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Sharon Fresh / Soph Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 26 13 39
2 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 27 53 80
3 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 68 38 106
4 Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 49 57 106
5 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 51 68 119
6 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 50 70 120
7 Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 76 48 124
8 Wayland High School Wayland High School Warriors 37 88 125
9 Wayland High School Wayland High School JV 95 43 138
10 BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 99 49 148
11 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS JV 68 81 149
12 Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 47 103 150
13 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 70 94 164
14 Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 96 86 182
15 Concord Academy Concord Academy The Chameleon 103 83 186
16 Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Big Blue 126 114 240
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 4 5 1 1 3 1 1 10 26 James Kiley '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Scott Ferreira '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 2 1 4 4 1 6 7 2 27 Ben Xu '18
Gloria Zhang '18
Wayland High School Wayland High School Warriors 3 3 2 3 13 4 4 5 37 Dylan Rader '18
Grace Karbowski '19
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 7 7 10 2 5 3 5 8 47 Emma Montgomery '18
Kaitlyn Bradshaw '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 8 6 5 13 7 7 2 1 49 Colin Snow '18
Merrick Tian '18
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 1 2 6 8 8 12 9 4 50 Owen Ward '18 [1-2]
Hailey Feinzig '18 [3-4]
Elizabeth Harrington '18 [5-6]
Olivia Sowles '18 [7-8]
Zane Salameh '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Serelle Carr '19 [3-4]
Annie Griffin '18 [5-6]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 5 8 3 5 2 2 13 13 51 Brian Mitchell '18
Jensine Philips '18
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 6 4 11 6 9 11 12 9 68 Luke Quine '19
Anika Martz '18
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS JV 9 9 13 10 6 8 10 3 68 Laura Hannafin '18
Lena Brzezinski '19
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 13 11 8 7 10 9 6 6 70 Unknown Skipper '16
Mystery Crew '18
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 10 14 9 11 4 10 3 15 76 No Show
No Show
Wayland High School Wayland High School JV 12 12 14 12 14 5 14 12 95 Emily Rader '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Schilp '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Mack Kiesman '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Abby O'Shaughnesay '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 14 10 12 14 12 15 8 11 96 Ryan Cloherty '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kevin Li '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Ishaan Shah '19 [1-2]
Addison Stead '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Lucy Fraser '19 [5-6]
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 11 13 7 9 16 14 15 14 99 Trevor Donovan '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Danny Noenickx '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Annabel Kiley '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Concord Academy Concord Academy The Chameleon 15 15 16 15 11 13 11 7 103 No Show
No Show
Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Big Blue 16 16 15 16 15 16 16 16 126 Olivia Reiser '19 [1-8]
Alex Fisk '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Yelena Jefferies '19 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Winchester High School Winchester High School Sachems 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 13 Unknown Skipper '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Yorsz '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Unknown Crew '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Christian Morris '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 5 5 3 4 4 8 2 7 38 Sirine Benali '19
Micaela Coonley '18
Wayland High School Wayland High School JV 2 3 7 7 6 5 5 8 43 Lukas Hoertdoerfer '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Lilly Nystrom '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Ciara Campbell '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Fay '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School Dragons 3 8 10 9 2 9 1 6 48 No Show [1-6]
Katie Coakley '19 [7-8]
No Show [1-6]
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights 14 9 2 8 7 4 4 1 49 Robert Brower '18
Lydia Austin '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 1 7 2 14 3 8 7 9 3 53 Arthur Rabinovich '18
Michael Anchan '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Eagles 2 11 10 4 2 9 2 10 9 57 Alissa Chen '18
Lynn Fu '18
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Radiers 13 4 12 6 5 3 14 11 68 Christopher Cone '18 [1-8]
Andrew Fiore '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Keene '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Raider 6 15 13 14 3 6 8 5 70 Catherine Zhu '18 [1-2]
Megan Kelly '18 [3-4]
Ian Smith '19 [5-6]
Chase Ireland '18 [7-8]
Elliot Davidson '18 [1-2]
Thomas Gartley '18 [3-4]
Margaret Benson '19 [5-6]
Emir Hamzaogullari '19 [7-8]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS JV 4 7 8 10 15 16 6 15 81 Hailey Wolfe '19
Nina Williamms '18
Concord Academy Concord Academy The Chameleon 16 12 6 12 16 12 7 2 83 Toby Keegan-Jiganti '21
Jack Sette-Ducati '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School JV 9 6 9 5 14 14 15 14 86 Miguel Vonfedak '19 [1-8]
Christopher Anchan '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Krishanu Datta '19 [3-4]
Sam Hack '18 [5-6]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Warriors 10 14 5 15 11 11 12 10 88 Vincent Pak '17 [1-8]
Lucy Poole '18 [1-6]
Grace Karbowski '19 [7-8]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Nantasket 8 13 11 11 12 10 16 13 94 Mystery Skipper '17
Unknown Crew '16
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 12 11 15 13 10 13 13 16 103 Sub-Theo Lukin-Yelin '18
Sub-Chloe White '19
Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Big Blue 15 16 16 16 13 15 11 12 114 Liad Zafrani '18 [1-8]
Fred Paster '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Ian Jaffe '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights1133131366
Concord AcademyConcord Academy The Chameleon2244551414
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers3313136677
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons4455141488
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets551414881010
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS JV1313667799
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons6677991515
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 1779915151212
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 288101011111616
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV14148810101111
Swampscott High SchoolSwampscott High School Big Blue991515121211
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket10101111161622
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School JV151512121133
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Warriors111116162244
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raider121211331313
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems1616224455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and NicholsBB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Knights2244551414
Concord AcademyConcord Academy The Chameleon3313136677
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Radiers4455141488
Duxbury High SchoolDuxbury High School Dragons1313667799
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets6677991515
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS JV551414881010
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons14148810101111
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 188101011111616
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School Eagles 2991515121211
Sharon High SchoolSharon High School JV779915151212
Swampscott High SchoolSwampscott High School Big Blue101011112222
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Nantasket151512121133
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School JV11111616161644
Wayland High SchoolWayland High School Warriors121211331313
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Raider1616224455
Winchester High SchoolWinchester High School Sachems1133131366
School / Team SkipperCrew
BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols BB&N - Buckingham Browne and Nichols Trevor Donovan '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Danny Noenickx '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Annabel Kiley '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Knights Robert Brower '18 Lydia Austin '19
Concord Academy Concord Academy No Show No Show
The Chameleon Toby Keegan-Jiganti '21 Jack Sette-Ducati '18
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Brian Mitchell '18 Jensine Philips '18
Radiers Christopher Cone '18 [1-8] Andrew Fiore '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Keene '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Duxbury High School Duxbury High School No Show No Show
Dragons No Show [1-6]
Katie Coakley '19 [7-8]		 No Show [1-6]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Luke Quine '19 Anika Martz '18
Hornets Sirine Benali '19 Micaela Coonley '18
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Laura Hannafin '18 Lena Brzezinski '19
JV Hailey Wolfe '19 Nina Williamms '18
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Emma Montgomery '18 Kaitlyn Bradshaw '19
Falcons Sub-Theo Lukin-Yelin '18 Sub-Chloe White '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ben Xu '18 Gloria Zhang '18
Eagles 1 Arthur Rabinovich '18 Michael Anchan '19
Sharon High School Sharon High School Colin Snow '18 Merrick Tian '18
Eagles 2 Alissa Chen '18 Lynn Fu '18
Sharon High School Sharon High School Ryan Cloherty '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kevin Li '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Ishaan Shah '19 [1-2]
Addison Stead '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Lucy Fraser '19 [5-6]
JV Miguel Vonfedak '19 [1-8] Christopher Anchan '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Krishanu Datta '19 [3-4]
Sam Hack '18 [5-6]
Swampscott High School Swampscott High School Olivia Reiser '19 [1-8] Alex Fisk '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Yelena Jefferies '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Big Blue Liad Zafrani '18 [1-8] Fred Paster '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Ian Jaffe '19 [3-4]
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Unknown Skipper '16 Mystery Crew '18
Nantasket Mystery Skipper '17 Unknown Crew '16
Wayland High School Wayland High School Emily Rader '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Schilp '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Mack Kiesman '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Abby O'Shaughnesay '19 [3-4, 7-8]
JV Lukas Hoertdoerfer '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Lilly Nystrom '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Ciara Campbell '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Hannah Fay '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Wayland High School Wayland High School Dylan Rader '18 Grace Karbowski '19
Warriors Vincent Pak '17 [1-8] Lucy Poole '18 [1-6]
Grace Karbowski '19 [7-8]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Owen Ward '18 [1-2]
Hailey Feinzig '18 [3-4]
Elizabeth Harrington '18 [5-6]
Olivia Sowles '18 [7-8]		 Zane Salameh '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Serelle Carr '19 [3-4]
Annie Griffin '18 [5-6]
Raider Catherine Zhu '18 [1-2]
Megan Kelly '18 [3-4]
Ian Smith '19 [5-6]
Chase Ireland '18 [7-8]		 Elliot Davidson '18 [1-2]
Thomas Gartley '18 [3-4]
Margaret Benson '19 [5-6]
Emir Hamzaogullari '19 [7-8]
Winchester High School Winchester High School James Kiley '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]		 Scott Ferreira '20 [1-2, 5-8]
No Show [3-4]
Sachems Unknown Skipper '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Yorsz '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Unknown Crew '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Christian Morris '19 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 05/07/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1009.6 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 47°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From NE (44°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1009.6 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sharon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sharon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Sharon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →