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MISSA Great Oaks Qualifier: Gold Fleet

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 28 28
2 Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Tigers 31 31
3 Blake School Blake School Bears 35 35
4 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 35 35
5 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 43 43
6 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 59 59
7 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 60 60
8 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 65 65
9 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 74 74
10 Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 75 75
11 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 80 80
12 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 84 84
13 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 88 88
14 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 91 91
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 4 1 13 3 1 3 2 1 28 Beylan Gode '25
Libby Gode '27
Oakstone Academy Oakstone Academy Tigers 1 DSQ 7 1 3 1 1 2 31 Vincent Ireland '27
Quinton Ireland '29
Blake School Blake School Bears 3 3 8 7 2 2 3 7 35 Teddy Bower '26
Ollie Bower '29
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ 8 5 1 5 4 4 4 4 35 Graham Rebain '25
Charlie Weikel '26
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Varsity 6 2 2 2 9 8 5 9 43 Charlie Pensom '29
Elliot Chiang '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 5 13 4 11 5 10 6 5 59 Aarush Kapur '25 [1-8]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-2]
Krish Reddy '26 [3-8]
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 2 8 3 6 10 13 10 8 60 Max Eggert '26 [1-4]
Brooklyn Verplank '25 [5-8]
Lucas Williams '26 [1-4]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 10 6 9 4 7 7 7 DSQ 65 Gavin Grundei '25
Ike Becker '28
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 13 9 5 14 8 9 13 3 74 Adler Johnston '27 [1-2]
Bleu Strnad '26 [3-8]
Frank Wildi '25 [1-2]
Dublin Jerome Dublin Jerome Varsity 7 10 10 12 11 6 8 11 75 Macy Savage '27
Hannah Staas '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 9 11 11 10 13 11 9 6 80 Sean Ellison '25 [1-2, 7-8]
Ryan Ellison '28 [3, 5-6]
Luc Messner '27 [4]
Luc Messner '27 [1-3, 5-8]
Ryan Ellison '28 [4]
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots DSQ 12 12 13 6 5 11 10 84 Connor Coate '25 [1-8]
Arthur Vins '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Hartong '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 11 7 14 8 12 12 12 12 88 Finn Mahoney '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Calfee '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Ellie Hutchings '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Grant Fuerst '27 [3-4]
Finn Mahoney '25 [7-8]
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 12 4 6 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS 91 Charlie Vink '27
Kari Taylor '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.380+0.38
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity18181919202066
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears6677881010
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity778810101111
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks88101011111212
Dublin JeromeDublin Jerome Varsity1010111112121313
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed1111121213131414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1212131314141515
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ1313141415151616
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles1414151516161717
Oakstone AcademyOakstone Academy Tigers1515161617171818
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots1616171718181919
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Varsity1717181819192020
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red191920206677
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals2020667788

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From WNW (301°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover20% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1012.8 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn · S 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Albany: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Albany by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at New Albany, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →