PCISA #5 Gaucho Silver Fleet

HostSanta Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara
Date03/15/2014
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Long Beach Wilson High School	Varsity	47	33	80
2	Tamalpais High School	Varsity	66	24	90
3	Loyola High School (CA)	Varsity	19	75	94
4	Archie Williams High School	Varsity	71	46	117
5	Coronado Islanders	JV 2	119	36	155
6	Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	99	58	157
7	Ventura High School	Varsity	81	87	168
8	Redwood High School	JV	66	115	181
9	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Varsity	112	72	184
10	Redondo Union High School	Varsity	113 MRP	85 MRP	198 MRP
11	Windward School	Varsity	97	102	199
12	Stevenson School	Varsity	97	123	220
13	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	52	176	228
14	Palos Verdes High School	JV	82	146	228
15	La Jolla High School	Varsity	161	92	253
16	Palisades Charter High School	Varsity	115	145	260
17	International HS - SF	Varsity	92	170	262
18	Sage Hill School	JV	123	149	272
19	Coronado Islanders	JV 1	165	115	280
20	Torrey Pines High School	Varsity	164	137	301
21	Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	175 MRP	131 MRP	306 MRP
22	Parker	JV	125	183	308
23	San Francisco University High School	Varsity	217	103	320
24	Santa Monica High School	Varsity	108	216	324
25	The Bishop's School	JV1	195	168	363
26	La Jolla High School	JV	190	175	365
27	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity	195	188	383
28	Bentley School	Varsity	217	169	386
29	Henry M. Gunn High School	Varsity	168	230	398
30	Campolindo High School	Varsity	217	216	433

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Loyola High School (CA)	Varsity	1	1	2	1	3	1	1	9	19	Christopher Weis '14 Grant Duncan '14
Long Beach Wilson High School	Varsity	5	2	1	3	6	3	11	16	47	Sawyer Gibbs '16 [1-8] Alan Peoples '17 [1-6] Cameron Thompson '14 [7-8]
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	2	3	6	5	1	5	9	21	52	Kyle Larsen '14 Peter Werner '17
Tamalpais High School	Varsity	10	8	10	4	7	7	15	5	66	Tyler Daniels '14 Devon Stoeber '15
Redwood High School	JV	12	11	11	20	4	4	2	2	66	Harry Schmidt '16 Chloe Belgum '16
Archie Williams High School	Varsity	6	4	9	RDG	15	10	12	4	71	Dylan Meade '16 Cameron Gibson '15
Ventura High School	Varsity	14	9	20	10	12	12	3	1	81	Ian Baldwin '15 Eric Martinez '18
Palos Verdes High School	JV	23	18	18	7	2	2	5	7	82	Alex Smith '13 Riece Lenders '15
International HS - SF	Varsity	8	7	7	6	8	24	10	22	92	Nicholai Sponholtz '15 [1-8] Annabelle Merlin '14 [1-2, 5-6] Sebastien Sponholtz '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Stevenson School	Varsity	16	23	4	8	23	6	6	11	97	Stuart Henry '17 Lance Zhou '15
Windward School	Varsity	17	5	8	14	9	11	16	17	97	Marie Line '15 [1-8] Gena Marburg '14 [1-2, 5-6] Ethan Stone '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	20	12	5	12	5	18	4	23	99	Ben Rohr '15 Diego Alvarez '15
Santa Monica High School	Varsity	7	10	16	18	14	8	22	13	108	Bennett Zemke '15 [1-8] Sam Weiller '15 [1-2, 5-6] Rayna Battista '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Varsity	15	13	12	15	17	15	13	12	112	Will Paulsen '15 [1-8] Emily Seeley '15 [1-6] Quinn Moslander '15 [7-8]
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	11	17	15	2	11	13	18	6	113 MRP	Emi Stephenoff '17 [1-8] Sophia Schumann '17 [1-2, 5-8] Angela Stuckey '16 [3-4]
Palisades Charter High School	Varsity	18	14	17	9	10	21	8	18	115	Sydney Avitia-Jacques '14 Whitney Yost '16
Coronado Islanders	JV 2	3	16	3	21	24	25	17	10	119	Owen Schafer '17 Casey King '16
Sage Hill School	JV	4	6	14	22	25	14	19	19	123	James Mather '14 Sydney Lake '16
Parker	JV	13	24	25	11	22	9	7	14	125	Richard Leary '14 Luke Pelessone '14
La Jolla High School	Varsity	9	25	19	19	18	BKD	27	24	161	Thomas Garcia '15 Joanna Garcia '15
Torrey Pines High School	Varsity	29	22	13	17	20	23	20	20	164	Peter Kuntz '14 Neil Gompf '17
Coronado Islanders	JV 1	22	27	21	25	21	17	24	8	165	Stewart Powell '17 Evan Arnold '17
Henry M. Gunn High School	Varsity	19	26	24	16	19	26	23	15	168	Elizabeth Avdanina '16 Miyako Miller '16
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	26	19	26	24	16	27	14	3	175 MRP	Mitchell Smith '14 Josh Maldonado '17
La Jolla High School	JV	24	28	27	28	13	16	28	26	190	Tom Godek '16 [1-2, 5-8] Melisa Conroy '15 [3-4] Kieran Bauman '16 [1-4] Matthew Burk '17 [5-6] Gavin Petilli '15 [7-8]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity	21	15	22	23	26	29	30	29	195	Ryder Easterlin '16 [1-6] Isa De La Torre '16 [7-8] Isa De La Torre '16 [1-2, 5-6] Jonar Tanguilig '16 [3-4, 7-8]
The Bishop's School	JV1	25	20	23	26	27	20	29	25	195	Marnie Bonner '15 [1-8] Chloe Winkler '16 [1-4] Jacqueline Dicks '15 [5-8]
Bentley School	Varsity	27	29	30	27	28	28	21	27	217	Lindsey Watters '14 Toby Watters '17
San Francisco University High School	Varsity	28	30	28	29	29	19	26	28	217	Ann Duncan '15 Meave Cunningham '17
Campolindo High School	Varsity	30	21	29	30	30	22	25	30	217	Uanoa Nelson '14 Kekoa Nelson '16

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Tamalpais High School	Varsity	2	4	2	5	1	2	6	2	24	Thomas Simkalo '14 Rachel Lansman '14
Long Beach Wilson High School	Varsity	1	2	4	1	5	1	14	5	33	Jack Berg '17 [1-8] Ryan Schack '17 [1-6] Alexis Hall '17 [7-8]
Coronado Islanders	JV 2	10	1	3	2	8	4	2	6	36	Tanner Chapko '17 Katie Roughneen '16
Archie Williams High School	Varsity	3	3	1	8	4	3	5	19	46	Sam Barton '17 Antonio Mejia '16
Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	4	7	18	4	9	9	4	3	58	Max Rohr '14 Meghan Oldham '18
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Varsity	17	15	6	6	12	14	1	1	72	Emiliano Bache '16 [1-8] Claire Mohen '15 [1-2, 5-8] Quinn Moslander '15 [3-4]
Loyola High School (CA)	Varsity	6	10	13	15	11	7	9	4	75	Dylan Finestone '15 Micah Shanks '15
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	11	11	12	3	3	10	7	8	85 MRP	Kyle Collins '17 [1-4, 7-8] Daniel Belton '15 [5-6] Hailey Smith '15 [1-2] Liam Guzman '15 [3-4, 7-8] Alec Caterson '15 [5-6]
Ventura High School	Varsity	7	6	8	16	18	22	3	7	87	Braedon Baum '17 [1-8] Emily Ward '17 [1-4] Arden Tanner '17 [5-8]
La Jolla High School	Varsity	13	14	7	13	7	6	20	12	92	Sajan Alagiri '17 Lauren Matich '17
Windward School	Varsity	22	13	16	25	2	5	10	9	102	Blake Schwartz '16 [1-4] William Line '16 [5-8] Andrea Munoz '16 [1-4, 7-8] Blake Schwartz '16 [5-6]
San Francisco University High School	Varsity	5	9	11	12	6	21	18	21	103	Lily Cunningham '17 Jeremy Gillespie '17
Redwood High School	JV	12	8	5	18	13	20	21	18	115	Michael Brandon '16 [1-2, 5-6] Tye Varnes '17 [3-4] Julian Weiswasser '15 [7-8] Megyn Horton '17 [1-2, 5-6] Julian Weiswasser '15 [3-4] Cyrus Radjoo '14 [7-8]
Coronado Islanders	JV 1	14	5	25	11	22	13	8	17	115	Jack Gumbleton '15 Joshua Gumbleton '15
Stevenson School	Varsity	9	19	15	7	10	16	16	DSQ	123	Christopher Chu '15 Lexie Codd '15
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity	8	22	17	10	19	8	12	15	131 MRP	Matthew Dimegilo '16 Nick Mccabe '15
Torrey Pines High School	Varsity	16	16	19	14	16	25	11	20	137	Trey Muschamp '15 Ryan Fargo '16
Palisades Charter High School	Varsity	27	21	9	9	25	27	17	10	145	Gavin Abraham '16 [1-4, 7-8] Cooper Strong '15 [5-6] Sam Siegel '14 [1-2, 7-8] Brennie Pellegrini '15 [3-6]
Palos Verdes High School	JV	19	17	28	17	14	15	13	23	146	Vince Todiesv '15 [1-8] Erin Murphy '15 [1-2, 5-6] Brannon Mcbride '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Sage Hill School	JV	15	25	20	21	DNS	11	15	11	149	Kimberly Wong '15 [1-4] Connor Chung '16 [5-8] Jodie Horowitz '15 [1-4]
The Bishop's School	JV1	20	DSQ	14	27	20	12	28	16	168	Avery Dumke '15 [1-2, 5-6] Cassie Isaacson '15 [3-4, 7-8] Julia Ankeny '15 [1-2, 5-6] Sarah Yang '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Bentley School	Varsity	21	26	24	19	17	26	23	13	169	Sylvia Necula '14 Yitian Cauthen '14
International HS - SF	Varsity	25	18	22	23	15	17	25	25	170	Alexander Dubois '15 Isaac Macieira-Kaufmann '15
La Jolla High School	JV	24	27	10	24	21	19	26	24	175	Francesco Macagno '14 [1-8] Kyra Styner '16 [1-4, 7-8] Kieran Bauman '16 [5-6]
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	23	12	26	22	27	23	29	14	176	Grant Hallee '15 Derek Makovich '16
Parker	JV	26	20	21	26	23	18	27	22	183	Ryley Ryan '17 Jimmy Thompson '15
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity	18	23	29	20	24	28	19	27	188	Mackenzie Dowling '14 Emma Mcbride '15
Campolindo High School	Varsity	28	29	27	30	26	24	24	28	216	Santiago Calderon '15 Hayden Moses '18
Santa Monica High School	Varsity	29	24	23	28	DNF	30	22	29	216	Jack Sadler '15 [1-6] Michael Monaghan '15 [7-8] Maia Dastur '18 [1-4, 7-8] Jessi Thixton '15 [5-6]
Henry M. Gunn High School	Varsity	30	28	30	29	28	29	30	26	230	Henry Tschudy '17 William Tschudy '17

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.160+0.16

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Bentley School Varsity	33	33	35	35	37	37	39	39
Campolindo High School Varsity	34	34	62	62	60	60	58	58
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity	35	35	37	37	39	39	41	41
Coronado Islanders JV 1	36	36	34	34	62	62	60	60
Coronado Islanders JV 2	37	37	39	39	41	41	43	43
Parker JV	38	38	36	36	34	34	62	62
Henry M. Gunn High School Varsity	39	39	41	41	43	43	45	45
International HS - SF Varsity	40	40	38	38	36	36	34	34
La Jolla High School JV	42	42	40	40	38	38	36	36
La Jolla High School Varsity	41	41	43	43	45	45	47	47
Long Beach Wilson High School Varsity	43	43	45	45	47	47	49	49
Loyola High School (CA) Varsity	44	44	42	42	40	40	38	38
Oakland Technical High School Varsity	45	45	47	47	49	49	51	51
Palisades Charter High School Varsity	46	46	44	44	42	42	40	40
Palos Verdes High School JV	48	48	46	46	44	44	42	42
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity	47	47	49	49	51	51	53	53
Redondo Union High School Varsity	49	49	51	51	53	53	55	55
Redwood High School JV	50	50	48	48	46	46	44	44
Sage Hill School JV	51	51	53	53	55	55	57	57
Santa Monica High School Varsity	53	53	55	55	57	57	59	59
San Francisco University High School Varsity	52	52	50	50	48	48	46	46
Archie Williams High School Varsity	54	54	52	52	50	50	48	48
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity	55	55	57	57	59	59	61	61
Stevenson School Varsity	56	56	54	54	52	52	50	50
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	57	57	59	59	61	61	33	33
Tamalpais High School Varsity	58	58	56	56	54	54	52	52
The Bishop's School JV1	59	59	61	61	33	33	35	35
Torrey Pines High School Varsity	60	60	58	58	56	56	54	54
Ventura High School Varsity	61	61	33	33	35	35	37	37
Windward School Varsity	62	62	60	60	58	58	56	56

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Bentley School Varsity	34	34	36	36	38	38	40	40
Campolindo High School Varsity	33	33	61	61	59	59	57	57
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity	36	36	38	38	40	40	42	42
Coronado Islanders JV 1	35	35	33	33	61	61	59	59
Coronado Islanders JV 2	38	38	40	40	42	42	44	44
Parker JV	37	37	35	35	33	33	61	61
Henry M. Gunn High School Varsity	40	40	42	42	44	44	46	46
International HS - SF Varsity	39	39	37	37	35	35	33	33
La Jolla High School JV	41	41	39	39	37	37	35	35
La Jolla High School Varsity	42	42	44	44	46	46	48	48
Long Beach Wilson High School Varsity	44	44	46	46	48	48	50	50
Loyola High School (CA) Varsity	43	43	41	41	39	39	37	37
Oakland Technical High School Varsity	46	46	48	48	50	50	52	52
Palisades Charter High School Varsity	45	45	43	43	41	41	39	39
Palos Verdes High School JV	47	47	45	45	43	43	41	41
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity	48	48	50	50	52	52	54	54
Redondo Union High School Varsity	50	50	52	52	54	54	56	56
Redwood High School JV	49	49	47	47	45	45	43	43
Sage Hill School JV	52	52	54	54	56	56	58	58
Santa Monica High School Varsity	54	54	56	56	58	58	60	60
San Francisco University High School Varsity	51	51	49	49	47	47	45	45
Archie Williams High School Varsity	53	53	51	51	49	49	47	47
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity	56	56	58	58	60	60	62	62
Stevenson School Varsity	55	55	53	53	51	51	49	49
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	58	58	60	60	62	62	34	34
Tamalpais High School Varsity	57	57	55	55	53	53	51	51
The Bishop's School JV1	60	60	62	62	34	34	36	36
Torrey Pines High School Varsity	59	59	57	57	55	55	53	53
Ventura High School Varsity	62	62	34	34	36	36	38	38
Windward School Varsity	61	61	59	59	57	57	55	55

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Archie Williams High School	Dylan Meade '16	Cameron Gibson '15
Varsity	Sam Barton '17	Antonio Mejia '16
Bentley School	Lindsey Watters '14	Toby Watters '17
Varsity	Sylvia Necula '14	Yitian Cauthen '14
Campolindo High School	Uanoa Nelson '14	Kekoa Nelson '16
Varsity	Santiago Calderon '15	Hayden Moses '18
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Will Paulsen '15 [1-8]	Emily Seeley '15 [1-6] Quinn Moslander '15 [7-8]
Varsity	Emiliano Bache '16 [1-8]	Claire Mohen '15 [1-2, 5-8] Quinn Moslander '15 [3-4]
Coronado Islanders	Stewart Powell '17	Evan Arnold '17
JV 1	Jack Gumbleton '15	Joshua Gumbleton '15
Coronado Islanders	Owen Schafer '17	Casey King '16
JV 2	Tanner Chapko '17	Katie Roughneen '16
Henry M. Gunn High School	Elizabeth Avdanina '16	Miyako Miller '16
Varsity	Henry Tschudy '17	William Tschudy '17
International HS - SF	Nicholai Sponholtz '15 [1-8]	Annabelle Merlin '14 [1-2, 5-6] Sebastien Sponholtz '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity	Alexander Dubois '15	Isaac Macieira-Kaufmann '15
La Jolla High School	Tom Godek '16 [1-2, 5-8] Melisa Conroy '15 [3-4]	Kieran Bauman '16 [1-4] Matthew Burk '17 [5-6] Gavin Petilli '15 [7-8]
JV	Francesco Macagno '14 [1-8]	Kyra Styner '16 [1-4, 7-8] Kieran Bauman '16 [5-6]
La Jolla High School	Thomas Garcia '15	Joanna Garcia '15
Varsity	Sajan Alagiri '17	Lauren Matich '17
Long Beach Wilson High School	Sawyer Gibbs '16 [1-8]	Alan Peoples '17 [1-6] Cameron Thompson '14 [7-8]
Varsity	Jack Berg '17 [1-8]	Ryan Schack '17 [1-6] Alexis Hall '17 [7-8]
Loyola High School (CA)	Christopher Weis '14	Grant Duncan '14
Varsity	Dylan Finestone '15	Micah Shanks '15
Oakland Technical High School	Ben Rohr '15	Diego Alvarez '15
Varsity	Max Rohr '14	Meghan Oldham '18
Palisades Charter High School	Sydney Avitia-Jacques '14	Whitney Yost '16
Varsity	Gavin Abraham '16 [1-4, 7-8] Cooper Strong '15 [5-6]	Sam Siegel '14 [1-2, 7-8] Brennie Pellegrini '15 [3-6]
Palos Verdes High School	Alex Smith '13	Riece Lenders '15
JV	Vince Todiesv '15 [1-8]	Erin Murphy '15 [1-2, 5-6] Brannon Mcbride '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Parker	Richard Leary '14	Luke Pelessone '14
JV	Ryley Ryan '17	Jimmy Thompson '15
Port of Los Angeles High School	Mitchell Smith '14	Josh Maldonado '17
Varsity	Matthew Dimegilo '16	Nick Mccabe '15
Redondo Union High School	Emi Stephenoff '17 [1-8]	Sophia Schumann '17 [1-2, 5-8] Angela Stuckey '16 [3-4]
Varsity	Kyle Collins '17 [1-4, 7-8] Daniel Belton '15 [5-6]	Hailey Smith '15 [1-2] Liam Guzman '15 [3-4, 7-8] Alec Caterson '15 [5-6]
Redwood High School	Harry Schmidt '16	Chloe Belgum '16
JV	Michael Brandon '16 [1-2, 5-6] Tye Varnes '17 [3-4] Julian Weiswasser '15 [7-8]	Megyn Horton '17 [1-2, 5-6] Julian Weiswasser '15 [3-4] Cyrus Radjoo '14 [7-8]
Sage Hill School	James Mather '14	Sydney Lake '16
JV	Kimberly Wong '15 [1-4] Connor Chung '16 [5-8]	Jodie Horowitz '15 [1-4]
San Francisco University High School	Ann Duncan '15	Meave Cunningham '17
Varsity	Lily Cunningham '17	Jeremy Gillespie '17
Santa Monica High School	Bennett Zemke '15 [1-8]	Sam Weiller '15 [1-2, 5-6] Rayna Battista '15 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity	Jack Sadler '15 [1-6] Michael Monaghan '15 [7-8]	Maia Dastur '18 [1-4, 7-8] Jessi Thixton '15 [5-6]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Ryder Easterlin '16 [1-6] Isa De La Torre '16 [7-8]	Isa De La Torre '16 [1-2, 5-6] Jonar Tanguilig '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity	Mackenzie Dowling '14	Emma Mcbride '15
Stevenson School	Stuart Henry '17	Lance Zhou '15
Varsity	Christopher Chu '15	Lexie Codd '15
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Kyle Larsen '14	Peter Werner '17
Varsity	Grant Hallee '15	Derek Makovich '16
Tamalpais High School	Tyler Daniels '14	Devon Stoeber '15
Varsity	Thomas Simkalo '14	Rachel Lansman '14
The Bishop's School	Marnie Bonner '15 [1-8]	Chloe Winkler '16 [1-4] Jacqueline Dicks '15 [5-8]
JV1	Avery Dumke '15 [1-2, 5-6] Cassie Isaacson '15 [3-4, 7-8]	Julia Ankeny '15 [1-2, 5-6] Sarah Yang '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Torrey Pines High School	Peter Kuntz '14	Neil Gompf '17
Varsity	Trey Muschamp '15	Ryan Fargo '16
Ventura High School	Ian Baldwin '15	Eric Martinez '18
Varsity	Braedon Baum '17 [1-8]	Emily Ward '17 [1-4] Arden Tanner '17 [5-8]
Windward School	Marie Line '15 [1-8]	Gena Marburg '14 [1-2, 5-6] Ethan Stone '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity	Blake Schwartz '16 [1-4] William Line '16 [5-8]	Andrea Munoz '16 [1-4, 7-8] Blake Schwartz '16 [5-6]

Conditions — 03/15/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 40% · Pressure 1022.3 hPa

Temperature

72°F

↑ 76°F ↓ 54°F

Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.0 kn

avg · max 6.6 kn

Gusts to 15.4 kn

From WSW (254°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover1% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1022.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · SW 5 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Santa Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.07)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14

Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.42 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Santa Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Santa Barbara Yacht Club & UC Santa Barbara, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

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