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VISA JV Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 12 12
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 22 22
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 44 44
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 57 MRP 57 MRP
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 60 60
6 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 2 63 63
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 70 70
8 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 3 70 70
9 York High School York High School Falcons 1 73 73
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 83 83
11 York High School York High School Falcons 2 85 85
12 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 86 86
13 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 1 135 135
14 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 155 MRP 155 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 12 Carlos Ruiz Ibanez '27
Anson Huang '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 3 1 3 3 1 2 5 2 22 Pierson Teer '27
Ayden Claussen '28
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 4 5 3 5 6 11 6 1 3 44 Asher Heath '29 [1-9]
Soham Patel '28 [1-3]
Sylvie Gajdek '30 [4-9]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 3 2 6 2 5 5 3 6 5 57 MRP Liam Brennan '29
David Murphy '30
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 7 9 4 8 4 3 10 11 4 60 Kaia Deane '28
Rivers Hickey '28
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 2 8 4 9 4 2 8 7 10 11 63 Everett Mattox '29
Rayne Wehrlin '28
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 5 8 10 7 8 9 4 4 DSQ 70 Ben Warburton '27 [1-9]
Kate Stufflebeem '30 [1-3]
Preston Chaing '29 [4-9]
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 3 10 11 5 6 11 4 5 8 10 70 Claire Ballard '29
Ryan Mouak '28
York High School York High School Falcons 1 6 6 8 10 10 7 11 7 8 73 Cooper Simpson '30
Jackson Mapp '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 12 12 11 11 7 6 9 9 6 83 Ethan Kerns '29
Win Williston '30
York High School York High School Falcons 2 9 7 12 9 12 12 12 3 9 85 Molly-Sue Tremblay '29
Daniel Simpson '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 11 10 7 12 9 10 8 12 7 86 Nicholas Cromartie '27
Nate Isaac '28
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 135 Avi Yashaev '28
Hayden Issler '28
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 155 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1151515151515151515
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2161616161616161616
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3171717171717171717
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4181818181818181818
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets 1333333333
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets 2444444444
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets 3555555555
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1101010101010101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2111111111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3121212121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1131313131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2141414141414141414
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 1111111111
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 2222222222

Conditions — 11/02/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1026.6 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover33% Sunshine7.7 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1026.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Collegiate: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.85 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Collegiate by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Norfolk Collegiate, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →