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2016 Sharon Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 31 22 53
2 St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 35 26 61
3 Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 30 45 75
4 Wayland High School Wayland High School Warriors 31 52 83
5 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 49 55 104
6 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 59 61 120
7 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 56 68 124
8 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 69 55 124
9 Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 69 78 147
10 Hingham High School Hingham High School Harbormen 84 76 160
11 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 81 86 167
12 Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 103 71 174
13 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Natick HS 68 115 183
14 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 93 94 187
15 Wayland High School Wayland High School Varsity 127 86 213
16 Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Big Blue 107 108 215
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 7 4 3 4 1 1 5 5 30 Jack Eberhardt '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Larry Zmoira '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Lynn Fu '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 4 1 6 3 4 4 6 3 31 Kyle Easton '16 [1, 4, 7-8]
Lukas Hoertdoerfer '20 [2-3, 5-6]
Elizabeth Massman '16 [1, 4, 7-8]
Will Costa '17 [2-3, 5-6]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Warriors 11 5 4 1 5 2 1 2 31 Nicholas Memoli '16 [1-8]
Grace Karbowski '19 [1-2]
Emily Wang '17 [3-8]
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 5 2 1 11 10 3 2 1 35 Matt Safford '16
Joe Agresti '17
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 8 6 5 7 3 9 7 4 49 Ethan Anderson '16
Anika Martz '18
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 2 13 7 6 6 11 3 8 56 Sam Scatchard '16
Connor Mccarthy '16
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 9 3 10 13 2 8 8 6 59 Owen Ward '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Julia Haidar '16 [3-6]
Elliot Davidson '18 [1-2]
Anna Liss-Roy '16 [3-6]
Chase Ireland '18 [7-8]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Natick HS 3 11 8 2 14 5 13 12 68 T Morey '17 [1-8]
Connor Spurrling '19 [1-2]
Marty Isaacson '18 [3-6]
Maeve Clifford '19 [7-8]
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 1 9 9 5 9 7 15 14 69 Ben Adams '16 [1-6]
Sarah Alix '19 [7-8]
Eli Eckhouse '17 [1-6]
Ryan Heindel '19 [7-8]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 10 7 2 14 8 15 4 9 69 Nathan Ikeda '17 [1-8]
Maya Bennett '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Caitlyn Sarles '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 14 8 13 12 7 6 11 10 81 Ben Xu '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Gautam Goel '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Gloria Zhang '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Addison Stead '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Harbormen 6 14 14 9 13 12 9 7 84 No Show
No Show
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 15 12 12 8 11 10 10 15 93 Kaler Diemer '16
Alba Fernandez '16
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 16 10 16 10 15 13 12 11 103 Daniel Bryan '22
Maia Mcgonagle '22
Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Big Blue 12 16 11 15 12 14 14 13 107 Emily Guo '16 [1-8]
Amanda Szczawinski '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Ian Jaffe '19 [3-4]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Varsity 13 15 15 16 DNS DNS DNS DNS 127 Nicholas Memoli '16 [1-8]
Grace Karbowski '19 [1-2]
Emily Wang '17 [3-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Varsity 1 2 6 5 1 3 2 2 22 James Kiley '20 [1-4]
Michael Yorsz '20 [5-8]
David Kiley '16 [1-4]
Anna Wiatrowski '17 [5-8]
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Eagles 8 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 26 Rowan Byrne '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Tedford '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Conaton '17 [1-2, 5-6]
George Furlong '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Varsity 14 4 1 8 7 5 3 3 45 Meghan Haviland '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Pauljack Solomon '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Colin Snow '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Merrick Tian '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Warriors 9 9 11 2 5 8 4 4 52 Dylan Rader '18 [1-8]
Marlee Griffin '18 [1-4]
Mack Kiesman '19 [5-6]
Emily Wang '17 [7-8]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 2 14 2 12 2 9 8 6 55 Andre Evans '18 [1-4]
Griffin Brayer '16 [5-8]
Paige Hoffman '17 [1-4]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 4 7 10 7 6 2 6 13 55 Cole Charlton '17 [1-4]
Shane Macleod '17 [5-6]
Sirine Benali '19 [7-8]
Nina Williamms '18 [1-4]
Micaela Coonley '18 [5-6]
Lena Brzezinski '19 [7-8]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 12 10 12 1 10 6 5 5 61 Will Lazaro '16 [1-2]
Andrew Harrington '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Sowles '18 [5-6]
Margaret Benson '19 [1-2]
Zane Salameh '18 [3-4]
Eleanor Bennett '17 [5-6]
Elliot Davidson '18 [7-8]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 5 12 9 10 8 4 9 11 68 Colin Mcgruer '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Cone '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Sam Stone '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Gooch '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Wolfpack 6 DSQ 7 6 4 13 11 7 71 Isabelle Cadene '17
Sam Lowery '18
Hingham High School Hingham High School Harbormen 10 8 14 4 14 11 7 8 76 No Show
No Show
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors 7 1 13 13 9 14 12 9 78 Julia Wyatt '17 [1-4]
Will Emery '16 [5-8]
Maddie Giles '16 [1-4]
Blake Danzigeer '18 [5-8]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Varsity 3 3 3 9 DNS DNS DNS DNS 86 Dylan Rader '18 [1-8]
Marlee Griffin '18 [1-4]
Mack Kiesman '19 [5-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 15 13 5 11 12 10 10 10 86 Ryan Cloherty '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Chava (Roni) Sosis '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Christopher Anchan '19 [1-2]
Michael Anchan '19 [3-4]
Kevin Li '18 [5-6]
Krishanu Datta '19 [7-8]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 11 6 8 DNF 11 7 DNS DNS 94 Andy Karalekas '19 [1-8]
Jessica Adey '19 [1-4]
Mollie Gilbert '19 [5-8]
Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Big Blue 13 11 16 15 13 12 14 14 108 Olivia Reiser '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Lili Barba '17 [3-4]
Madison Carroll '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Ethan Smith '16 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Natick HS 16 15 15 14 15 15 13 12 115 Brian Stonkel '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Brianna Trocuolo '16 [3-4]
Brianna Trocuolo '16 [1-2]
Adam Murphy '17 [3-4]
Katie Blinn '19 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack11334466
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers221313551414
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons33446677
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Harbormen88151511111616
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors131355141488
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets991010121211
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles551414881515
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity44667733
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Eagles6677111010
Swampscott High SchoolSwampscott High School Big Blue15151111161622
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket14148815151111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Natick HS779910101212
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Varsity101012129999
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Warriors11111616221313
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raider1212113344
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Varsity161622131355

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston Latin SchoolBoston Latin School Wolfpack221313551414
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers33446677
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons131355141488
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Harbormen991010121211
Lincoln Sudbury RHSLincoln Sudbury RHS Warriors4466771313
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets15151111161622
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles6677221010
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Varsity551414881515
St. Johns PrepSt. Johns Prep Eagles14148815151111
Swampscott High SchoolSwampscott High School Big Blue101012121133
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket779910101212
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Natick HS88151511111616
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Varsity111116169999
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Warriors1212113344
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raider161622131355
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Varsity11334466
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School Daniel Bryan '22 Maia Mcgonagle '22
Wolfpack Isabelle Cadene '17 Sam Lowery '18
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Sam Scatchard '16 Connor Mccarthy '16
Radiers Colin Mcgruer '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Christopher Cone '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Sam Stone '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Gooch '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Nathan Ikeda '17 [1-8] Maya Bennett '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Caitlyn Sarles '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Dragons Andre Evans '18 [1-4]
Griffin Brayer '16 [5-8]		 Paige Hoffman '17 [1-4]
Hingham High School Hingham High School No Show No Show
Harbormen No Show No Show
Lincoln Sudbury RHS Lincoln Sudbury RHS Ben Adams '16 [1-6]
Sarah Alix '19 [7-8]		 Eli Eckhouse '17 [1-6]
Ryan Heindel '19 [7-8]
Warriors Julia Wyatt '17 [1-4]
Will Emery '16 [5-8]		 Maddie Giles '16 [1-4]
Blake Danzigeer '18 [5-8]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Ethan Anderson '16 Anika Martz '18
Hornets Cole Charlton '17 [1-4]
Shane Macleod '17 [5-6]
Sirine Benali '19 [7-8]		 Nina Williamms '18 [1-4]
Micaela Coonley '18 [5-6]
Lena Brzezinski '19 [7-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ben Xu '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Gautam Goel '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Gloria Zhang '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Addison Stead '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Eagles Ryan Cloherty '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Chava (Roni) Sosis '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Christopher Anchan '19 [1-2]
Michael Anchan '19 [3-4]
Kevin Li '18 [5-6]
Krishanu Datta '19 [7-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Jack Eberhardt '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Larry Zmoira '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Lynn Fu '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Varsity Meghan Haviland '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Pauljack Solomon '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Colin Snow '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Merrick Tian '18 [3-4, 7-8]
St. Johns Prep St. Johns Prep Matt Safford '16 Joe Agresti '17
Eagles Rowan Byrne '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Tedford '17 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jack Conaton '17 [1-2, 5-6]
George Furlong '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Emily Guo '16 [1-8] Amanda Szczawinski '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Ian Jaffe '19 [3-4]
Big Blue Olivia Reiser '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Lili Barba '17 [3-4]		 Madison Carroll '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Ethan Smith '16 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Kaler Diemer '16 Alba Fernandez '16
Nantasket Andy Karalekas '19 [1-8] Jessica Adey '19 [1-4]
Mollie Gilbert '19 [5-8]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA T Morey '17 [1-8] Connor Spurrling '19 [1-2]
Marty Isaacson '18 [3-6]
Maeve Clifford '19 [7-8]
Natick HS Brian Stonkel '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Brianna Trocuolo '16 [3-4]		 Brianna Trocuolo '16 [1-2]
Adam Murphy '17 [3-4]
Katie Blinn '19 [5-8]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Nicholas Memoli '16 [1-8] Grace Karbowski '19 [1-2]
Emily Wang '17 [3-8]
Varsity Dylan Rader '18 [1-8] Marlee Griffin '18 [1-4]
Mack Kiesman '19 [5-8]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Nicholas Memoli '16 [1-8] Grace Karbowski '19 [1-2]
Emily Wang '17 [3-8]
Warriors Dylan Rader '18 [1-8] Marlee Griffin '18 [1-4]
Mack Kiesman '19 [5-6]
Emily Wang '17 [7-8]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Owen Ward '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Julia Haidar '16 [3-6]		 Elliot Davidson '18 [1-2]
Anna Liss-Roy '16 [3-6]
Chase Ireland '18 [7-8]
Raider Will Lazaro '16 [1-2]
Andrew Harrington '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Sowles '18 [5-6]		 Margaret Benson '19 [1-2]
Zane Salameh '18 [3-4]
Eleanor Bennett '17 [5-6]
Elliot Davidson '18 [7-8]
Winchester High School Winchester High School Kyle Easton '16 [1, 4, 7-8]
Lukas Hoertdoerfer '20 [2-3, 5-6]		 Elizabeth Massman '16 [1, 4, 7-8]
Will Costa '17 [2-3, 5-6]
Varsity James Kiley '20 [1-4]
Michael Yorsz '20 [5-8]		 David Kiley '16 [1-4]
Anna Wiatrowski '17 [5-8]

Conditions — 04/10/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 34%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 31°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From WNW (289°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover5% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity34% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sharon High School: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon High School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Sharon High School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →