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VISA Poquoson JV Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 24 24
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 30 30
3 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 42 42
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 43 43
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 45 45
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 46 46
7 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 49 49
8 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 61 61
9 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 66 66
10 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 67 67
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 82 82
12 York High School York High School Falcons 1 84 84
13 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 93 93
14 York High School York High School Falcons 2 93 93
15 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 108 108
16 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 125 MRP 125 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 5 4 10 2 1 1 1 24 Jack Duggan '28 [1-7]
Josie Brindley '26 [1-2]
Patrick Bielewicz '28 [3-7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity 1 1 1 1 13 9 4 30 Xavier Assis '31 [1-4]
Mason Piccillo '29 [5-7]
Preston Chaing '29 [1-4, 7]
Win Williston '30 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 3 9 2 14 6 6 2 42 Asher Heath '29 [1-7]
Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-4]
Caroline Wetherington '30 [5-7]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 7 6 6 5 9 7 3 43 Childs Jack '32
Liara Boardman '31
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 9 5 5 13 3 2 8 45 Alex Hogg '29
Paula Sancho '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 4 8 4 10 8 5 7 46 Palmer Paddock '28
Coco Durant '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 8 7 9 4 2 13 6 49 Caroline Gordley '30 [1-7]
Caroline Gordley '29 [1-4]
John Bellin '31 [5-7]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 6 16 8 9 4 3 15 61 Eloise Breguet '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Aline Hughes '30 [3-4, 7]
Aline Hughes '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Eloise Breguet '29 [3-4, 7]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 14 3 11 11 7 10 10 66 Leo Schuck '31 [1-6]
Amaya Buxton '29 [7]
John Bellin '31 [1-2]
Amaya Buxton '29 [3-6]
Caroline Gordley '29 [7]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 16 10 12 3 10 4 12 67 Lillian Melzer '30
Danie Greenwood '31
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 10 12 7 12 11 17 13 82 Kate Stufflebeem '30 [1-4, 7]
Blaze Martin '30 [5-6]
Win Williston '30 [1-2]
Abigail Nordeen '31 [3-4]
Robby Thompson '31 [5-6]
Alec Conger '30 [7]
York High School York High School Falcons 1 12 11 15 6 15 16 9 84 Cooper Simpson '30
Gray Walton '31
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 13 14 13 15 12 12 14 93 Brandon Bouma '29
Max Williams '29
York High School York High School Falcons 2 15 15 16 7 14 15 11 93 Elden Crossett '31
Taggart Henry '29
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 11 17 17 16 16 14 17 108 Tristan Campbell '27 [1-7]
Addy Lucas '28 [1-3]
Greg Dolewski '31 [4-5]
Michael Hedgecock '29 [6-7]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 17 13 14 17 17 11 16 125 MRP Anson Huang '26
Aaron Griffith '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 12222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 23333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 34444444
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators7777777
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8888888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 19999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 210101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 311111111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 112121212121212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 213131313131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks5555555
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders16161616161616
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 117171717171717
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons 218181818181818
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders Brandon Bouma '29 Max Williams '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 Alex Hogg '29 Paula Sancho '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 Anson Huang '26 Aaron Griffith '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 Palmer Paddock '28 Coco Durant '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators Jack Duggan '28 [1-7] Josie Brindley '26 [1-2]
Patrick Bielewicz '28 [3-7]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors Lillian Melzer '30 Danie Greenwood '31
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 Eloise Breguet '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Aline Hughes '30 [3-4, 7]		 Aline Hughes '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Eloise Breguet '29 [3-4, 7]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 Leo Schuck '31 [1-6]
Amaya Buxton '29 [7]		 John Bellin '31 [1-2]
Amaya Buxton '29 [3-6]
Caroline Gordley '29 [7]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 3 Caroline Gordley '30 [1-7] Caroline Gordley '29 [1-4]
John Bellin '31 [5-7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Kate Stufflebeem '30 [1-4, 7]
Blaze Martin '30 [5-6]		 Win Williston '30 [1-2]
Abigail Nordeen '31 [3-4]
Robby Thompson '31 [5-6]
Alec Conger '30 [7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Asher Heath '29 [1-7] Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-4]
Caroline Wetherington '30 [5-7]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Varsity Xavier Assis '31 [1-4]
Mason Piccillo '29 [5-7]		 Preston Chaing '29 [1-4, 7]
Win Williston '30 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks Childs Jack '32 Liara Boardman '31
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders Tristan Campbell '27 [1-7] Addy Lucas '28 [1-3]
Greg Dolewski '31 [4-5]
Michael Hedgecock '29 [6-7]
York High School York High School Falcons 1 Cooper Simpson '30 Gray Walton '31
York High School York High School Falcons 2 Elden Crossett '31 Taggart Henry '29

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From SSW (193°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Poquoson: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Poquoson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Poquoson, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →