MDISA Gunston T3 Fleet

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gunston Gunston Herons 1 7 13 20
2 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 16 5 21
3 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 14 25 39
4 Gunston Gunston Herons 2 22 21 43
5 Langley High School Langley High School Saxons 31 17 48
6 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 25 31 56
7 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 25 32 57
8 Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 40 39 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 1 2 1 1 2 7 Connor Joyce '26 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Thomas '26 [3-4]
Meredith Dalzell '28 [1-2, 5]
Iza Warot '26 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 1 5 5 1 14 Michael Patrick Sarich '30 [1-2, 5]
Sara Barmucci '29 [3-4]
Vivian Zinder '28 [1-2, 5]
Hollyann Pierson '27 [3-4]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 6 3 2 2 3 16 Kailash Hsu '30 [1-5]
Arabella Laws Dunn '29 [1-4]
Mark Driver '27 [5]
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 3 7 4 3 5 22 Joseph Boucher '27 [1-2, 5]
Mason Griffith '29 [3-4]
Alayna Thompson '26 [1-2, 5]
Jake Hanlon '27 [3-4]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 4 5 3 6 7 25 Ruby Turner '26
Will Carnell '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 7 4 6 4 4 25 Nathan Cayer '28 [1-5]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [1-2]
Josephine Iglio '29 [3-5]
Langley High School Langley High School Saxons 5 6 7 7 6 31 Emma Kopelman '30
Carmen Appel '28
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds 8 8 8 8 8 40 Max Liu '27
Dylan Liu '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 1 1 1 1 1 5 Eliana Arteaga '29
Noah French '29
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 2 2 2 5 2 13 Harrison Lavery '26 [1-2, 5]
Liam Freihofer '28 [3-4]
Soren Badger '26 [1-2, 5]
Malou Trinkner '27 [3-4]
Langley High School Langley High School Saxons 3 3 3 4 4 17 Sebastian Swierczek '29
Avery Lange '31
Gunston Gunston Herons 2 4 4 6 2 5 21 Cooper Speach '29 [1-2]
Aj Friedrich '27 [3-5]
Harper Houseknecht '29 [1-2, 5]
Cameron Koterwas '29 [3-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 5 6 5 3 6 25 Grace Churchman '29
Emma Bliss '29
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 6 7 7 8 3 31 George Macmillian '29 [1-5]
Samuel Wells '27 [1-2]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3-5]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals DNF 5 4 7 7 32 Valerie Lemko '28
Naomi Middleman '30
Gilman School Gilman School Greyhounds DNF 8 8 6 8 39 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds55779
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers88101012
Langley High SchoolLangley High School Saxons9911111
GunstonGunston Herons 1668810
GunstonGunston Herons 2779911
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1111113
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions1212224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins44668
Gilman SchoolGilman School Greyhounds668810
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers9911111
Langley High SchoolLangley High School Saxons101012122
GunstonGunston Herons 1779911
GunstonGunston Herons 288101012
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals1212224
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Michael Patrick Sarich '30 [1-2, 5]
Sara Barmucci '29 [3-4]
Vivian Zinder '28 [1-2, 5]
Hollyann Pierson '27 [3-4]
Bruins Grace Churchman '29 Emma Bliss '29
Gilman School Gilman School Max Liu '27 Dylan Liu '27
Greyhounds No Show No Show
Gunston Gunston Connor Joyce '26 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Thomas '26 [3-4]
Meredith Dalzell '28 [1-2, 5]
Iza Warot '26 [3-4]
Herons 1 Harrison Lavery '26 [1-2, 5]
Liam Freihofer '28 [3-4]
Soren Badger '26 [1-2, 5]
Malou Trinkner '27 [3-4]
Gunston Gunston Joseph Boucher '27 [1-2, 5]
Mason Griffith '29 [3-4]
Alayna Thompson '26 [1-2, 5]
Jake Hanlon '27 [3-4]
Herons 2 Cooper Speach '29 [1-2]
Aj Friedrich '27 [3-5]
Harper Houseknecht '29 [1-2, 5]
Cameron Koterwas '29 [3-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Nathan Cayer '28 [1-5] Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [1-2]
Josephine Iglio '29 [3-5]
Buccaneers George Macmillian '29 [1-5] Samuel Wells '27 [1-2]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3-5]
Langley High School Langley High School Emma Kopelman '30 Carmen Appel '28
Saxons Sebastian Swierczek '29 Avery Lange '31
Towson High School Towson High School Ruby Turner '26 Will Carnell '27
Generals Valerie Lemko '28 Naomi Middleman '30
Washington Latin Washington Latin Kailash Hsu '30 [1-5] Arabella Laws Dunn '29 [1-4]
Mark Driver '27 [5]
Lions Eliana Arteaga '29 Noah French '29

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1024.2 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 4.0 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1024.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at The Gunston: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.98 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Gunston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at The Gunston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →