VISA Christchurch Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 15 27 42
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 24 21 45
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 38 10 48
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 38 18 56
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 50 28 78
6 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 30 57 87
7 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 61 35 96
8 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 51 51 102
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 51 52 103
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 49 57 106
11 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 45 MRP 67 MRP 112 MRP
12 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 43 78 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 1 3 1 4 3 15 Bo Angus '25
Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 8 5 4 1 1 24 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 1 4 1 9 9 6 30 Blake Goodwin '23
Helen Schmuck '23
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 6 7 6 DSQ 2 4 38 Sean Trudell '24
Sabrina Casagrande '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 10 2 4 7 7 8 38 Maison Koepke '23
Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 8 9 10 5 6 5 43 Alex Salzberg '25
Tucker Peltier '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 3 7 6 5 2 45 MRP Parker Moore '25
Pierce Brindley '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 7 6 2 8 DNS DNS 49 Audrey Permenter '23
Amanda Wong '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 9 5 8 2 DNS DNS 50 Rebecca Schill '23
Marin Soderberg '24
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 4 12 11 11 3 10 51 Kieran Mason '26
Molly Hanson '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 12 10 9 3 8 9 51 Aubrey Walton '23 [1-6]
Tyler Sebring '27 [1-3]
Jackson Raymond '27 [4-5]
Riddick Walton '26 [6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 11 11 12 10 10 7 61 Olivia Gilmore '23
Cate Rutter '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 10 Henry Allgeier '23
Eliana Mopper '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 4 2 3 2 6 1 18 Jeffrey "Jj" Klempen '23
Simone Moss '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 1 3 7 3 4 3 21 Kiana Beachy '24
Clara Murphy '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 5 4 5 6 5 2 27 Guillem Balaguer Soler '26
Cherry Phan '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 3 6 6 4 3 6 28 Hunter Wheary '24 [1-6]
Emily Britt '23 [1-4]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 6 5 9 8 2 5 35 Cam Brewer '24
Emery Hill '23
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 10 11 4 9 8 9 51 Angelo Bellecci '25 [1-4]
Scarlett Foster '26 [5-6]
Chloe Anderson '24 [1-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 8 10 10 10 7 7 52 Barrett Wise '23 [1-6]
Brett Clemmey '27 [1-3]
Hunter Walton '25 [4-6]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 9 8 8 11 DNF 8 57 Felix Susta '27
Tyler Compton '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 11 9 11 7 9 10 57 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-2, 6]
Foard Hunter '27 [3-5]
Foard Hunter '27 [1-2, 6]
Will Poynter '27 [3-5]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 7 7 2 5 DSQ DNF 67 MRP Leila Pfrang '25
Josie Brindley '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers333333
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators444444
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors666666
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2121212121212
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1131313131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2141414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers333333
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators444444
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors666666
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2121212121212
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1131313131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2141414141414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Maison Koepke '23 Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Seahorses 1 Jeffrey "Jj" Klempen '23 Simone Moss '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Seahorses 2 Guillem Balaguer Soler '26 Cherry Phan '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Blake Goodwin '23 Helen Schmuck '23
Clippers Felix Susta '27 Tyler Compton '29
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Pierce Brindley '24
Navigators Leila Pfrang '25 Josie Brindley '26
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 Molly Hanson '23
Warriors Angelo Bellecci '25 [1-4]
Scarlett Foster '26 [5-6]
Chloe Anderson '24 [1-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Sean Trudell '24 Sabrina Casagrande '25
Bulldogs 1 Henry Allgeier '23 Eliana Mopper '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Rebecca Schill '23 Marin Soderberg '24
Bulldogs 2 Hunter Wheary '24 [1-6] Emily Britt '23 [1-4]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Audrey Permenter '23 Amanda Wong '25
Bulldogs 3 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-2, 6]
Foard Hunter '27 [3-5]
Foard Hunter '27 [1-2, 6]
Will Poynter '27 [3-5]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Jackson Delanty '23
Oaks 1 Kiana Beachy '24 Clara Murphy '23
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Alex Salzberg '25 Tucker Peltier '26
Oaks 2 No Show No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Olivia Gilmore '23 Cate Rutter '24
Islanders 1 Cam Brewer '24 Emery Hill '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Aubrey Walton '23 [1-6] Tyler Sebring '27 [1-3]
Jackson Raymond '27 [4-5]
Riddick Walton '26 [6]
Islanders 2 Barrett Wise '23 [1-6] Brett Clemmey '27 [1-3]
Hunter Walton '25 [4-6]

Conditions — 04/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1011.7 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From SW (232°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1011.7 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.23 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →