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VISA York County JV Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 10 10
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 19 19
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 19 19
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 7 21 21
5 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 22 22
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 39 39
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 44 44
8 York High School York High School Falcons 48 48
9 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 57 57
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 57 57
11 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 62 62
12 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 76 76
13 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 81 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 4 2 1 1 1 1 10 Lucia Valdez Guzman '28
Nancy Debaere '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 2 3 2 4 6 2 19 Sebastian Angus '29
Lyla Porter '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 5 1 5 3 2 3 19 Kaia Deane '28
Amaia Gonzalez Alvarez '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 7 3 5 4 2 3 4 21 Bennett Moss '26
Beau Cleaton '29
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 4 3 5 4 5 22 Jack Childs '32 [1-6]
Wallace Robinson '32 [1-3]
David Murphy '30 [4-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 7 6 8 6 5 7 39 Alex Hogg '29
Uma Carril Martin '29
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 7 7 7 7 10 44 Asher Heath '29 [1-6]
Kendall Mcnaughton '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Sylvie Gajdek '30 [3-4]
York High School York High School Falcons 9 8 6 11 8 6 48 Cooper Simpson '30 [1-6]
Elden Crossett '31 [1-2, 5-6]
Taggart Henry '29 [3-4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 10 11 10 8 10 8 57 Anson Huang '26
Maggie Mays '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 12 9 9 9 9 9 57 Eloise Bore '29 [1-6]
Caroline Wetherington '30 [1-2, 5-6]
Kate Stufflebeem '30 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 8 10 12 10 11 11 62 Ethan Kerns '29
Preston Chaing '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 11 12 11 DNS DNS DNS 76 Olivia Wolff '27
T'Mia Williams '29
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 13 13 13 DNS DNS DNS 81 Tristan Campbell '27
Greg Dolewski '31
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 5555555
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 6666666
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 7777777
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1888888
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2999999
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3101010101010
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks111111111111
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders121212121212
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons131313131313

Conditions — 09/27/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 96%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From E (85°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.4 hrs Humidity96% Pressure1013.1 hPa Rain0.48 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.55 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →