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MDISA Kent Island T3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 17 27 44
2 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 16 44 60
3 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 33 33 66
4 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 42 25 67
5 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 37 31 68
6 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 42 37 79
7 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 47 45 92
8 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 54 52 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 5 2 1 1 3 1 1 2 16 Liam Grigg '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Lily ... '29 [5-6]
Lily ... '29 [1-4, 7-8]
Liam Grigg '28 [5-6]
Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 1 3 2 2 2 4 2 1 17 Maram Rihane '28
Ben Seahawk '30
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 3 4 3 6 1 2 8 6 33 James Kesler '29
Connor Geary '30
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 4 5 5 5 6 5 4 3 37 Nathan Cayer '28 [1-4, 7-8]
George Macmillian '29 [5-6]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [1-2, 5-8]
George Macmillian '29 [3-4]
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 2 1 6 7 8 6 7 5 42 Finn Falk '30
John Thomas Pachler '30
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 8 6 7 3 4 3 3 8 42 Emma Parks '29 [1-8]
Claire Oehlerking '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Josephine Iglio '29 [3-4, 7-8]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 7 8 4 4 5 7 5 7 47 Rory Campbell '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlie Larson '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Andrew Shinn '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 6 7 8 8 7 8 6 4 54 Sara Barmucci '29
Hollyann Pierson '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 2 3 3 1 3 4 6 3 25 Jason Bergerson '28
Kadee Clowry '28
Crofton High School Crofton High School Crofton 3 4 6 3 4 2 3 2 27 Kiera Seahawk '30
Robert David '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 5 2 2 6 2 1 4 DSQ 31 Andrew Lavoie '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Billets '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Cool '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 6 1 2 1 7 5 5 33 Nikki Rahim '29 [1-4]
Andrew Jarrell '29 [5-8]
Vikki Rahim '29 [1-4]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 1 4 1 8 8 5 6 1 4 37 Lucia Zaklin '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3-4]
Addison Rupard '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Ruby Wolfe '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 1 7 4 7 6 3 7 RAF 44 Annalyn Belser '30 [1-4]
Lucianno Russo '27 [5-8]
Sarah Ramson '27 [1-4]
Kaelyn Sunday '28 [5-8]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 8 8 5 5 8 8 2 1 45 Julia Deaton '29 [1-6]
Jack Little '28 [7-8]
Jack Little '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Tomas ... '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 5 7 4 7 5 8 RAF 52 Grace Churchman '29 [1-4]
Emma Bliss '29 [5-8]
Vivian Zinder '28 [1-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers1133557
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244668
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins3355771
Crofton High SchoolCrofton High School Crofton4466882
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 15577113
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 26688224
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks7711335
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs8822446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers2244668
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers3355771
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins4466882
Crofton High SchoolCrofton High School Crofton5577113
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 16688224
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers 27711335
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks8822446
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Finn Falk '30 John Thomas Pachler '30
Panthers Jason Bergerson '28 Kadee Clowry '28
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding James Kesler '29 Connor Geary '30
Cavaliers Nikki Rahim '29 [1-4]
Andrew Jarrell '29 [5-8]		 Vikki Rahim '29 [1-4]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Sara Barmucci '29 Hollyann Pierson '27
Bruins Grace Churchman '29 [1-4]
Emma Bliss '29 [5-8]		 Vivian Zinder '28 [1-4]
Crofton High School Crofton High School Maram Rihane '28 Ben Seahawk '30
Crofton Kiera Seahawk '30 Robert David '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Emma Parks '29 [1-8] Claire Oehlerking '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Josephine Iglio '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Buccaneers 1 Lucia Zaklin '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [3-4]		 Addison Rupard '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Ruby Wolfe '29 [3-4, 7-8]
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Nathan Cayer '28 [1-4, 7-8]
George Macmillian '29 [5-6]		 Lillyanne Spelhaug '27 [1-2, 5-8]
George Macmillian '29 [3-4]
Buccaneers 2 Andrew Lavoie '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Ben Billets '27 [3-4, 7-8]		 Teagan Leigh '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Cool '27 [3-4, 7-8]
South River High School South River High School Rory Campbell '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlie Larson '28 [3-4, 7-8]		 Andrew Shinn '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Seahawks Julia Deaton '29 [1-6]
Jack Little '28 [7-8]		 Jack Little '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Tomas ... '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Southern High School Southern High School Liam Grigg '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Lily ... '29 [5-6]		 Lily ... '29 [1-4, 7-8]
Liam Grigg '28 [5-6]
Bulldogs Annalyn Belser '30 [1-4]
Lucianno Russo '27 [5-8]		 Sarah Ramson '27 [1-4]
Kaelyn Sunday '28 [5-8]

Conditions — 10/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1026.5 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From SSW (211°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1026.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kent Island: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.18)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.21 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 15% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kent Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Kent Island, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →