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New Orleans Great Oaks Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 3 13 13
2 The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 2 14 14
3 Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 21 21
4 The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 1 24 24
5 Louise S. McGehee Louise S. McGehee Hawksa 39 39
6 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 4 45 45
7 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 46 46
8 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 1 62 62
9 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 4 63 63
10 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 3 74 74
11 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 78 78
12 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 86 86
13 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 2 90 90
14 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 93 93
15 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 99 99
16 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 5 119 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 3 4 2 1 2 1 2 1 13 Arthur Meade '27
David Karcher '26
The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 2 1 1 2 3 2 3 2 14 Liam Christopher '25
Chase Nieuwenhuizen '28
Mount Carmel Academy Mount Carmel Academy CUBS 2 4 3 4 4 1 3 21 Georgia Gibbons '26
Annelise Cotaya '28
The Willow School The Willow School Willow Lions 1 3 3 6 1 3 4 4 24 Olivia Mcgowan '28
Emma Parks '26
Louise S. McGehee Louise S. McGehee Hawksa 7 6 4 6 5 5 6 39 Virginia Lovell '28
Mary Claire Leckert '28
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 4 6 5 7 8 6 6 7 45 Parker Lilly '29
Harrison Teske '29
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 5 7 5 7 7 10 5 46 Aidan Mckoin '26
Thomas Denning '28
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 1 9 10 9 10 9 7 8 62 Caleb Kaiser '25
Aidan Johnson '26
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 4 13 12 8 5 8 8 9 63 Elinor Reyher '26
Cecilia Raines '28
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 3 10 9 13 11 10 11 10 74 Auden Emerson '27 [1-7]
Leah Dupclay '27 [1-2]
Molly Reyher '28 [3-7]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 11 8 11 9 13 14 12 78 Maggie Lob '26
Emma Pscenicka '26
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 14 15 10 12 15 9 11 86 Piper Long '27 [1-2]
Mackenzie Caballero '25 [3-5]
Estella Holland '26 [6-7]
Ellena Mcguire '25 [1-2]
Elle Goodwin '27 [3-5]
Ella Ory '26 [6-7]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 2 8 11 12 13 12 DNS DNS 90 Jonathan Shi '25 [1-7]
Laura Fisher '27 [1-3]
Emily Mcdonald '27 [4-7]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 12 13 14 14 14 13 13 93 Kaybree Cushenberry '26 [1-7]
Bryanna Foster '25 [1-5]
Lauren Galligan '25 [6-7]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 15 14 15 15 11 12 DNF 99 Jonathan Brockhoff '26
Vincent Welty '26
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 119 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons 11111111
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons 22222222
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons 33333333
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons 44444444
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons 55555555
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 113131313131313
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 214141414141414
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 315151515151515
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 416161616161616
Louise S. McGeheeLouise S. McGehee Hawksa10101010101010
Mount Carmel AcademyMount Carmel Academy CUBS11111111111111
The Willow SchoolThe Willow School Willow Lions 112121212121212
The Willow SchoolThe Willow School Willow Lions 26666666
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 17777777
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 28888888
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 39999999

Conditions — 10/05/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From ENE (66°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Community Sailing New Orleans: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.44
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.55 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.31 means a rating gap counts about 27% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Community Sailing New Orleans by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Community Sailing New Orleans, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →