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PYC #3 Halloween Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 34 34
2 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 39 39
3 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 49 49
4 Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 57 57
5 Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners 68 68
6 Troy High School Troy High School BOO! 76 76
7 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 79 79
8 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 79 79
9 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Jack O'Lanterns 81 81
10 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 83 83
11 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Candy corn 88 88
12 Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 101 101
13 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED 108 108
14 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Black 111 111
15 Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 111 111
16 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 128 128
17 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Spell casters MIXED 138 138
18 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 140 140
19 East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 140 140
20 Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires 140 140
21 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 145 145
22 Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats 145 145
23 Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkins MIXED 157 157
24 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts 160 160
25 Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 177 177
26 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins 197 197
27 Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards 198 198
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors 7 2 4 4 4 1 9 3 34 Lila Torresen '25
Alexis Twa '26
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold 5 8 7 2 9 4 3 1 39 Bobby Cooper '27
Ryan Ridgeway '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red 13 11 1 5 11 3 1 4 49 Brooklyn Verplank '25
Logan Thien '25
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed 4 12 10 3 8 6 5 9 57 Blake Glazer '27
Jude Lockard '28
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners 14 19 9 7 2 7 8 2 68 Krish Reddy '26
Luca Orsini '27
Troy High School Troy High School BOO! 10 1 19 9 6 14 11 6 76 Lucia Sharp '25
Nicole Torkos '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons 9 15 2 6 16 5 16 10 79 Aarush Kapur '25
Raymond Boone '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed 15 20 5 8 7 2 15 7 79 Charlie Molesta '28
Bode Aerts '27
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Jack O'Lanterns 2 3 3 27 1 11 18 16 81 Arda Sarioglu '27
Luc Messner '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed 1 5 6 17 19 16 2 17 83 Annalise Vink '29
Jackson Donner '29
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Candy corn 8 9 8 10 12 18 10 13 88 Claire Fagan '26
Sophia Yancey '27
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed 12 18 13 20 18 8 7 5 101 Brady Wallace '27
Anderson Vickers '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED 19 21 21 1 25 9 4 8 108 Alexandra Hernandez '29
Elsa Wellenkotter '29
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Black 3 14 11 12 17 15 12 27 111 Cole Blum '27
Lucy Herlein '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed 6 10 14 11 20 19 19 12 111 Elsie Torresen '27
Liam Satterfield '29
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White 11 16 12 16 14 22 17 20 128 Diesel Baer '28
Henry Berschback '28
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Spell casters MIXED 22 4 18 21 10 17 DNF 18 138 Ashwin Kesliker '26
Nadia Valka '25
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue 16 22 16 23 5 10 24 24 140 Sebastian Garcia '28
Rex Bauernfeind '28
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED 18 17 20 15 22 13 21 14 140 Austin Kovalchick '28
David Caterino '29
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires OCS 6 23 13 24 21 6 19 140 Charlie Weikel '26
Maverick Killips '25
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold 17 7 15 18 15 26 25 22 145 Elliott Murray '29
Xavier Johnson '29
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats 20 13 17 14 21 20 14 26 145 Owen Miller '29
Shira Mendelson '26
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkins MIXED 23 DNF 22 25 13 12 13 21 157 Isabella Elzon '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Angelina Abdulnour '27 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Angelina Abdulnour '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Isabella Elzon '27 [2, 4, 6, 8]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts 21 25 25 24 3 25 22 15 160 Angelina Abdulnour '27
Brianna Briggs '25
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed 24 26 24 26 23 23 20 11 177 O Waitkine '29
Bee Johns '29
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins DNF 24 27 22 26 24 23 23 197 Finn Hounsell '25
Mati Aviles '27
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards 25 23 26 19 27 27 26 25 198 Sam Bernard '27
Andrew Hong '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Berkley High School (MI)Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats99999999
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED2222222222222222
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools Jack O'Lanterns1313131313131313
Birmingham Public SchoolsBirmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards1919191919191919
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Candy corn2828282828282828
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkins MIXED1414141414141414
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MIBrother Rice/Marian High School - MI Spell casters MIXED2323232323232323
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins66666666
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons2929292929292929
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue2424242424242424
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold1616161616161616
East Lansing High SchoolEast Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED2525252525252525
Everest Collegiate High School & AcademyEverest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners1212121212121212
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Black55555555
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed1515151515151515
Grand Haven High SchoolGrand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed44444444
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Gold1717171717171717
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School White77777777
Haslett High SchoolHaslett High School Mixed88888888
Mercy/University of Detroit JesuitMercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires2121212121212121
Mona Shores High SchoolMona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors11111111
Okemos High SchoolOkemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed1010101010101010
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Black Mixed1111111111111111
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Grey Mixed2020202020202020
Spring Lake High SchoolSpring Lake High School Red2727272727272727
Troy High SchoolTroy High School BOO!3030303030303030
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts2626262626262626
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Berkley High School (MI) Berkley High School (MI) Mixed Bats Owen Miller '29 Shira Mendelson '26
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Ahh...Pumpkins MIXED Alexandra Hernandez '29 Elsa Wellenkotter '29
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools Jack O'Lanterns Arda Sarioglu '27 Luc Messner '27
Birmingham Public Schools Birmingham Public Schools MIXED Wizards Sam Bernard '27 Andrew Hong '28
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Candy corn Claire Fagan '26 Sophia Yancey '27
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Pumpkins MIXED Isabella Elzon '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Angelina Abdulnour '27 [2, 4, 6, 8]		 Angelina Abdulnour '27 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Isabella Elzon '27 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI Spell casters MIXED Ashwin Kesliker '26 Nadia Valka '25
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Pumpkins Finn Hounsell '25 Mati Aviles '27
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Mixed Skeletons Aarush Kapur '25 Raymond Boone '25
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Blue Sebastian Garcia '28 Rex Bauernfeind '28
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity Gold Elliott Murray '29 Xavier Johnson '29
East Lansing High School East Lansing High School East Lansing ATMIXED Austin Kovalchick '28 David Caterino '29
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Everest Collegiate High School & Academy MIXED Hallowinners Krish Reddy '26 Luca Orsini '27
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Black Cole Blum '27 Lucy Herlein '25
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Blue Mixed Charlie Molesta '28 Bode Aerts '27
Grand Haven High School Grand Haven High School GH Gold Mixed Elsie Torresen '27 Liam Satterfield '29
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Gold Bobby Cooper '27 Ryan Ridgeway '27
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School White Diesel Baer '28 Henry Berschback '28
Haslett High School Haslett High School Mixed O Waitkine '29 Bee Johns '29
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Vampires Charlie Weikel '26 Maverick Killips '25
Mona Shores High School Mona Shores High School Mona Shores Sailors Lila Torresen '25 Alexis Twa '26
Okemos High School Okemos High School Okemos Puffins Mixed Blake Glazer '27 Jude Lockard '28
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Black Mixed Brady Wallace '27 Anderson Vickers '29
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Grey Mixed Annalise Vink '29 Jackson Donner '29
Spring Lake High School Spring Lake High School Red Brooklyn Verplank '25 Logan Thien '25
Troy High School Troy High School BOO! Lucia Sharp '25 Nicole Torkos '25
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School MIXED Ghosts Angelina Abdulnour '27 Brianna Briggs '25

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1018.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Detroit Country Day: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Detroit Country Day by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Detroit Country Day, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →