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2015 MBL Freshman/Sophomore Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS JV 23 21 44
2 Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS JV1 16 48 64
3 Winchester High School Winchester High School JV 27 38 65
4 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School JV 32 33 65
5 Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School JV 50 31 81
6 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy JV 36 53 89
7 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School JV 45 44 89
8 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School JV 44 47 91
9 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 58 45 103
10 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS JV 75 33 108
11 Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 57 57 114
12 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 65 58 123
13 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 72 65 137
14 St. Marys Academy Bay View St. Marys Academy Bay View JV 70 72 142
15 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 68 77 145
16 Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy 80 94 174
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS JV1 2 9 2 1 1 1 16 Lindsey Kelly '16
Adriana Grimes '15
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS JV 6 4 1 6 3 3 23 Cole Charlton '17
Gillian Winn '17
Winchester High School Winchester High School JV 3 3 3 5 11 2 27 Rosie Crawford '18
Will Costa '17
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School JV 5 12 7 2 2 4 32 Unregistered Sailors '22
Unregistered Sailors '22
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy JV 7 7 5 3 8 6 36 Blair Lalor '18
Lily Coleman '18
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School JV 4 2 10 7 4 DSQ 44 Sarah Caso '15
Paige Hoffman '17
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School JV 8 1 4 15 6 11 45 Catherine Zhu '18
Elliot Davidson '18
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School JV 1 10 DSQ 8 5 9 50 Tony Root '18
Serena Silva '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 10 14 9 4 7 13 57 Gautam Goel '17
Colin Snow '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 9 6 8 14 16 5 58 Ben Xu '18 [1-6]
Lynn Fu '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Arthur Rabinovich '18 [3-4]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 11 8 13 11 14 8 65 Ryan Keenan '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Parsons '17 [3-4]
John Cullinane '17 [1-2]
Zane Salameh '18 [3-4]
Dan Brennan '17 [5-6]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 12 15 6 12 13 10 68 Matthew Dickey '18
Ryan Cloherty '18
St. Marys Academy Bay View St. Marys Academy Bay View JV 15 11 11 9 12 12 70 Winnie Pooh '17
Eeyore Donkey '18
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 13 5 14 10 15 15 72 Corinne Lee '18
Sarah Caso '15
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS JV 14 16 12 16 10 7 75 Christopher Cone '18 [1-6]
Elizabeth Gooch '17 [1-2]
Elise Testa '19 [3-6]
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy 16 13 15 13 9 14 80 Miss Piggy '18
Kermit Frog '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS JV 5 3 9 2 1 1 21 Shane Macleod '17
Anika Martz '18
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School JV 1 14 3 4 7 2 31 Andre Pires '17
Ben Will '18
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School JV 2 9 1 7 10 4 33 Unregistered Sailors '22
Unregistered Sailors '22
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS JV 6 2 15 1 3 6 33 Brian Mitchell '18 [1-6]
Ben Strobel-Eckstein '19 [1-2]
Lilly Nystrom '18 [3-6]
Winchester High School Winchester High School JV 7 5 6 6 6 8 38 James Kiley '20 [1-2]
Hunter Van Gemeren '17 [3-4]
Michael Yorsz '20 [5-6]
Ciara Campbell '20 [1-2]
Michael Yorsz '20 [3-4]
Scott Ferreira '20 [5-6]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School JV 9 8 8 12 2 5 44 Hailey Feinzig '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Ward '18 [3-4]
Eleanor Bennett '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Gartley '18 [3-4]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 4 4 4 10 14 9 45 Sam Edson '18
Sam Hack '18
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School JV 3 11 7 8 11 7 47 Ian Rappe '18
No Show
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS JV1 8 10 2 9 5 14 48 Ben Adams '16
Erin Durning '15
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy JV 11 12 11 3 4 12 53 Michael Collins '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Graham Mogollon '18 [3-4]
Nick Marshall '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Joyce Guo '18 [3-4]
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 10 6 5 13 13 10 57 Aaron Fairchild '17
Gloria Zhang '18
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 12 1 12 14 8 11 58 Sally Green '17
Jensine Philips '18
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 13 13 10 5 9 15 65 Meehan Irose '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Prudden '17 [3-4]
Micaela Coonley '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Laura Hannafin '18 [3-4]
St. Marys Academy Bay View St. Marys Academy Bay View JV 16 7 13 11 12 13 72 Goofy Dog '17
Tigger Tiger '17
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 14 15 14 15 16 3 77 Alexander Arnold '18
Will Di Croche '18
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy 15 16 16 16 15 16 94 Pepe Lapiue '17
Fozzie Bear '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School JV11331313
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS JV224455
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons44551414
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School JV33131366
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School JV13136677
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS JV155141488
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS JV667799
Notre Dame AcademyNotre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy77991515
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles9915151212
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV8810101111
St. Marys Academy Bay ViewSt. Marys Academy Bay View JV1414881010
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy JV1515121211
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket1111161622
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School JV12121133
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raider101011111616
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School JV16162244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School JV224455
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS JV33131366
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons13136677
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School JV44551414
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School JV55141488
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS JV1667799
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS JV1414881010
Notre Dame AcademyNotre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy8810101111
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles101011111616
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV9915151212
St. Marys Academy Bay ViewSt. Marys Academy Bay View JV77991515
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy JV1111161622
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket12121133
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School JV16162244
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raider1515121211
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School JV11331313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Tony Root '18 Serena Silva '18
JV Andre Pires '17 Ben Will '18
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Christopher Cone '18 [1-6] Elizabeth Gooch '17 [1-2]
Elise Testa '19 [3-6]
JV Brian Mitchell '18 [1-6] Ben Strobel-Eckstein '19 [1-2]
Lilly Nystrom '18 [3-6]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Corinne Lee '18 Sarah Caso '15
Dragons Meehan Irose '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Samuel Prudden '17 [3-4]		 Micaela Coonley '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Laura Hannafin '18 [3-4]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Sarah Caso '15 Paige Hoffman '17
JV Ian Rappe '18 No Show
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Unregistered Sailors '22 Unregistered Sailors '22
JV Unregistered Sailors '22 Unregistered Sailors '22
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lindsey Kelly '16 Adriana Grimes '15
JV1 Ben Adams '16 Erin Durning '15
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Cole Charlton '17 Gillian Winn '17
JV Shane Macleod '17 Anika Martz '18
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Miss Piggy '18 Kermit Frog '17
Notre Dame Academy Pepe Lapiue '17 Fozzie Bear '17
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ben Xu '18 [1-6] Lynn Fu '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Arthur Rabinovich '18 [3-4]
Eagles Sam Edson '18 Sam Hack '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School Gautam Goel '17 Colin Snow '18
JV Aaron Fairchild '17 Gloria Zhang '18
St. Marys Academy Bay View St. Marys Academy Bay View Winnie Pooh '17 Eeyore Donkey '18
JV Goofy Dog '17 Tigger Tiger '17
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Blair Lalor '18 Lily Coleman '18
JV Michael Collins '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Graham Mogollon '18 [3-4]		 Nick Marshall '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Joyce Guo '18 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Matthew Dickey '18 Ryan Cloherty '18
Nantasket Alexander Arnold '18 Will Di Croche '18
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Catherine Zhu '18 Elliot Davidson '18
JV Hailey Feinzig '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Owen Ward '18 [3-4]		 Eleanor Bennett '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Gartley '18 [3-4]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Ryan Keenan '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Parsons '17 [3-4]		 John Cullinane '17 [1-2]
Zane Salameh '18 [3-4]
Dan Brennan '17 [5-6]
Raider Sally Green '17 Jensine Philips '18
Winchester High School Winchester High School Rosie Crawford '18 Will Costa '17
JV James Kiley '20 [1-2]
Hunter Van Gemeren '17 [3-4]
Michael Yorsz '20 [5-6]		 Ciara Campbell '20 [1-2]
Michael Yorsz '20 [3-4]
Scott Ferreira '20 [5-6]

Conditions — 05/02/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1015.3 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 3.8 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1015.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sharon- Lake Massapoag: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon- Lake Massapoag by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Sharon- Lake Massapoag, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →