2025 Sea Otter Regatta - SILVER

HostCarmel/Monterey/Pacific Grove/Stevenson
Date10/11/2025
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		Junipero Serra High School	JSerra	89	31	120
2		SF University High School	Red Devils	47	75	122
3		Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	84	52	136
4		Blue and Gold	Varsity	100	72	172
5		Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech	133	52	185
6		The Urban School	Blues	74	127	201
7		Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	133	71	204
8		Stevenson School	Pirates	110	110	220
9		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	73	168	241
10		The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	138	122	260
11		San Domenico High School	Panthers	142	119	261
12		St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	66	200	266
13		Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	187	91	278
14		Pacific Grove High School	Breakers	151	131	282
15	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	135	164	299
16		Burlingame High School	Burlingame	107	213	320
17		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	203	117	320
18		Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders	98	241	339
19		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	201	156	357
20		Alameda High School	Hornets	190	179	369
21		Carmel High School	Padres	167	214	381
22		Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	234	166	400
23		Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	126	286	412
24		Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	239	173	412
25		Encinal High School	Jets	208	207	415
26		Miramonte High School	Matadors	204	231	435
27		The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	276	164	440
28		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	203	254	457
29		St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	271	247	518
30		Marin Catholic	Wildcats	236	294	530
31		Monterey High School	Toreadores	279	251	530
32		Proof School	Proof	291	313	604

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
	SF University High School	Red Devils	2	7	4	8	6	1	5	2	5	7	47	James Franzone '27 Tj Walsh '28
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	13	1	12	6	10	5	7	8	3	1	66	Melina Ahrens '27 Ella Schwartz '27
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	3	2	3	4	7	3	10	3	12	26	73	Jason Chan '26 Sevianne Botiller '26
	The Urban School	Blues	OCS	5	2	5	4	14	2	4	1	4	74	Henry Scalise '26 [1-10] Mackenzie Burns '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Adabella London '28 [3-4, 7-8]
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	17	6	5	12	18	11	6	5	2	2	84	Jack Wicker '27 Casiel Toy-Lim '28
	Junipero Serra High School	JSerra	15	23	1	1	1	15	11	1	8	13	89	Francisco Dias '28 Luca Mejia-Young '28
	Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders	12	12	7	2	12	21	1	17	11	3	98	Nolan Balocki '27 Jai Walthew '27
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	9	9	8	15	RDG	8	3	10	14	14	100	Sam Suddath '26 Hanah Yin '26
	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	4	4	6	14	3	19	19	12	21	5	107	Finn Hayes '26 Scarlett Bounds '26
	Stevenson School	Pirates	5	3	20	19	RDG	7	17	13	9	6	110	Nate Burgstone '28 Dillan Spence '27
	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	6	16	9	16	14	22	12	9	13	9	126	William Jojarth '27 Kira Pelkofer '27
	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	1	11	19	17	8	4	26	19	18	10	133	Penelope Kershaw '26 Lila Rodet '27
	Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech	DNS	20	21	7	9	17	8	6	4	8	133	Garrett Connorton '27 Teagan Ezakovich '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	14	21	10	10	17	9	16	16	10	12	135	Abigail Fenholt '28 Jack Brodsky '30
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	20	13	15	25	16	6	4	11	RDG	RDG	138	Gus Gossett '27 Jt Scott '28
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	22	25	29	11	11	2	13	7	6	16	142	Seamus Crain '26 Kiyomi Dallaskidd '27
	Pacific Grove High School	Breakers	7	15	RDG	24	5	12	20	14	28	11	151	Edward Shelton '27 Mako Greening '27
	Carmel High School	Padres	16	10	RDG	3	13	28	9	22	19	30	167	June Emerson '28 [1-10] Andrew Pfeiffer '29 [1-4, 7-10] Liam Stafford '28 [5-6]
	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	8	19	18	18	19	25	22	18	25	15	187	Jesse Rushing '28 Emilio Bottrell-Rogers '27
	Alameda High School	Hornets	19	22	14	9	22	24	18	20	23	19	190	Zach Siskind '28 Luke Johnson '26
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	29	14	17	13	23	27	25	21	15	17	201	Cameron Collman '26 Daphne Yurch '27
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	11	26	22	20	RDG	RDG	15	32	24	18	203	Julia Musial '26 Lada Nosar '26
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	24	28	28	22	2	10	29	24	16	20	203	Gideon Palestrant '27 Flynn Rossington '27
	Miramonte High School	Matadors	21	8	11	23	24	16	21	23	32	25	204	Ella Maas '31 Collin Finegan '26
	Encinal High School	Jets	27	24	16	29	25	13	30	15	7	22	208	Grace Harriet '27 Katie Koh '27
	Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	10	27	DNS	21	20	26	23	28	17	29	234	Lily Yao '26 Mira Goldman '27
	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	18	17	24	32	21	18	27	25	27	27	236	Stella Ward Turko '27 Zoe Bruce '26
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	25	18	13	30	28	23	14	30	30	28	239	Maya Cortez '28 [1-4, 7-10] Hailey Elias '28 [5-6] Ellie Snow '29 [1-6] Nash Benson '29 [7-10]
	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	30	32	23	26	27	32	31	29	20	21	271	Alex Shum '27 [1-6, 9-10] Lauren Yu '27 [7-8] Miles Canapary '29 [1-6] Alex Shum '27 [7-8] Lauren Yu '27 [9-10]
	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	26	29	25	28	26	29	32	31	26	24	276	Lusia Foster '26 [1-10] Isla Mcleod '29 [1-2, 5-6] Oliver Cross '29 [3-4, 7-10]
	Monterey High School	Toreadores	23	30	26	31	29	30	24	26	RDG	32	279	Hailey Law '28 Embla Liljegard '30
	Proof School	Proof	28	31	27	27	30	31	28	27	31	31	291	Cris Chai '29 Sylvia Imbens '29

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	TOT	Sailors
	Junipero Serra High School	JSerra	3	8	1	6	4	1	1	2	4	1	31	Leon Blaine '29 Joshua Hsu '28
	Oakland Technical High School	Oakland Tech	1	3	9	2	5	5	11	6	RDG	RDG	52	Hera Handy-Madsen '27 Tenzin Pahl '27
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	7	2	2	3	2	13	5	5	3	10	52	Bea Melet '29 William Redwine '28
	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 1	9	9	18	7	9	3	2	3	2	9	71	Cullen Rushing '28 Henry Kershaw '29
	Blue and Gold	Varsity	11	1	6	5	3	6	13	8	12	7	72	Ava Reas '26 Matthew Undereood '27
	SF University High School	Red Devils	5	30	14	8	1	4	3	1	6	3	75	Lucia Franzone '29 [1-10] Aristu Sachdev '28 [1-6] Reeve Char '27 [7-10]
	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets 2	2	10	4	1	22	16	7	10	1	18	91	Owen Alper '26 Cecilia De La Torre '26
	Stevenson School	Pirates	25	19	3	4	15	14	4	4	5	17	110	Tommy O'Hara '29 Ryan Ferguson '28
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	17	7	10	14	13	15	10	12	15	4	117	Gideon Palestrant '27 Flynn Rossington '27
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	21	14	5	9	12	9	8	17	11	13	119	Praire Press '26 [1-2, 5-10] Django Press '28 [3-4] Xander Helming '26 [1-2, 5-10] Cara Parks '27 [3-4]
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	12	5	17	16	14	10	14	18	8	8	122	Mackenzie Mikulich '29 [1-2, 5-10] Kourosh Sarafpour '26 [3-4] Kourosh Sarafpour '26 [1-2, 5-8] Hannah Greenough '29 [3-4, 9-10]
	The Urban School	Blues	22	11	21	13	6	2	18	14	14	6	127	Azia Winn '29 [1-10] Dakota Burns '28 [1-2, 7-8] Maya Youssef '28 [3-6, 9-10]
	Pacific Grove High School	Breakers	4	21	16	17	7	8	9	13	24	12	131	James Archer '27 Myah Solomon '28
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	13	15	7	11	21	DNF	6	11	20	19	156	Reid Imwalle '26 Kenneth Frost '26
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	20	13	8	21	11	11	12	23	16	29	164	Ishaan Peterson '28 Sarah Green '30
	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	27	17	25	26	18	7	20	15	7	2	164	Armaan Patel '29 [1-2, 5-10] Katharine Mackenzie '27 [3-4] Flora Ebringer '27 [1-6, 9-10] Katharine Mackenzie '27 [7-8]
	Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	8	6	23	19	8	20	19	21	18	24	166	Cj Phelan '26 Clara Commons '28
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	18	24	12	18	RDG	RDG	22	20	9	11	168	Leland Howard '26 George Faragallah '27
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	10	4	11	12	10	DNF	16	29	DSQ	15	173	Dylhan Bajaj '28 [1-10] Meliah Medeiros '28 [1-6] Bryce Miyahara-Miller '29 [7-10]
	Alameda High School	Hornets	15	18	13	15	19	DNF	15	16	21	14	179	Logan Schwimmer '26 Gertie Kennedy '29
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	29	27	20	22	20	21	21	7	13	20	200	Sawyer Brandt '30 Christian Wohn '29
	Encinal High School	Jets	16	29	28	10	23	DNF	17	19	10	22	207	Lucie Harriet '29 Jack Sheets '28
	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	24	32	15	20	16	12	25	26	22	21	213	Kieran Clarke '26 Lucia Hayes '26
	Carmel High School	Padres	6	23	DNF	24	26	19	26	22	19	16	214	Samuel Weaver '26 Eliana Emerson '29
	Miramonte High School	Matadors	19	20	22	25	17	22	23	24	DNF	26	231	Jack Diessner '31 Peter Makhanov '30
	Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders	14	12	19	DNF	DNF	DNF	24	25	23	25	241	Kaia Burris '27 Leonard Tan '29
	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Wildcats	23	22	27	27	24	DNF	29	27	30	5	247	Jack Laipply '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Lucas Shum '28 [3-4, 7-8] Lauren Yu '27 [1-6] Jack Laipply '27 [7-8] Lucas Shum '28 [9-10]
	Monterey High School	Toreadores	OCS	25	26	28	28	18	28	9	28	28	251	Jackson Fields '28 Liam Wynn '27
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	28	26	24	23	25	17	27	28	26	30	254	Niko Stavrakis '26 Ransom Anderson '28
	Mountain View High School (CA)	Mountain View	DNS	16	29	30	27	DNF	30	30	25	DNF	286	Lucia Wheeler '27 Kierra Adam '27
	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	26	28	DNF	29	DNF	DNF	31	31	27	23	294	Logan Purcell '28 [1-10] Nils Krueger '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Dilan Figueroa '28 [3-4, 7-8]
	Proof School	Proof	30	31	DNF	DNS	DNF	DNF	32	32	29	27	313	Jefferey Silverman '29 [1-10] Madelyn Zhu '30 [1-2, 5-10] Sophia Barizone '28 [3-4]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.210+0.21

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A
	Alameda High School Hornets	30	30	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38
	Archbishop Riordan Crusaders	31	31	61	61	59	59	57	57	55	55
	Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1	32	32	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
	Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2	33	33	31	31	61	61	59	59	57	57
	Burlingame High School Burlingame	35	35	33	33	31	31	61	61	59	59
	Carmel High School Padres	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	37	37	35	35	33	33	31	31	61	61
	Encinal High School Jets	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
	Blue and Gold Varsity	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
	Harvard-Westlake Varsity	39	39	37	37	35	35	33	33	31	31
	The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	60	60	30	30	32	32	34	34	36	36
	Marin Catholic Wildcats	41	41	39	39	37	37	35	35	33	33
	Miramonte High School Matadors	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
	Monterey High School Toreadores	43	43	41	41	39	39	37	37	35	35
	Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
	Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech	45	45	43	43	41	41	39	39	37	37
	Pacific Grove High School Breakers	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	47	47	45	45	43	43	41	41	39	39
	Proof School Proof	49	49	47	47	45	45	43	43	41	41
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
	Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
	San Domenico High School Panthers	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	53	53	51	51	49	49	47	47	45	45
	Junipero Serra High School JSerra	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
	SF University High School Red Devils	51	51	49	49	47	47	45	45	43	43
	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60	30	30
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	55	55	53	53	51	51	49	49	47	47
	Stevenson School Pirates	56	56	58	58	60	60	30	30	32	32
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	57	57	55	55	53	53	51	51	49	49
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	58	58	60	60	30	30	32	32	34	34
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	59	59	57	57	55	55	53	53	51	51
	The Urban School Blues	61	61	59	59	57	57	55	55	53	53

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B
	Alameda High School Hornets	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
	Archbishop Riordan Crusaders	30	30	60	60	58	58	56	56	54	54
	Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 1	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
	Berkeley High School Yellowjackets 2	32	32	30	30	60	60	58	58	56	56
	Burlingame High School Burlingame	34	34	32	32	30	30	60	60	58	58
	Carmel High School Padres	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	36	36	34	34	32	32	30	30	60	60
	Encinal High School Jets	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
	Blue and Gold Varsity	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43
	Harvard-Westlake Varsity	38	38	36	36	34	34	32	32	30	30
	The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	61	61	31	31	33	33	35	35	37	37
	Marin Catholic Wildcats	40	40	38	38	36	36	34	34	32	32
	Miramonte High School Matadors	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
	Monterey High School Toreadores	42	42	40	40	38	38	36	36	34	34
	Mountain View High School (CA) Mountain View	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
	Oakland Technical High School Oakland Tech	44	44	42	42	40	40	38	38	36	36
	Pacific Grove High School Breakers	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	46	46	44	44	42	42	40	40	38	38
	Proof School Proof	48	48	46	46	44	44	42	42	40	40
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
	Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
	San Domenico High School Panthers	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	52	52	50	50	48	48	46	46	44	44
	Junipero Serra High School JSerra	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
	SF University High School Red Devils	50	50	48	48	46	46	44	44	42	42
	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco Wildcats	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61	31	31
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	54	54	52	52	50	50	48	48	46	46
	Stevenson School Pirates	57	57	59	59	61	61	31	31	33	33
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	56	56	54	54	52	52	50	50	48	48
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	59	59	61	61	31	31	33	33	35	35
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	58	58	56	56	54	54	52	52	50	50
	The Urban School Blues	60	60	58	58	56	56	54	54	52	52

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Alameda High School	Zach Siskind '28	Luke Johnson '26
	Hornets	Logan Schwimmer '26	Gertie Kennedy '29
	Archbishop Riordan	Nolan Balocki '27	Jai Walthew '27
	Crusaders	Kaia Burris '27	Leonard Tan '29
	Berkeley High School	Penelope Kershaw '26	Lila Rodet '27
	Yellowjackets 1	Cullen Rushing '28	Henry Kershaw '29
	Berkeley High School	Jesse Rushing '28	Emilio Bottrell-Rogers '27
	Yellowjackets 2	Owen Alper '26	Cecilia De La Torre '26
	Blue and Gold	Sam Suddath '26	Hanah Yin '26
	Varsity	Ava Reas '26	Matthew Undereood '27
	Burlingame High School	Finn Hayes '26	Scarlett Bounds '26
	Burlingame	Kieran Clarke '26	Lucia Hayes '26
	Carmel High School	June Emerson '28 [1-10]	Andrew Pfeiffer '29 [1-4, 7-10] Liam Stafford '28 [5-6]
	Padres	Samuel Weaver '26	Eliana Emerson '29
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Jack Wicker '27	Casiel Toy-Lim '28
	Cubs	Bea Melet '29	William Redwine '28
	Encinal High School	Grace Harriet '27	Katie Koh '27
	Jets	Lucie Harriet '29	Jack Sheets '28
	Harvard-Westlake	Lily Yao '26	Mira Goldman '27
	Varsity	Cj Phelan '26	Clara Commons '28
	Junipero Serra High School	Francisco Dias '28	Luca Mejia-Young '28
	JSerra	Leon Blaine '29	Joshua Hsu '28
	Marin Catholic	Stella Ward Turko '27	Zoe Bruce '26
	Wildcats	Logan Purcell '28 [1-10]	Nils Krueger '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Dilan Figueroa '28 [3-4, 7-8]
	Miramonte High School	Ella Maas '31	Collin Finegan '26
	Matadors	Jack Diessner '31	Peter Makhanov '30
	Monterey High School	Hailey Law '28	Embla Liljegard '30
	Toreadores	Jackson Fields '28	Liam Wynn '27
	Mountain View High School (CA)	William Jojarth '27	Kira Pelkofer '27
	Mountain View	Lucia Wheeler '27	Kierra Adam '27
	Oakland Technical High School	Garrett Connorton '27	Teagan Ezakovich '27
	Oakland Tech	Hera Handy-Madsen '27	Tenzin Pahl '27
	Pacific Grove High School	Edward Shelton '27	Mako Greening '27
	Breakers	James Archer '27	Myah Solomon '28
	Palos Verdes High School	Jason Chan '26	Sevianne Botiller '26
	Sea Kings	Leland Howard '26	George Faragallah '27
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Julia Musial '26	Lada Nosar '26
	Panthers	Niko Stavrakis '26	Ransom Anderson '28
	Proof School	Cris Chai '29	Sylvia Imbens '29
	Proof	Jefferey Silverman '29 [1-10]	Madelyn Zhu '30 [1-2, 5-10] Sophia Barizone '28 [3-4]
	Redondo Union High School	Maya Cortez '28 [1-4, 7-10] Hailey Elias '28 [5-6]	Ellie Snow '29 [1-6] Nash Benson '29 [7-10]
	Sea Hawks	Dylhan Bajaj '28 [1-10]	Meliah Medeiros '28 [1-6] Bryce Miyahara-Miller '29 [7-10]
	SF University High School	James Franzone '27	Tj Walsh '28
	Red Devils	Lucia Franzone '29 [1-10]	Aristu Sachdev '28 [1-6] Reeve Char '27 [7-10]
	San Domenico High School	Seamus Crain '26	Kiyomi Dallaskidd '27
	Panthers	Praire Press '26 [1-2, 5-10] Django Press '28 [3-4]	Xander Helming '26 [1-2, 5-10] Cara Parks '27 [3-4]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Abigail Fenholt '28	Jack Brodsky '30
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Dragons	Ishaan Peterson '28	Sarah Green '30
	St. Ignatius College Preparatory - San Francisco	Alex Shum '27 [1-6, 9-10] Lauren Yu '27 [7-8]	Miles Canapary '29 [1-6] Alex Shum '27 [7-8] Lauren Yu '27 [9-10]
	Wildcats	Jack Laipply '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Lucas Shum '28 [3-4, 7-8]	Lauren Yu '27 [1-6] Jack Laipply '27 [7-8] Lucas Shum '28 [9-10]
	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	Melina Ahrens '27	Ella Schwartz '27
	St Joseph Notre Dame	Sawyer Brandt '30	Christian Wohn '29
	Stevenson School	Nate Burgstone '28	Dillan Spence '27
	Pirates	Tommy O'Hara '29	Ryan Ferguson '28
	Tamalpais High School	Cameron Collman '26	Daphne Yurch '27
	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Reid Imwalle '26	Kenneth Frost '26
	Tamalpais High School	Gideon Palestrant '27	Flynn Rossington '27
	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Gideon Palestrant '27	Flynn Rossington '27
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Gus Gossett '27	Jt Scott '28
	Breakers	Mackenzie Mikulich '29 [1-2, 5-10] Kourosh Sarafpour '26 [3-4]	Kourosh Sarafpour '26 [1-2, 5-8] Hannah Greenough '29 [3-4, 9-10]
	The International School of San Francisco	Lusia Foster '26 [1-10]	Isla Mcleod '29 [1-2, 5-6] Oliver Cross '29 [3-4, 7-10]
	Jaguars	Armaan Patel '29 [1-2, 5-10] Katharine Mackenzie '27 [3-4]	Flora Ebringer '27 [1-6, 9-10] Katharine Mackenzie '27 [7-8]
	The Urban School	Henry Scalise '26 [1-10]	Mackenzie Burns '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Adabella London '28 [3-4, 7-8]
	Blues	Azia Winn '29 [1-10]	Dakota Burns '28 [1-2, 7-8] Maya Youssef '28 [3-6, 9-10]

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 69% · Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

63°F

↑ 66°F ↓ 58°F

Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

9.1 kn

avg · max 14.6 kn

Gusts to 31.5 kn

From NNW (329°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 11 kn · NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Carmel/Monterey/Pacific Grove/Stevenson: a typical day (−0.00)

Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.

Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Carmel/Monterey/Pacific Grove/Stevenson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Carmel/Monterey/Pacific Grove/Stevenson: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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