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VISA Hague JV Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 12 12
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 13 13
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 33 33
4 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 34 34
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 41 41
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 43 MRP 43 MRP
7 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 1 43 43
8 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 2 46 46
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 52 52
10 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 58 58
11 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 64 MRP 64 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 2 2 2 2 1 3 12 Charlie Moore '27
Jack Duggan '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 3 3 1 2 1 13 Pierson Teer '27 [1-2]
Kaia Deane '28 [3-6]
Kaia Deane '28 [1-2]
Pierson Teer '27 [3-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 9 6 3 7 4 33 Asher Heath '29
Preston Chaing '29
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 9 4 5 4 4 8 34 Madeline Monteith '29
Sam Fox-Goens '28
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 7 6 4 6 DSQ 6 41 Ben Warburton '27
Soham Patel '28
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 1 1 1 5 8 7 43 MRP Jesse Hanenburg '30
Adam Hauselman '30
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 1 5 5 7 8 9 9 43 Claire Ballard '29
Rayne Wehrlin '28
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 2 6 7 8 11 3 11 46 Liam Brennan '29 [1-2, 6]
Hayden Issler '28 [3-5]
Everett Mattox '29 [1-2, 6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders DSQ DSQ 11 7 5 5 52 Brett Clemmey '27 [1-2]
Hayden Newman '25 [3-6]
Caiden Williams '29 [1-2, 4-6]
Hyatt Hadley '29 [3]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 10 10 9 9 10 10 58 Elizabeth Jensen '25 [1-6]
Olivia Jensen '27 [1-3]
Stephen Utley '27 [4-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 8 8 10 10 6 2 64 MRP Mollie Armentrout '28
Henry Van Orman '30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses777777
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons888888
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets 1999999
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets 2101010101010
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1111111111111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2121212121212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1161616161616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2171717171717
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders181818181818

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 9.7 kn
From S (187°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine5.2 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1010.5 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →