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VISA Hampton Roads Academy Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 9 9 18
2 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 22 4 26
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 15 11 26
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 22 6 28
5 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 21 25 46
6 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 45 51
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 10 45 55
8 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 11 45 56
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 26 45 71
10 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 29 45 74
11 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 40 45 85
12 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 45 45 90
13 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 45 45 90
14 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 45 45 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 1 3 2 6 Sean Trudell '24
Jack Poynter '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 1 6 9 Rafael "Rafa" De Tomas Pereda '25
Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 4 2 4 10 Owen Grainger '24
Maria Del Rosario De Tomas Perello '23
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 5 5 1 11 Pierce Brindley '24 [1-3]
Josie Brindley '26 [1-2]
Gianna Dewey '23 [3]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 6 6 3 15 Henry Allgeier '23
Marin Soderberg '24
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 7 7 7 21 Blake Goodwin '23
Felix Susta '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 4 DSQ 22 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 8 9 5 22 Kiana Beachy '24
Clara Murphy '23
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 9 8 9 26 Olivia Gilmore '23
Aubrey Walton '23
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 10 11 8 29 Charlotte Stillman '23
Michael Chase '23
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors DSQ 10 DNS 40 Kieran Mason '26
Molly Hanson '23
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores DNS DNS DNS 45 No Show
No Show
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 DNS DNS DNS 45 James Savage '23
Anna Iacobucci '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS 45 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 2 1 1 4 Leila Pfrang '25
Stone Dewey '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 1 2 3 6 Maddie Murphy '25
Jackson Delanty '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 4 2 9 Guillem Balaguer Soler '26
Elliott Lipp '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 4 3 4 11 Audrey Permenter '23
David Martin '26
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers DNF 5 5 25 Nick Fogt '23 [1-3]
Grayson Kelly '27 [1]
Felix Susta '27 [2-3]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 DNS DNS DNS 45 Mady Mcgee '27
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 DNS DNS DNS 45 Gianna Dewey '23
Charlie Moore '27
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons DNS DNS DNS 45 No Show
No Show
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors DNS DNS DNS 45 Scarlett Foster '26
Chloe Anderson '24
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores DNS DNS DNS 45 No Show
No Show
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 DNS DNS DNS 45 Grant Fernandez '27
Foard Hunter '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 DNS DNS DNS 45 No Show
No Show
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 DNF DNS DNS 45 William "Bo" Angus '25
Simone Moss '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders DNF DNS DNS 45 Cam Brewer '24
Emery Hill '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1151515
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2161616
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors181818
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3999
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders444
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers555
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1151515
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2161616
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors181818
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3999
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131313
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders444
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons111111

Conditions — 04/08/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1030.7 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.3 kn
avg  ·  max 16.4 kn
Gusts to 30.7 kn
From NE (54°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.8 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1030.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hampton Roads: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 14% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hampton Roads by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Hampton Roads, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →