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MDISA KENT ISLAND T2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 17 14 31
2 Gunston Gunston Herons 27 9 36
3 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 27 14 41
4 Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 18 39 57
5 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 28 33 61
6 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 26 46 72
7 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 32 43 75
8 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 48 41 89
9 Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 58 33 91
10 Basis DC Basis DC Basis DC 49 58 107
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 5 3 3 2 1 3 17 Geatan Ismael '28
Ellie Lawrence '29
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 1 1 2 1 7 6 18 Sophia Hammond '26 [1-6]
Eloise Graf '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlotte Borsella '28 [3-4]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 8 5 1 7 4 1 26 Anna Makovich '26 [1-6]
Naomi Middleman '30 [1-4]
Valerie Lemko '28 [5-6]
Gunston Gunston Herons 4 8 4 3 3 5 27 Joseph Mcgeady '27
Ethan Paniere '27
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 6 4 6 5 2 4 27 James Reilly '28
Charlotte Burkholder '29
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 3 7 5 6 5 2 28 Soren Lange '28
Will Nelson '26
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 2 9 4 6 9 32 Samuel Wells '27 [1-6]
Emma Parks '29 [1-4]
Josephine Iglio '29 [5-6]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 7 6 10 9 8 8 48 Charlie Larson '28 [1-6]
Charan Ghambir '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Little '28 [3-4]
Basis DC Basis DC Basis DC 9 9 7 8 9 7 49 Jack Murphy '29 [1-6]
Mia Laguerre '30 [1-4]
Ilsa Nagey '29 [5-6]
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 10 10 8 10 10 10 58 Eliana Arteaga '29
Noah French '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 2 1 2 2 1 9 Mercer Rensberger '29
Annabelle Baker '26
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 2 3 3 1 3 2 14 Romeo Cayangyang '27
Anna Grace Gutfleish '27
Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 1 2 3 1 4 14 Georgia Knoepfle '29
Farrah Maddox '29
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 4 5 5 8 6 5 33 Marcus Kozlowski '26
Liam Lange '28
Washington Latin Washington Latin Lions 5 4 6 5 4 9 33 Kailash Hsu '30
Arabella Laws Dunn '29
Notre Dame Preparatory School Notre Dame Preparatory School Blazers 9 6 4 4 9 7 39 Izzy Norgaard '26
Alette Norgaard '30
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 7 8 8 10 5 3 41 Kiera Seahawk '30
Rory Campbell '27
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 8 7 7 6 7 8 43 Teagan Leigh '28 [1-4]
Nathan Cayer '28 [5-6]
Chris Cool '27 [1-4]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [5-6]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 6 9 10 7 8 6 46 Sebastian Haber '27 [1-6]
Valerie Lemko '28 [1-2]
Eli Eib '26 [3-6]
Basis DC Basis DC Basis DC 10 10 9 9 10 10 58 Nash Thomas '27 [1-6]
Ceci Lepore '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Tyler Mcgeorge '28 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Basis DCBasis DC Basis DC113355
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights224466
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals557799
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers446688
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers66881010
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals88101022
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks991133
GunstonGunston Herons335577
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals779911
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions10102244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Basis DCBasis DC Basis DC224466
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights335577
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals66881010
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers557799
Notre Dame Preparatory SchoolNotre Dame Preparatory School Blazers779911
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals991133
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks10102244
GunstonGunston Herons446688
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals88101022
Washington LatinWashington Latin Lions113355

Conditions — 09/21/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From E (92°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.22)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.22 means a rating gap counts about 19% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →