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Nor Cal 2 Gold Sunday

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Redwood Redwood Giants 25 25
2 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 29 29
3 St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 38 38
4 Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 2 42 42
5 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 43 43
6 Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 47 47
7 Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 1 49 49
8 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 56 56
9 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 57 57
10 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 69 69
11 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 74 74
12 The Nueva School The Nueva School The Nueva 75 75
13 Junipero Serra High School Junipero Serra High School JSerra 83 83
14 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 1 88 88
15 Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 3 89 89
16 Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 92 92
17 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 2 92 92
18 Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 93 93
19 Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 4 94 94
20 St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 94 94
21 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 108 108
22 San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 109 109
23 SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 128 128
24 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 128 128
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Redwood Redwood Giants 2 8 2 1 2 10 25 Nathan Posard '26
Whitney Feagin '27
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 4 3 6 3 9 4 29 Patrick O'Hara '27
Dillan Spence '27
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 5 12 3 4 13 1 38 Melina Ahrens '27
Ella Schwartz '27
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 2 6 13 4 8 3 8 42 William Jojarth '27
Kierra Adam '27
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 19 1 1 9 6 7 43 Liah Yamamura '26
Claire Lee '26
Carlmont Carlmont The Scots 7 5 9 10 14 2 47 Carter Newhauser '28
Lily Stutzin '26
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 1 1 4 11 11 17 5 49 Liberty Evans '26
Adrian Maciuca '25
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 3 9 12 13 10 9 56 Merritt Sellers '26
Willem Morrow '27
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 24 2 OCS 2 1 3 57 Reid Sojka '26
Tristan Banthi '28
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 9 14 18 17 5 6 69 Chase Carson '25 [1-6]
Charles Maxey '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sabine Lee '25 [3-4]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 12 17 17 5 7 16 74 Joby Overton '26
Aubrie Grimes '26
The Nueva School The Nueva School The Nueva 8 6 14 15 19 13 75 Max Kaufman '26
Molly Schuster '26
Junipero Serra High School Junipero Serra High School JSerra 13 15 15 21 8 11 83 Francisco Dias '28
Luca Mejia-Young '28
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 1 21 11 19 14 11 12 88 Tibet Saldamli '28
Arushi Lee '28
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 3 10 7 21 20 16 15 89 Selah Dorn '25
Riley Vo '25
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech 14 16 13 12 20 17 92 Hera Handy-Madsen '27
Teagan Ezakovich '27
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 2 22 23 5 24 4 14 92 Skye Crawford '25
John Nix '25
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans 16 18 10 6 21 22 93 Mark Novak '28
Arlo Willcox '31
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 4 17 10 16 7 24 20 94 Logan Schwimmer '26
Zach Siskind '28
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats 18 20 8 18 12 18 94 Miles White '25 [1-6]
Helen Plam '26 [1-2]
Lauren Yu '27 [3-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 11 21 7 22 22 DNF 108 Gus Gossett '27 [1-6]
Max Borgiotti '25 [1-2]
Jt Scott '28 [3-6]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 15 24 20 16 15 19 109 Praire Press '26
Nico Dillon '27
SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils 20 19 22 23 23 21 128 Chloe Eenmaa '28 [1-3, 5-6]
Reeve Char '27 [4]
Reeve Char '27 [1-3, 5-6]
Chloe Eenmaa '28 [4]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 23 22 23 19 18 23 128 Nola Jesenko '26
Wilder Harlow '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 1414141414141
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 2424242424242
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 3434343434343
Alameda High SchoolAlameda High School Hornets 4444444444444
CarlmontCarlmont The Scots323232323232
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School Dragons 1272727272727
Design Tech High SchoolDesign Tech High School Dragons 2282828282828
Henry M. Gunn High SchoolHenry M. Gunn High School Titans313131313131
Mountain View High School (CA)Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 1222222222222
Mountain View High School (CA)Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 2232323232323
Mountain View High School (CA)Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 3242424242424
Oakland Technical High SchoolOakland Technical High School Oakland Tech525252525252
RedwoodRedwood Giants221221221221221221
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers 1161616161616
San Domenico High SchoolSan Domenico High School Panthers 2171717171717
Junipero Serra High SchoolJunipero Serra High School JSerra262626262626
SF University High SchoolSF University High School Red Devils111111
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats333333
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CASt. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame515151515151
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 1197197197197197197
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates 2198198198198198198
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1828282828282
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2818181818181
The Nueva SchoolThe Nueva School The Nueva252525252525
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 1 Chase Carson '25 [1-6] Charles Maxey '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sabine Lee '25 [3-4]
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 2 Reid Sojka '26 Tristan Banthi '28
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 3 Joby Overton '26 Aubrie Grimes '26
Alameda High School Alameda High School Hornets 4 Logan Schwimmer '26 Zach Siskind '28
Carlmont Carlmont The Scots Carter Newhauser '28 Lily Stutzin '26
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 1 Tibet Saldamli '28 Arushi Lee '28
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School Dragons 2 Skye Crawford '25 John Nix '25
Henry M. Gunn High School Henry M. Gunn High School Titans Mark Novak '28 Arlo Willcox '31
Junipero Serra High School Junipero Serra High School JSerra Francisco Dias '28 Luca Mejia-Young '28
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 1 Liberty Evans '26 Adrian Maciuca '25
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 2 William Jojarth '27 Kierra Adam '27
Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View 3 Selah Dorn '25 Riley Vo '25
Oakland Technical High School Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech Hera Handy-Madsen '27 Teagan Ezakovich '27
Redwood Redwood Giants Nathan Posard '26 Whitney Feagin '27
SF University High School SF University High School Red Devils Chloe Eenmaa '28 [1-3, 5-6]
Reeve Char '27 [4]		 Reeve Char '27 [1-3, 5-6]
Chloe Eenmaa '28 [4]
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 1 Merritt Sellers '26 Willem Morrow '27
San Domenico High School San Domenico High School Panthers 2 Praire Press '26 Nico Dillon '27
St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats Miles White '25 [1-6] Helen Plam '26 [1-2]
Lauren Yu '27 [3-6]
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame Melina Ahrens '27 Ella Schwartz '27
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 1 Patrick O'Hara '27 Dillan Spence '27
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 2 Liah Yamamura '26 Claire Lee '26
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 Gus Gossett '27 [1-6] Max Borgiotti '25 [1-2]
Jt Scott '28 [3-6]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 Nola Jesenko '26 Wilder Harlow '27
The Nueva School The Nueva School The Nueva Max Kaufman '26 Molly Schuster '26

Conditions — 09/29/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.7 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →