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Corpus Christi Kickoff

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Incarnate Word Academy Incarnate Word Academy Angels 1 16 16
2 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 2 22 22
3 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 3 36 36
4 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 1 38 38
5 London High School London High School Pirates 44 44
6 Incarnate Word Academy Incarnate Word Academy Angels 2 54 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Incarnate Word Academy Incarnate Word Academy Angels 1 1 1 1 3 2 1 2 1 2 2 16 Cameron Rybar '25
Madison Gonzalez '25
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 2 4 6 2 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 22 Yasmeen Djilali '27
Sydney Davidson '29
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 3 6 4 3 2 3 3 3 4 5 3 36 Jessica Hobbs '27
Claira Shores '27
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 1 3 2 5 4 5 4 6 2 3 4 38 Caroline Levandowski '27
Kendra Reyes-Ortiz '28
London High School London High School Pirates 2 3 4 6 4 6 5 5 4 5 44 Sophia Dickey '27
Kaylee Coleman '26
Incarnate Word Academy Incarnate Word Academy Angels 2 5 5 6 5 6 5 4 6 6 6 54 James Rybar '29
Cassidy Gonzalez '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 110101010101010101010
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 211111111111111111111
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Flour Bluff Maroon 312121212121212121212
Incarnate Word AcademyIncarnate Word Academy Angels 18888888888
Incarnate Word AcademyIncarnate Word Academy Angels 29999999999
London High SchoolLondon High School Pirates6666666666

Conditions — 09/14/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1011.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Unregistered-SEISA: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.11 ± 0.36)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Unregistered-SEISA by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Unregistered-SEISA, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →