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Connecticut State Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Varsity 6 8 14
2 The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Varsity 9 19 28
3 Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 11 17 28
4 Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 14 20 34
5 Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Varsity 17 23 40
6 Vikings Vikings Vikings 35 8 43
7 Unregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team 17 30 47
8 Varsity Varsity Varsity 30 17 47
9 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Varsity 27 23 50
10 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 38 19 57
11 Branford High School Branford High School Hornets 25 38 63
12 Stamford High School Stamford High School Varsity 34 34 68
13 Xavier High School Xavier High School Varsity 42 32 74
14 Conestoga High School Conestoga High School Varsity 34 44 78
15 Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 31 50 81
16 The Williams School The Williams School Varsity 44 45 89
17 Warde Sailing Warde Sailing Warde Sailing 53 44 97
18 Daniel Hand High School Daniel Hand High School Varsity 59 47 106
19 The Sound School The Sound School Varsity 55 53 108
20 Princeton High School Princeton High School Varsity 50 59 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Varsity 2 3 1 6 Dylan Farrell '14
Alex Baskin '15
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Varsity 1 6 2 9 Chrissie Klingler '16
Jack Chrysler '16
Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 5 2 4 11 Sean Crabb '16
James Koerner '17
Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 7 4 3 14 William Dumke '16
Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Varsity 3 9 5 17 Anna Huebschmann '14
Maddi Reynolds '17
Unregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team 4 5 8 17
Branford High School Branford High School Hornets 13 1 11 25 Paul Howard-Flanders '15 [1-3]
Aleena Bianchi '16 [1-2]
Cassandra Collins '16 [3]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Varsity 8 12 7 27 Johnny Cuccio '14
Sophie Kay '15
Varsity Varsity Varsity 14 10 6 30
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 11 11 9 31 Kippy Ball '14
Sam Smith '14
Stamford High School Stamford High School Varsity 6 16 12 34 Josh Leclue '14
Conestoga High School Conestoga High School Varsity 9 8 17 34 Field Dougherty '16
Lizzie Bell '16
Vikings Vikings Vikings 12 7 16 35
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 10 13 15 38 Jake Ellis '15
Willy Kates '14
Xavier High School Xavier High School Varsity 15 17 10 42 Nick Porter '14 [1-3]
Robby Morrison '14 [1-2]
Ryland Parker '14 [3]
The Williams School The Williams School Varsity 16 15 13 44 Doug Hamilton '14
Allie Gardiner '14
Princeton High School Princeton High School Varsity 18 14 18 50 Nathan Drezner '16
Harrison Barfield '17
Warde Sailing Warde Sailing Warde Sailing DNF 18 14 53
The Sound School The Sound School Varsity 17 19 19 55 Sarah Mccart '14
Jake Colavolpe '14
Daniel Hand High School Daniel Hand High School Varsity 19 20 20 59 Sam Ruel '15
Andrew Mazzei '14
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Varsity 1 1 6 8 Taegan Blackwell '15
Lucy Robison '14
Vikings Vikings Vikings 3 4 1 8
Varsity Varsity Varsity 8 2 7 17
Toms River North Toms River North Varsity 11 3 3 17 Matt Roleke '15
Chloe Genakos '15
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Varsity 2 5 12 19 Emily Haig '17
Rachel Lang '17
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Varsity 9 6 4 19 Michael Fagundo '14
Briggs Lalor '17
Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 4 11 5 20 William Dumke '16
Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Varsity 5 7 11 23 Robert Blakelock '16
Jacob Meagher '16
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Varsity 6 9 8 23 Cameron Nash '17
O'Rourke Jack '14
Unregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team 13 8 9 30
Xavier High School Xavier High School Varsity 7 10 15 32 Gordon Gurnell '17
Maxwell Tulimieri '14
Stamford High School Stamford High School Varsity 14 18 2 34 Donal Ryan '14
Chelsea Campana '15
Branford High School Branford High School Hornets 10 14 14 38 Nate Barton '14
Julia Howard-Flanders '17
Conestoga High School Conestoga High School Varsity 12 15 17 44 Sam Harris '15
Hunter Jensen '17
Warde Sailing Warde Sailing Warde Sailing 18 13 13 44
The Williams School The Williams School Varsity 17 12 16 45 Russell Parker '14
Christine Gelotte '14
Daniel Hand High School Daniel Hand High School Varsity 20 17 10 47 Kate Mazzeo '14
Bill Brown '14
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 16 16 18 50 Caroline Bloomer '14
Jennifer Lobello '15
The Sound School The Sound School Varsity 15 19 19 53 Meghan Murphy '14
Huxley Conner '14
Princeton High School Princeton High School Varsity 19 20 20 59 Jack Sawyer '14
Marysia Kaminska '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Unregistered ME TeamUnregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team9910
Branford High SchoolBranford High School Hornets112
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Varsity334
Conestoga High SchoolConestoga High School Varsity443
Daniel Hand High SchoolDaniel Hand High School Varsity556
VarsityVarsity Varsity665
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Varsity778
Warde SailingWarde Sailing Warde Sailing221
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity887
VikingsVikings Vikings10109
Lewiston Porter High SchoolLewiston Porter High School Varsity111112
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Varsity121211
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Varsity131314
Stamford High SchoolStamford High School Varsity141413
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Varsity151516
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Varsity161615
The Sound SchoolThe Sound School Varsity171718
The Williams SchoolThe Williams School Varsity181817
Toms River NorthToms River North Varsity191920
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Varsity202019

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Unregistered ME TeamUnregistered ME Team Unregistered ME Team9910
Branford High SchoolBranford High School Hornets112
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Varsity334
Conestoga High SchoolConestoga High School Varsity443
Daniel Hand High SchoolDaniel Hand High School Varsity556
VarsityVarsity Varsity665
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Varsity778
Warde SailingWarde Sailing Warde Sailing221
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity887
VikingsVikings Vikings10109
Lewiston Porter High SchoolLewiston Porter High School Varsity111112
Princeton High SchoolPrinceton High School Varsity121211
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Varsity131314
Stamford High SchoolStamford High School Varsity141413
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Varsity151516
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Varsity161615
The Sound SchoolThe Sound School Varsity171718
The Williams SchoolThe Williams School Varsity181817
Toms River NorthToms River North Varsity191920
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Varsity202019
School / Team SkipperCrew
Branford High School Branford High School Paul Howard-Flanders '15 [1-3] Aleena Bianchi '16 [1-2]
Cassandra Collins '16 [3]
Hornets Nate Barton '14 Julia Howard-Flanders '17
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Dylan Farrell '14 Alex Baskin '15
Varsity Taegan Blackwell '15 Lucy Robison '14
Conestoga High School Conestoga High School Field Dougherty '16 Lizzie Bell '16
Varsity Sam Harris '15 Hunter Jensen '17
Daniel Hand High School Daniel Hand High School Sam Ruel '15 Andrew Mazzei '14
Varsity Kate Mazzeo '14 Bill Brown '14
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Johnny Cuccio '14 Sophie Kay '15
Varsity Cameron Nash '17 O'Rourke Jack '14
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Kippy Ball '14 Sam Smith '14
Varsity Caroline Bloomer '14 Jennifer Lobello '15
Lewiston Porter High School Lewiston Porter High School Anna Huebschmann '14 Maddi Reynolds '17
Varsity Robert Blakelock '16 Jacob Meagher '16
Princeton High School Princeton High School Nathan Drezner '16 Harrison Barfield '17
Varsity Jack Sawyer '14 Marysia Kaminska '16
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jake Ellis '15 Willy Kates '14
Varsity Emily Haig '17 Rachel Lang '17
Stamford High School Stamford High School Josh Leclue '14
Varsity Donal Ryan '14 Chelsea Campana '15
Staples High School Staples High School William Dumke '16
Varsity William Dumke '16
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Chrissie Klingler '16 Jack Chrysler '16
Varsity Michael Fagundo '14 Briggs Lalor '17
The Sound School The Sound School Sarah Mccart '14 Jake Colavolpe '14
Varsity Meghan Murphy '14 Huxley Conner '14
The Williams School The Williams School Doug Hamilton '14 Allie Gardiner '14
Varsity Russell Parker '14 Christine Gelotte '14
Toms River North Toms River North Sean Crabb '16 James Koerner '17
Varsity Matt Roleke '15 Chloe Genakos '15
Xavier High School Xavier High School Nick Porter '14 [1-3] Robby Morrison '14 [1-2]
Ryland Parker '14 [3]
Varsity Gordon Gurnell '17 Maxwell Tulimieri '14

Conditions — 04/26/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1008.5 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.5 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1008.5 hPa Rain0.32 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U.S. Coast Guard Academy: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.59 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U.S. Coast Guard Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at U.S. Coast Guard Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →