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VISA Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 7 4 11
2 Granby High School Granby High School Comets 10 20 30
3 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 28 10 38
4 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 34 10 44
5 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 19 35 54
6 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 16 40 56
7 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 31 31 62
8 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 13 64 77
9 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 51 46 97
10 Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 36 64 100
11 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 37 64 101
12 York High School York High School Falcons 64 64 128
13 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 64 64 128
14 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 64 64 128
15 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 64 64 128
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 1 1 3 7 Henry Allgeier '23
Marin Soderberg '24
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 4 3 2 1 10 James Allgeier '27 [1-4]
Aliyah Oakley '23 [1-2]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 1 RDG 5 4 13 Pierce Brindley '24
Charlie Moore '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 RDG 4 3 5 16 Kiana Beachy '24
Jackson Delanty '23
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 7 2 4 6 19 Blake Goodwin '23
Helen Schmuck '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 RDG DNF 2 28 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 9 9 6 7 31 Charlotte Stillman '23
Nathan Libby '26
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 10 7 7 10 34 Reagan Evans '23
Gabby Cloe '24
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA 5 6 DNF 9 36 Angelo Bellecci '25 [1-4]
Henri Paris '27 [1-2]
Chloe Anderson '24 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 8 5 DNF 8 37 Kieran Mason '26
Molly Hanson '23
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights DNF 11 8 DNF 51 Wandrille Paris '26
Madison Bivins '25
York High School York High School Falcons DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 64 Grif Mahan '25 [1-2]
Liam Burke '27 [3-4]
Dylan Thomas '28 [1-2]
Evan Britton '27 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 1 1 4 Sean Trudell '24
Jack Poynter '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 2 3 3 10 Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-4]
Lillian Rippel '25 [1-2]
Caspian Collett '25 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 3 2 2 10 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-4]
Josie Brindley '26 [1-2]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [3-4]
Granby High School Granby High School Comets 5 6 5 4 20 Justina Reynolds '24
Madeline Ballard '25
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons DNF 4 6 5 31 Thomas Bloys '24 [1-4]
Austin Sadler '26 [1-2]
Michael Chase '23 [3-4]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers DNF 5 RDG RDG 35 Nick Fogt '23 [1]
Grif Mahan '25 [2-4]
Felix Susta '27 [1]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 DNF 4 DNF 40 Alex Salzberg '25 [1-2]
Maddie Murphy '25 [3-4]
Tucker Peltier '26 [1-2]
Alex Salzberg '25 [3-4]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights DNF 7 7 DNS 46 Tancrede Paris '23
Zoe Hughes '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 64 Pierce Brindley '24
Sarah Moore '29
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Heritage - VA DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 64 No Show
No Show
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors DNF DNF DNS DNS 64 Scarlett Foster '26
Chloe Anderson '24
York High School York High School Falcons DNF DNF DNF DNS 64 Liam Burke '27 [1-4]
Tyler Compton '29 [1, 3-4]
Evan Britton '27 [2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers14141414
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets1111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 17777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 28888
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA9999
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors10101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores2222
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs12121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 116161616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 218181818
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights11111111
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 14444
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 25555
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons3333
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons15151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers14141414
Granby High SchoolGranby High School Comets1111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 17777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 28888
Heritage High School - VAHeritage High School - VA Heritage - VA9999
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors10101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores2222
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs12121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 116161616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 218181818
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights11111111
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 14444
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 25555
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons3333
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons15151515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grafton High School Grafton High School Blake Goodwin '23 Helen Schmuck '23
Clippers Nick Fogt '23 [1]
Grif Mahan '25 [2-4]		 Felix Susta '27 [1]
Granby High School Granby High School James Allgeier '27 [1-4] Aliyah Oakley '23 [1-2]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [3-4]
Comets Justina Reynolds '24 Madeline Ballard '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Navigators 1 Leila Pfrang '25 [1-4] Josie Brindley '26 [1-2]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Pierce Brindley '24 Charlie Moore '27
Navigators 2 Pierce Brindley '24 Sarah Moore '29
Heritage High School - VA Heritage High School - VA Angelo Bellecci '25 [1-4] Henri Paris '27 [1-2]
Chloe Anderson '24 [3-4]
Heritage - VA No Show No Show
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 Molly Hanson '23
Warriors Scarlett Foster '26 Chloe Anderson '24
Maury High School Maury High School Reagan Evans '23 Gabby Cloe '24
Commodores Tucker Mcgrady '26 [1-4] Lillian Rippel '25 [1-2]
Caspian Collett '25 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Henry Allgeier '23 Marin Soderberg '24
Bulldogs Sean Trudell '24 Jack Poynter '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Kiana Beachy '24 Jackson Delanty '23
Oaks 1 Alex Salzberg '25 [1-2]
Maddie Murphy '25 [3-4]		 Tucker Peltier '26 [1-2]
Alex Salzberg '25 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School No Show No Show
Oaks 2 No Show No Show
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Wandrille Paris '26 Madison Bivins '25
Knights Tancrede Paris '23 Zoe Hughes '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School No Show No Show
Islanders 1 No Show No Show
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School No Show No Show
Islanders 2 No Show No Show
The Hague School The Hague School Charlotte Stillman '23 Nathan Libby '26
Tritons Thomas Bloys '24 [1-4] Austin Sadler '26 [1-2]
Michael Chase '23 [3-4]
York High School York High School Grif Mahan '25 [1-2]
Liam Burke '27 [3-4]		 Dylan Thomas '28 [1-2]
Evan Britton '27 [3-4]
Falcons Liam Burke '27 [1-4] Tyler Compton '29 [1, 3-4]
Evan Britton '27 [2]

Conditions — 05/27/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
18.3 kn
avg  ·  max 19.4 kn
Gusts to 33.6 kn
From NE (51°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.9 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 21 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Collegiate: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.38)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.38
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.42 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.38 means a rating gap counts about 33% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Collegiate by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Norfolk Collegiate, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →