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MDISA Fall 2024 WRSC Tier 3 Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 24 14 38
2 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 29 26 55
3 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 19 43 62
4 Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 32 41 73
5 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 58 33 91
6 Reservoir High School Reservoir High School Reservoir 63 38 101
7 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 26 78 104
8 St. Stephens St. Agnes School St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints 64 47 111
9 Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 58 70 128
10 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 81 56 137
11 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 76 83 159
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 1 3 2 2 2 5 2 2 19 Harrison Jones '26
Hazen ... '28
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 3 1 4 1 3 3 3 6 24 Nola Primeaux '25 [1-8]
Baxter Primeaux '28 [1-6, 8]
Josie Zaleskas '26 [7]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 4 4 1 4 4 1 7 1 26 James Reilly '28
Romeo Cayangyang '27
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 2 7 6 1 4 4 3 29 Garrett Szymendera '28
Noah Sebaa '29
Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 6 6 3 5 5 2 1 4 32 Liam Grigg '28
Julia Deaton '29
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 8 8 9 8 9 6 5 5 58 Jonah Molinoff '25
Leif Carney '25
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 10 7 5 9 6 8 6 7 58 Eliana Arteaga '29
Kailash Hsu '30
Reservoir High School Reservoir High School Reservoir 5 5 11 3 8 DSQ 11 8 63 No Show [1-8]
Tomas ... '26 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
St. Stephens St. Agnes School St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints 7 9 6 7 7 7 10 11 64 Erez Engler '25
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 9 10 8 DNS 10 10 8 9 76 Annabelle Yurko '29
Logan Coons '26
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 11 11 10 10 11 9 9 10 81 Bryeden Rapp '27
Tejas Suri '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 4 1 1 1 3 2 1 1 14 Lucianno Russo '27
No Show
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 8 3 2 1 1 4 6 26 Owen Smith '26
Austin Brelage '30
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 5 2 2 4 8 3 2 7 33 Mercer Rensberger '28 [1-4, 6-8]
Karina Schmoyer '29 [5]
Karina Schmoyer '29 [1-4, 6-8]
Mercer Rensberger '28 [5]
Reservoir High School Reservoir High School Reservoir 2 7 7 5 5 5 5 2 38 No Show
No Show
Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 6 3 8 6 2 4 8 4 41 Maram Rihane '28
Finn Fraser '28
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 8 4 4 3 4 6 9 5 43 Keely Flynn '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Tomas ... '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Matthew Treatman-Clark '27 [1-2, 5-6]
No Show [3-4, 7-8]
St. Stephens St. Agnes School St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints 7 6 6 8 6 8 3 3 47 Jack Murphy '29 [1-8]
Bodhi Bhalla-Ladd '26 [1-6]
Arabella Laws-Dunn '28 [7-8]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 3 5 10 7 9 7 6 9 56 Alex Dusterwald '27
Lindsey Jahn '26
Jackson-Reed High School Jackson-Reed High School Tigers 9 10 5 9 10 10 7 10 70 Luke Petry '27
Kara Panjrath '26
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights DNS 9 9 10 11 9 10 8 78 Ashley Kroeger '26 [1-8]
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Madelyn Clark '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 10 11 11 11 7 11 11 11 83 Owen Myers '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Wingate '30 [3-4, 7-8]
Max Wingate '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Myers '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights11335577
Crofton High SchoolCrofton High School Crofton221212101088
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets33557799
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers442212121010
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers5577991111
Reservoir High SchoolReservoir High School Reservoir6644221212
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks7799111111
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs88664422
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights9911111133
St. Stephens St. Agnes SchoolSt. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints1010886644
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions1111113355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights22446688
Crofton High SchoolCrofton High School Crofton1111119977
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets4466881010
Jackson-Reed High SchoolJackson-Reed High School Tigers3311111199
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers668810101212
Reservoir High SchoolReservoir High School Reservoir5533111111
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks881010121222
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs77553311
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights101012122244
St. Stephens St. Agnes SchoolSt. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints99775533
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions1212224466

Conditions — 09/29/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1013.2 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1013.2 hPa Rain0.11 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at West River Sailing Club: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at West River Sailing Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at West River Sailing Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →