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JV N. Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 4 2 6
2 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 5 5 10
3 Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 6 8 14
4 Raleigh Charter High School Raleigh Charter High School JV 8 12 20
5 Broughton High School Broughton High School Broughton 7 13 20
6 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 15 7 22
7 New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 12 16 28
8 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 18 11 29
9 Hough High School Hough High School Huskies 15 16 31
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers84518451
Broughton High SchoolBroughton High School Broughton111111
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles94139413
Hough High SchoolHough High School Huskies171171
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV7777
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue94129412
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White94119411
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats94109410
Raleigh Charter High SchoolRaleigh Charter High School JV5454

Division B

Team1B2B
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers84518451
Broughton High SchoolBroughton High School Broughton111111
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles94139413
Hough High SchoolHough High School Huskies171171
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV7777
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue94129412
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White94119411
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats94109410
Raleigh Charter High SchoolRaleigh Charter High School JV5454

Conditions — 12/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 31%  ·  Pressure 1028.3 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 29°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.7 kn
avg  ·  max 3.9 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From NW (321°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity31% Pressure1028.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Academic Magnet: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Academic Magnet by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Academic Magnet, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →