Champions of the Bay

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 W.B. Ray High School W.B. Ray High School Texans 1 14 14
2 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 3 23 23
3 London High School London High School Pirates 3 27 27
4 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 2 29 29
5 London High School London High School Pirates 2 36 36
6 Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 1 43 43
7 London High School London High School Pirates 1 54 54
8 W.B. Ray High School W.B. Ray High School Texans 2 65 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
W.B. Ray High School W.B. Ray High School Texans 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 3 2 14 Maximo Hudlow '26
Dylanie Gutierrez '27
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 3 2 2 1 2 2 5 4 5 23 Yasmeen Djilali '27
Claira Shores '27
London High School London High School Pirates 3 4 5 2 6 3 3 1 3 27 Jack Schroeder '27
Kaylee Coleman '26
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 2 5 4 RAF 3 4 1 2 1 29 Jessica Hobbs '27
Breanna Kreft '27
London High School London High School Pirates 2 3 3 5 4 5 4 6 6 36 June Schroeder '29
Casey Coleman '28
Flour Bluff High School Flour Bluff High School Hornets 1 6 6 4 5 7 6 5 4 43 Caroline Levandowski '27
Sophia Koester '26
London High School London High School Pirates 1 7 7 6 7 6 7 7 7 54 Sophia Dickey '27
Molly O'Kelly '28
W.B. Ray High School W.B. Ray High School Texans 2 8 8 7 DNF 8 8 8 DNF 65 Levi Garcia '28
Tzael Garcia '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Hornets 144444444
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Hornets 299999999
Flour Bluff High SchoolFlour Bluff High School Hornets 31616161616161616
London High SchoolLondon High School Pirates 111111111
London High SchoolLondon High School Pirates 21515151515151515
London High SchoolLondon High School Pirates 32020202020202020
W.B. Ray High SchoolW.B. Ray High School Texans 177777777
W.B. Ray High SchoolW.B. Ray High School Texans 21111111111111111

Conditions — 11/15/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From SSE (157°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at London: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.65 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at London by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at London: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →