg '24
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 9 2 10 8 6 8 8 5 4 3 6 9 4 82 Beylan Gode '25
Lily Broklof '24
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 7 8 1 4 4 12 6 3 9 6 11 10 8 89 Alex Reynolds '24 [1-13]
Pearl Reynolds '27 [1-8]
Max Braund '24 [9-13]
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 6 5 6 5 11 11 9 2 6 9 13 5 7 95 Luke Adams '24
Anna Cate Maday '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 8 11 5 6 9 1 7 6 8 14 8 13 6 102 Sean Ellison '25 [1-13]
Nate Bacheller '24 [1-4]
Sydney Rosenberg '26 [5-8, 11-12]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [9-10, 13]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 11 12 11 11 1 2 10 7 OCS 11 7 3 2 103 Akaycia Belisle '25
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 12 6 8 7 5 9 11 11 5 8 5 7 11 105 Quinn Frakt '27
Sarah Kaplan '27
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 2 3 7 10 10 10 13 13 11 5 3 6 13 106 Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-6, 9-12]
Bella Satterfield '24 [7-8, 13]
Jacob Ritter '24 [1-4, 7-12]
Bella Satterfield '24 [5-6]
Rodrigo Flores '24 [13]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 10 10 12 12 2 7 3 8 10 10 9 11 12 116 Payden Pittman '24 [1-13]
Joshua Hacker '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Lucy Herlein '25 [3-4, 7-8, 13]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 13 14 14 13 13 13 14 12 13 12 12 12 10 165 Erin Degrazia '27
Sophia Yancey '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 14 13 13 14 14 14 12 DSQ 12 13 14 14 14 176 Aarush Kapur '25 [1-10, 13]
Krish Reddy '26 [11-12]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Cameron Rocco '24 [3-4, 9-10, 13]
Krish Reddy '26 [7-8]
Aarush Kapur '25 [11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 2 3 4 3 3 6 1 1 3 2 2 1 2 33 Charlie Vink '27
Gavin Yonker '24
Troy High School Troy High School Varsity 4 5 1 5 5 7 5 2 2 5 3 2 1 47 Nicole Torkos '25
Clara Le Moal '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 1 1 6 1 1 1 8 7 4 7 6 4 7 54 Annie Samis '25 [1-6]
Wyatt Miller '24 [7-13]
Saufong (Irene) Lin '25 [1-6]
Lily Malin '26 [7-13]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 3 2 2 2 8 OCS 2 3 1 1 5 9 5 58 Lake Linebaugh '26 [1-4, 7-10]
Sean Carmody '25 [5-6, 11-13]
Lucia Duffy '25 [1-4, 7-13]
Juliette Latva '25 [5-6]
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central TCC Varsity Black 5 7 3 4 2 2 4 4 7 4 8 3 10 63 Andrew Roeder '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isley Moshier '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Isley Moshier '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Winston Hegg '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 7 6 5 6 7 5 6 5 6 6 1 8 9 77 Andrew Wiand '25 [1-13]
Krish Reddy '26 [1-6]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [7-13]
Traverse City West Traverse City West TCW Varsity Green 9 4 11 8 4 4 9 6 8 9 9 7 4 92 Cameron Keillor '24 [1-13]
Brady Mohr '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-13]
Max Braund '24 [3-4, 7-8]
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 8 11 8 11 9 12 11 11 9 8 4 5 3 110 Becky Lechota '25 [1-13]
Benjamin Castro-Matthews '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Zoe Pileggi '25 [3-4, 9-13]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 6 10 10 7 12 8 7 10 13 12 10 6 6 117 Luc Messner '27 [1-13]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [1-4]
Nate Bacheller '24 [5-13]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 OCS 12 OCS 11 3 3 9 5 3 7 11 DSQ 121 Stella Demars '25
Mason Scheinder '26
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 11 9 9 9 6 9 10 8 11 11 12 10 8 123 Libby Gode '27
David Cram '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue 13 8 7 10 10 10 12 14 DNS DNS 13 13 11 151 Sophia Barbas '26
Emma Warren '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 10 10 11 12 12 155 Claire Fagan '26
Quinn Rolands '24
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 14 13 14 12 OCS 11 14 12 12 13 14 14 13 171 Damian Amoruso '26 [1-4]
Logan Smith '24 [5-13]
Norah Franklin '27 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity1010121214141133557
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue113355771010121214
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles224466881111131315
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity3355771010121214141
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity4466881111131315152
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed5577101012121414113
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles6688111113131515224
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs7710101212141411335
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles8811111313151522446
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue1111131315152244668
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black121214141133557710
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green131315152244668811
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Varsity141411335577101012
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies151522446688111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity1111131315152244668
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRM Blue224466881111131315
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles3355771010121214141
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity4466881111131315152
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity5577101012121414113
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed6688111113131515224
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles7710101212141411335
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs8811111313151522446
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles1010121214141133557
St. Francis High School Traverse CitySt. Francis High School Traverse City TCSF Varsity Blue121214141133557710
Traverse City CentralTraverse City Central TCC Varsity Black131315152244668811
Traverse City WestTraverse City West TCW Varsity Green141411335577101012
Troy High SchoolTroy High School Varsity151522446688111113
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies113355771010121214
School / Team SkipperCrew
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Sean Ellison '25 [1-13] Nate Bacheller '24 [1-4]
Sydney Rosenberg '26 [5-8, 11-12]
Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [9-10, 13]
Varsity Luc Messner '27 [1-13] Marko Nedeljkovic '24 [1-4]
Nate Bacheller '24 [5-13]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Erin Degrazia '27 Sophia Yancey '27
BRM Blue Claire Fagan '26 Quinn Rolands '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Christopher Mikesell '24 Madelyn Martin '25
Eagles Annie Samis '25 [1-6]
Wyatt Miller '24 [7-13]		 Saufong (Irene) Lin '25 [1-6]
Lily Malin '26 [7-13]
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Charles Gallagher '25 David Hand '25
Varsity Becky Lechota '25 [1-13] Benjamin Castro-Matthews '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Zoe Pileggi '25 [3-4, 9-13]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Aarush Kapur '25 [1-10, 13]
Krish Reddy '26 [11-12]		 Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Cameron Rocco '24 [3-4, 9-10, 13]
Krish Reddy '26 [7-8]
Aarush Kapur '25 [11-12]
Varsity Andrew Wiand '25 [1-13] Krish Reddy '26 [1-6]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [7-13]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School Payden Pittman '24 [1-13] Joshua Hacker '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Lucy Herlein '25 [3-4, 7-8, 13]
GH Blue Mixed Charlie Vink '27 Gavin Yonker '24
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Quinn Frakt '27 Sarah Kaplan '27
Eagles Damian Amoruso '26 [1-4]
Logan Smith '24 [5-13]		 Norah Franklin '27 [1-4]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Akaycia Belisle '25 Joshua Drivdahl '25
Zephyrs Stella Demars '25 Mason Scheinder '26
New Albany High School New Albany High School Beylan Gode '25 Lily Broklof '24
Eagles Libby Gode '27 David Cram '25
St. Francis High School Traverse City St. Francis High School Traverse City Luke Adams '24 Anna Cate Maday '25
TCSF Varsity Blue Sophia Barbas '26 Emma Warren '26
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Jack Baird '25 Simon Hegg '24
TCC Varsity Black Andrew Roeder '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Isley Moshier '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]		 Isley Moshier '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Winston Hegg '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-13]
Traverse City West Traverse City West Alex Reynolds '24 [1-13] Pearl Reynolds '27 [1-8]
Max Braund '24 [9-13]
TCW Varsity Green Cameron Keillor '24 [1-13] Brady Mohr '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-13]
Max Braund '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Troy High School Troy High School Rodrigo Flores '24 [1-6, 9-12]
Bella Satterfield '24 [7-8, 13]		 Jacob Ritter '24 [1-4, 7-12]
Bella Satterfield '24 [5-6]
Rodrigo Flores '24 [13]
Varsity Nicole Torkos '25 Clara Le Moal '24
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Deana Fedulova '24 Matthew Pfeiffer '25
Grizzlies Lake Linebaugh '26 [1-4, 7-10]
Sean Carmody '25 [5-6, 11-13]		 Lucia Duffy '25 [1-4, 7-13]
Juliette Latva '25 [5-6]

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1025.4 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From NNE (22°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1025.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/U Chicago Laboratory/Whitney Young, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →