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VISA POQ Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 34
2 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 86
3 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 91
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 93
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 116
6 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 138
7 Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 145
8 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 152
9 York High School York High School Falcons 198
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 207
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 B 1 6 2 2 2 3 16 Gp Keating '27
Henry Clair '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 A 4 3 3 1 1 6 18 Duncan Hardy '27
Millicent Branflick '26
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders A 3 2 9 3 12 4 33 Michael Martyak '29
Vincento Vendetti '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 B 5 4 8 11 10 2 40 Andres Gago Varela '27 [1-6]
Cayetana Fernandez Sanz '28 [1-5]
Miriam Garachana Rodriguez '27 [6]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators B 2 1 11 6 6 15 41 Madeline Monteith '29
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors B 9 11 5 4 3 10 42 William Chapman '28 [1-6]
Sullivan Downs '28 [1-2]
Paisley Riggins '31 [3-6]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators A 7 9 1 5 9 14 45 Charlie Moore '27 [1-4]
Josie Brindley '26 [5-6]
Patrick Bielewicz '28 [1-2]
Daphne Ambrosino '27 [3-6]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors A 8 10 4 12 7 8 49 Kieran Mason '26 [1-6]
Piper Cartwright '29 [1-4]
Parker Tuttle '31 [5-6]
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers B 12 12 13 9 5 1 52 Sophia Lopez '30
Lillian Moreira '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 A 6 7 7 10 14 9 53 Kai Raff '27 [1-6]
Olivia Wolff '27 [1-4]
Lyla Porter '28 [5-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 A 15 8 6 7 8 11 55 Pierson Teer '27
Ayden Claussen '28
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons B 10 5 12 8 15 5 55 Chase Young '28
Reagan Young '30
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 B 11 15 10 14 4 7 61 Lucia Valdez Guzman '28
Nancy Debaere '29
York High School York High School Falcons A 13 13 15 13 11 13 78 Grayson Kelley '27
Tyler Compton '28
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers A 17 16 19 16 13 12 93 Raquel Theriault '26
Rozlyn Theriault '29
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons A 14 17 17 17 16 16 97 Thatcher Elliott '27 [1-6]
Hunter Heckman '26 [1-2]
Emma Cunningham '27 [3-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders A 16 18 14 15 17 19 99 Jackson Raymond '27 [1-6]
Wyatt Raymond '30 [1-2]
Michael Hedgecock '29 [3-4]
Peyton Rollins '26 [5-6]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders B 19 14 18 18 18 18 105 Brandon Skaredoff '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Heckman '26 [3-4]
Emma Cunningham '27 [1-2]
Matthew Woodard '27 [3-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders B 18 19 16 19 19 17 108 Andrew Buyalos '27 [1-6]
Peyton Rollins '26 [1-3]
Wyatt Raymond '30 [4-6]
York High School York High School Falcons B 20 20 20 20 20 20 120 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders666666
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3555555
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons888888
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators121212121212
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors101010101010
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders141414141414
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers161616161616
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders777777
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2444444
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons999999
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators131313131313
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors111111111111
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders151515151515
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers171717171717
York High SchoolYork High School Falcons000000
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Michael Martyak '29 Vincento Vendetti '26
Crusaders Brandon Skaredoff '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Heckman '26 [3-4]		 Emma Cunningham '27 [1-2]
Matthew Woodard '27 [3-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Duncan Hardy '27 Millicent Branflick '26
Seahorses 1 Gp Keating '27 Henry Clair '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Pierson Teer '27 Ayden Claussen '28
Seahorses 2 Lucia Valdez Guzman '28 Nancy Debaere '29
Christchurch School Christchurch School Kai Raff '27 [1-6] Olivia Wolff '27 [1-4]
Lyla Porter '28 [5-6]
Seahorses 3 Andres Gago Varela '27 [1-6] Cayetana Fernandez Sanz '28 [1-5]
Miriam Garachana Rodriguez '27 [6]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Thatcher Elliott '27 [1-6] Hunter Heckman '26 [1-2]
Emma Cunningham '27 [3-6]
Falcons Chase Young '28 Reagan Young '30
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Charlie Moore '27 [1-4]
Josie Brindley '26 [5-6]		 Patrick Bielewicz '28 [1-2]
Daphne Ambrosino '27 [3-6]
Navigators Madeline Monteith '29 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 [1-6] Piper Cartwright '29 [1-4]
Parker Tuttle '31 [5-6]
Warriors William Chapman '28 [1-6] Sullivan Downs '28 [1-2]
Paisley Riggins '31 [3-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Jackson Raymond '27 [1-6] Wyatt Raymond '30 [1-2]
Michael Hedgecock '29 [3-4]
Peyton Rollins '26 [5-6]
Islanders Andrew Buyalos '27 [1-6] Peyton Rollins '26 [1-3]
Wyatt Raymond '30 [4-6]
Tabb High School Tabb High School Raquel Theriault '26 Rozlyn Theriault '29
Tigers Sophia Lopez '30 Lillian Moreira '29
York High School York High School Grayson Kelley '27 Tyler Compton '28
Falcons No Show No Show

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From SSW (193°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover57% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Poquoson: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Poquoson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Poquoson, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →