Tabor Fall Invite - CFJ

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Red 7 6 13
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - White 17 12 29
3 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 28 14 42
4 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 9 39 48
5 Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 25 25 50
6 Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 2 24 29 53
7 Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 1 31 28 59
8 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 33 27 60
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Red 1 1 2 2 1 7 Patrick Tomlinson '28 [1-2, 5]
Ben Glennon '28 [3-4]
Will Brooks '28 [1-2, 5]
George Spalding '28 [3-4]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles BKD 3 1 1 2 9 Ben Reuter '28
Kai Beland '27
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - White 3 2 3 4 5 17 Colin Macinnis '27 [1-2, 5]
Finn Ladue '27 [3-4]
Blake Appleton '28 [1-2, 5]
Nick Proudlove '27 [3-4]
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 2 6 6 4 5 3 24 Valenne Fredrick '27
Nora Pierce '26
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 2 4 6 7 6 25 Nora Synnott '27
Sally Egan '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 7 5 5 3 8 28 Nathan Pitha '27 [1-2]
Ari Shrabstein '27 [3-5]
Josh Raikman '27 [1-2]
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 1 5 7 7 8 4 31 Pax Hubers '26
Juan Cardona Izaquiel '26
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 4 8 8 6 7 33 Colton Petronaci '28
Drew Wolkowicz '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - Red 1 1 2 1 1 6 Davis Poor '28 [1-2]
Elizabeth Spillane '28 [3-5]
Leo Lothian '28 [1-2]
Lilly Menyhart '28 [3-5]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves - White 2 2 1 4 3 12 Madeleine Carr '27 [1-2]
Grady Gao '27 [3-5]
Kay Wetmore '27 [1-2]
Pearson Wu '28 [3-5]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 3 3 4 2 2 14 Maia Muzio '27 [1-2, 5]
Raghav Devulpalli '27 [3-4]
Ewan Zhang '27 [1-2, 5]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 5 4 3 6 7 25 Maddie Cleary '28
Mia Cleary '27
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 4 5 6 8 4 27 Clementine Notis '28
Anya Schabort '26
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 1 6 6 7 3 6 28 Geoffrey Belich '25
Daniil Sheenko '28
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Falcons 2 7 7 5 5 5 29 Kyle Benesch-Lee '28
Will Norman '28
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 8 8 8 7 8 39 Ezra White '28
Giancarlo Oliveira '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11335
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons 122446
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons 233557
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons44668
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen55771
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles66882
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - Red77113
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - White88224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles22446
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons 133557
Cambridge R&L SchoolCambridge R&L School Falcons 244668
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons55771
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen66882
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles77113
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - Red88224
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves - White11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Ben Reuter '28 Kai Beland '27
Eagles Ezra White '28 Giancarlo Oliveira '28
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Pax Hubers '26 Juan Cardona Izaquiel '26
Falcons 1 Geoffrey Belich '25 Daniil Sheenko '28
Cambridge R&L School Cambridge R&L School Valenne Fredrick '27 Nora Pierce '26
Falcons 2 Kyle Benesch-Lee '28 Will Norman '28
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Colton Petronaci '28 Drew Wolkowicz '27
Dragons Clementine Notis '28 Anya Schabort '26
Hingham High School Hingham High School Nora Synnott '27 Sally Egan '27
Habormen Maddie Cleary '28 Mia Cleary '27
Sharon High School Sharon High School Nathan Pitha '27 [1-2]
Ari Shrabstein '27 [3-5]
Josh Raikman '27 [1-2]
Eagles Maia Muzio '27 [1-2, 5]
Raghav Devulpalli '27 [3-4]
Ewan Zhang '27 [1-2, 5]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Patrick Tomlinson '28 [1-2, 5]
Ben Glennon '28 [3-4]
Will Brooks '28 [1-2, 5]
George Spalding '28 [3-4]
Seawolves - Red Davis Poor '28 [1-2]
Elizabeth Spillane '28 [3-5]
Leo Lothian '28 [1-2]
Lilly Menyhart '28 [3-5]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Colin Macinnis '27 [1-2, 5]
Finn Ladue '27 [3-4]
Blake Appleton '28 [1-2, 5]
Nick Proudlove '27 [3-4]
Seawolves - White Madeleine Carr '27 [1-2]
Grady Gao '27 [3-5]
Kay Wetmore '27 [1-2]
Pearson Wu '28 [3-5]

Conditions — 10/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1031.9 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1031.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tabor Academy: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.61 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →