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VISA Catholic JV Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Bruton High School Bruton High School Panthers 14 14
2 York High School York High School Falcons 2 24 24
3 York High School York High School Falcons 1 33 33
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 39 39
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 42 42
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 49 49
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 55 55
8 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 78 78
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 83 83
10 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 93 93
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 95 95
12 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 96 96
13 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 115 115
14 Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls 122 MRP 122 MRP
15 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 124 MRP 124 MRP
16 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 135 135
17 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 152 152
18 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 172 MRP 172 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bruton High School Bruton High School Panthers 2 1 2 3 1 1 3 1 14 Collin Mcpherson '24
Gabriel Shen '25
York High School York High School Falcons 2 3 2 3 1 5 2 4 4 24 Grayson Kelly '27
Tyler Compton '29
York High School York High School Falcons 1 5 3 9 2 4 3 2 5 33 Liam Burke '27
Dylan Thomas '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 4 5 6 5 3 5 8 3 39 Mare Barasik '26
Jacob Carey '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 4 1 12 2 DNS 1 2 42 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-8]
Gabby Crass '26 [1-2, 6-8]
Eraj Zaidi '25 [3-5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 6 7 8 4 7 4 6 7 49 Margaret Poston '28 [1-2, 6-8]
Mady Mcgee '27 [3-5]
Mady Mcgee '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Will Poynter '27 [3-4]
Shiza Zahir '28 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 7 8 5 7 6 6 7 9 55 Davis Broach '27 [1-2, 6-8]
Foard Hunter '27 [3-5]
Iro Catravas '25 [1-3, 6-8]
Soham Patel '28 [4-5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 10 10 7 DNS 10 7 9 6 78 Carlton Gill '26 [1-8]
Jonathan Rutter '27 [1-3, 7-8]
Riddick Walton '26 [4-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 12 9 14 11 9 10 10 8 83 Hunter Walton '25
Alessandra Henesey '27
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 9 14 DNS 9 8 11 11 12 93 Hunter Heckman '26
Sebastian Rodriguez '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 8 6 4 8 12 DNS DNS DNS 95 David Martin '26 [1-8]
Owen Peluso '26 [1-2]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [3-8]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 DNS 11 13 10 11 9 12 11 96 Abbie Kiggans '23
Kelly Lee '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 14 13 12 6 13 DNF DNS DNS 115 Corrine Todd '27 [1-8]
Willow Johnson '27 [1-3]
Leia Silverstein '23 [4-8]
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls DNS 12 15 14 DNF 8 5 10 122 MRP Caleb Nichols '25
Owen Wagner '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 13 15 11 13 14 12 13 13 124 MRP Kate Jonson '25 [1-8]
Cherry Phan '25 [1-4]
Graham Friesner '25 [5-6]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [7-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 DNS 10 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNF 135 Scarlett Foster '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Aisha Elrahhal '28 [3-4]
Aisha Elrahhal '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Scarlett Foster '26 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 152 No Show
No Show
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 172 MRP Graham Friesner '25
Suzie Nguyen '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bruton High SchoolBruton High School Panthers1414141414141414
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 111111111
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 222222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 133333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 244444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 355555555
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors1313131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 177777777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 288888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 399999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 41010101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11717171717171717
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21818181818181818
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11111111111111111
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21212121212121212
Williamsburg Classical AcademyWilliamsburg Classical Academy Owls66666666
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 11515151515151515
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 21616161616161616
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bruton High School Bruton High School Panthers Collin Mcpherson '24 Gabriel Shen '25
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 Hunter Heckman '26 Sebastian Rodriguez '25
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 Abbie Kiggans '23 Kelly Lee '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 Kate Jonson '25 [1-8] Cherry Phan '25 [1-4]
Graham Friesner '25 [5-6]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [7-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 Graham Friesner '25 Suzie Nguyen '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 Mare Barasik '26 Jacob Carey '26
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors Scarlett Foster '26 [1-2, 5-8]
Aisha Elrahhal '28 [3-4]		 Aisha Elrahhal '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Scarlett Foster '26 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-8] Gabby Crass '26 [1-2, 6-8]
Eraj Zaidi '25 [3-5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 David Martin '26 [1-8] Owen Peluso '26 [1-2]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [3-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 Margaret Poston '28 [1-2, 6-8]
Mady Mcgee '27 [3-5]		 Mady Mcgee '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Will Poynter '27 [3-4]
Shiza Zahir '28 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 4 Davis Broach '27 [1-2, 6-8]
Foard Hunter '27 [3-5]		 Iro Catravas '25 [1-3, 6-8]
Soham Patel '28 [4-5]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 Corrine Todd '27 [1-8] Willow Johnson '27 [1-3]
Leia Silverstein '23 [4-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 No Show No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Hunter Walton '25 Alessandra Henesey '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Carlton Gill '26 [1-8] Jonathan Rutter '27 [1-3, 7-8]
Riddick Walton '26 [4-6]
Williamsburg Classical Academy Williamsburg Classical Academy Owls Caleb Nichols '25 Owen Wagner '25
York High School York High School Falcons 1 Liam Burke '27 Dylan Thomas '28
York High School York High School Falcons 2 Grayson Kelly '27 Tyler Compton '29

Conditions — 10/08/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 13.2 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From N (4°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover60% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.25 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →