Norfolk Collegiate School
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.12 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 8–2 (80%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 1 | — | 8–2 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 8–2 against 9.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-05 | VISA Thursday Team Race Series | crew | 2.06 | 0.15 | 8–2 | 9.5 | −1.90 | 1.9 | 99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Norfolk Academy JV Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Poquoson JV Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| VISA JV Fleet Championship | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Hampton Roads Academy Fleet Regatta | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| VISA Fleet Championship | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| VISA Christchurch Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | B | — | — | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA JV Fleet Champs | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| VISA Catholic JV Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA CCS Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | A, B | — | — | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Thursday Team Race Series | Crew | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA York County Fleet Race JV Regatta | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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