Christchurch School '28
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 0.94 | 185 of 337 | 11 | Fall 2025 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.95 (fleet 1.43) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.06 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 19–6 (76%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 5–3 | — |
| Fall 2025 | 2 | 14–3 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (25 matches) the record is 19–6 against 16.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.0). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | VISA Patterson Trophy and Team race Champs | skipper | 1.20 | 2.34 | 5–3 | 3.8 | +1.14 | 0.7 | 28% |
| 2025-10-11 | VISA Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.03 | 1.44 | 10–3 | 9.5 | +0.42 | 0.1 | 51% |
| 2025-10-04 | VISA NCS Team Regatta II | skipper | 0.82 | 3.82 | 4–0 | 2.7 | ≥+3.00 | 2.4 | 14% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA Patterson Trophy and Team race Champs | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| VISA NA Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | B | — | — | — |
| VISA Kecoughtan Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 4.4 | 1.92 |
| VISA Girls Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.5 | 1.59 |
| VISA CCS Fleet Regatta | Skipper | B | 7 | 4.3 | 2.01 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| VISA York County JV Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.7 | 2.88 |
| VISA Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 13 | 77% | — |
| VISA POQ Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.2 | -1.69 |
| VISA NCS Team Regatta II | Skipper | TR | 4 | 100% | — |
| VISA Maury Fleet Race Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.5 | 1.29 |
| MASSA Fall Girls Invitational Champs Silver Div. | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.8 | 1.25 |
| MASSA Fall Girls Invitational Champs Red Div | Skipper | A | 4 | 10.8 | 0.85 |
| MASSA Cressy Qualifier ILCA 6 Girls Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 2.3 | 0.64 |
| MASSA 2025 Keelboat Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 2.8 | — |
| 2025 ISSA Hogan Keelboat National Invitational Keelboat | Crew | A | 9 | 4.3 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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