Sharon High School '18
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08 (fleet 1.74) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 10–6 (62%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 2 | 10–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (16 matches) the record is 10–6 against 7.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.9). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-19 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.43 | 2.46 | 3–1 | 2.3 | +1.03 | 0.4 | 43% |
| 2018-04-07 | Ridge White Classic | skipper | 1.39 | 2.56 | 7–5 | 4.8 | +1.17 | 1.5 | 13% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Ridge White Classic | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| O'day Qualifier - SailMaine | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.0 | 0.47 |
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 20 | 55% | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Lawrence A. White Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 14.6 | -0.47 |
| 2017 Gleekman Funfest | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.8 | 1.45 |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| Sharon Fresh / Soph Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.4 | 1.96 |
| Donald Greene Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 6.8 | 0.67 |
| 2016 Sharon Invitational | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.8 | 0.09 |
| Spring 2015 Team page Season | |||||
| 2015 MBL Freshman/Sophomore Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.7 | 0.28 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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