MISSA Shepherd Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Varsity 28 50 78
2 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 51 33 84
3 Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 66 29 95
4 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 38 63 101
5 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 56 51 107
6 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 58 57 115
7 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 75 49 124
8 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 57 68 125
9 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 80 48 128
10 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Marian Varsity 58 71 129
11 Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 60 71 131
12 Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 34 104 138
13 Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 94 70 164
14 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Rams 87 99 186
15 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 113 101 214
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Varsity 4 7 3 2 6 2 3 1 28 Graham Rebain '25
Maverick Killips '25
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 11 1 1 4 3 3 2 9 34 Carson Boemer '27
Baron Reuter '25
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 8 13 2 1 5 4 1 4 38 Tomas Nakamura '26
Sofia Worthington '25
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 3 4 11 5 10 5 7 6 51 Ryan Ellison '28
Arda Sarioglu '27
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 1 10 12 12 1 6 6 8 56 Robbie Dresen '25
Colin O'Gara '28
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 7 2 7 11 7 9 11 3 57 Finn Mahoney '25
Ellie Hutchings '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Marian Varsity 6 6 8 10 2 7 12 7 58 Erin Degrazia '27
Luciana Palazeti '27
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 12 11 9 7 8 1 8 2 58 Juan Woodworth '26 [1-8]
Ada Liew '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Patrick (Jack) Ryan '27 [3-6]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 5 3 6 3 4 8 15 DSQ 60 Tyler David '27
Ava Kiss '25
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 2 12 14 BKD 9 11 5 5 66 Gavin Grundei '25
Flynn Becker '28
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 10 5 4 9 11 12 14 10 75 Andrew Wiand '25 [1-7]
Krish Reddy '26 [8]
Krish Reddy '26 [1-7]
Andrew Wiand '25 [8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 9 8 10 6 13 13 9 12 80 Ralph Zemaitis '25
Ty Nedoss '26
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Rams 15 15 5 8 14 15 4 11 87 David Hand '25 [1-2]
Charles Gallagher '25 [3-8]
Maggie Gallagher '28 [1-2]
David Hand '25 [3-8]
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 13 9 13 13 12 10 10 14 94 Henry Elmore '25 [1-8]
Dylan Elmore '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Charlotte Langolf '28 [5-6]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 14 14 15 15 15 14 13 13 113 Aidan Soule '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Jack Mullins '27 [3-4]
Margie Deneen '25 [1-2, 5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Rocks 1 3 11 6 1 5 1 1 29 Ike Becker '28
Nick Van Buskirk '28
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Varsity 4 2 9 10 3 1 2 2 33 Sean Ellison '25 [1-8]
Sydney Rosenberg '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Luc Messner '27 [3-4]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 6 1 3 6 8 5 DNS 48 Liam Kipnis '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Nolan Graham '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Ethan Bucciarelli '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Grey Payne '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 7 10 6 2 5 4 7 8 49 Aarush Kapur '25 [1-8]
Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-5]
Raymond Boone '25 [6-8]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Varsity 9 8 4 1 11 7 6 4 50 Charlie Walton '25
Quinn Elliott '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 12 5 2 4 7 15 3 3 51 Haaken Lein '27
Claire Jozwowski '27
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 2 1 OCS 7 10 10 4 7 57 Sienna Jones '28
Lily Malin '26
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 6 4 3 8 12 6 13 11 63 Tyler Lee '26
Sage Mcroberts '26
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 10 12 7 9 8 3 9 10 68 Jack Calfee '26
Grant Fuerst '27
Bexley High School Bexley High School Lions 8 9 8 12 4 13 10 6 70 Reed Schworm '25 [1-6]
Hadley Langoff '26 [7-8]
Hadley Langoff '26 [1-6]
Reed Schworm '25 [7-8]
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Pirates 5 13 5 11 9 11 8 9 71 Will Beres '27
Pierre Lambert '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Marian Varsity 11 11 OCS 5 2 9 12 5 71 Claire Fagan '26
Sophia Yancey '27
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Rams 15 15 10 15 15 2 14 13 99 Jack Markuson '27 [1-8]
Zoe Pileggi '25 [1-5]
Maggie Gallagher '28 [6-8]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 13 14 12 13 14 12 11 12 101 Thaddeus Turek '25 [1-8]
Jack Mullins '27 [1-2]
Sofia Zoko '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Adriana Ochoa '26 [5-6]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Hill Toppers 14 7 13 14 13 14 15 14 104 Cooper Dunlop '25 [1-6]
Tj Sippel '28 [7-8]
Bennett Stamm '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Kubert Marshall '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions11335577
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity121214141133
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Marian Varsity22446688
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles33557799
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Rams4466881010
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity5577991111
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks668810101212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits779911111313
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars88101012121414
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers99111113131515
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Varsity10101212141411
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates11111313151522
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals131315152244
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1414113355
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins1515224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bexley High SchoolBexley High School Lions22446688
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Varsity131315152244
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Marian Varsity33557799
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles4466881010
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Rams5577991111
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity668810101212
Dublin CoffmanDublin Coffman Rocks779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits88101012121414
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars99111113131515
Marquette University High SchoolMarquette University High School Hill Toppers10101212141411
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Varsity11111313151522
Pewaukee High SchoolPewaukee High School Pirates121214141133
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals1414113355
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1515224466
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bexley High School Bexley High School Henry Elmore '25 [1-8] Dylan Elmore '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Charlotte Langolf '28 [5-6]
Lions Reed Schworm '25 [1-6]
Hadley Langoff '26 [7-8]
Hadley Langoff '26 [1-6]
Reed Schworm '25 [7-8]
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ryan Ellison '28 Arda Sarioglu '27
Varsity Sean Ellison '25 [1-8] Sydney Rosenberg '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Luc Messner '27 [3-4]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Erin Degrazia '27 Luciana Palazeti '27
Marian Varsity Claire Fagan '26 Sophia Yancey '27
Culver Academies Culver Academies Juan Woodworth '26 [1-8] Ada Liew '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Patrick (Jack) Ryan '27 [3-6]
Eagles Sienna Jones '28 Lily Malin '26
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep David Hand '25 [1-2]
Charles Gallagher '25 [3-8]
Maggie Gallagher '28 [1-2]
David Hand '25 [3-8]
Rams Jack Markuson '27 [1-8] Zoe Pileggi '25 [1-5]
Maggie Gallagher '28 [6-8]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Andrew Wiand '25 [1-7]
Krish Reddy '26 [8]
Krish Reddy '26 [1-7]
Andrew Wiand '25 [8]
Varsity Aarush Kapur '25 [1-8] Ashwin Kesliker '26 [1-5]
Raymond Boone '25 [6-8]
Dublin Coffman Dublin Coffman Gavin Grundei '25 Flynn Becker '28
Rocks Ike Becker '28 Nick Van Buskirk '28
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Ralph Zemaitis '25 Ty Nedoss '26
Wildkits Liam Kipnis '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Nolan Graham '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Ethan Bucciarelli '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Grey Payne '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Aidan Soule '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Jack Mullins '27 [3-4]
Margie Deneen '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Friars Thaddeus Turek '25 [1-8] Jack Mullins '27 [1-2]
Sofia Zoko '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Adriana Ochoa '26 [5-6]
Marquette University High School Marquette University High School Carson Boemer '27 Baron Reuter '25
Hill Toppers Cooper Dunlop '25 [1-6]
Tj Sippel '28 [7-8]
Bennett Stamm '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Kubert Marshall '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Graham Rebain '25 Maverick Killips '25
Varsity Charlie Walton '25 Quinn Elliott '26
Pewaukee High School Pewaukee High School Tyler David '27 Ava Kiss '25
Pirates Will Beres '27 Pierre Lambert '27
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Finn Mahoney '25 Ellie Hutchings '26
Cardinals Jack Calfee '26 Grant Fuerst '27
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Colin O'Gara '28
Bears Haaken Lein '27 Claire Jozwowski '27
Whitney Young Whitney Young Tomas Nakamura '26 Sofia Worthington '25
Dolphins Tyler Lee '26 Sage Mcroberts '26

Conditions — 10/26/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1031.3 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From SE (143°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1031.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · S 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/Oak Park River/Whitney Young: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/Oak Park River/Whitney Young by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Jones College Prep/Lane Tech College Pr/Lincoln Park/Oak Park River/Whitney Young, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →