MN Conference Finale - Calhoun

HostLake Calhoun
Date05/16/2015
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southwest High School	Varsity 1	13	24	37
2	Washburn High School	Varsity 1	34	29	63
3	Mounds Park Academy	Varsity 1	42	26	68
4	Orono High School	Varsity	36	33	69
5	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	47	37	84
6	Mounds Park Academy	Varsity 2	44	45	89
7	Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	50	40	90
8	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 3	30	66	96
9	Chanhassen High School	Varsity 1	24	96	120
10	Wayzata High School	Blue	80	47	127
11	Hudson	Raiders	71	57	128
12	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	50	78	128
13	Stillwater High School	Varsity	69	68	137
14	Benilde St Margarets	Varsity	75	64	139
15	Southwest High School	Varsity 2	76	64	140
16	Providence Academy	Varsity 1	101	75	176
17	Blake School	Bears	94	111	205
18	Chanhassen High School	Varsity 2	105	105	210
19	Southwest High School	Varsity 3	115	101	216
20	Washburn High School	Varsity 2	106	112	218
21	Providence Academy	Varsity 2	125	114	239

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Southwest High School	Varsity 1	2	6	1	2	1	1	13	Jason Davis '17 Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Chanhassen High School	Varsity 1	1	3	12	1	3	4	24	Dane Pedersen '15 Max Penner '18
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 3	4	7	4	6	2	7	30	Mike Johnson '17 Rita Usmanov '19
Washburn High School	Varsity 1	3	5	8	4	5	9	34	Tate Nolte '16 Maddison Mott '17
Orono High School	Varsity	6	1	13	7	7	2	36	Samuel Bartel '18 Dominic Serino '19
Mounds Park Academy	Varsity 1	5	8	2	11	10	6	42	Josh Sullivan '16 [1-6] Acadia Hegedus '18 [1-4] Anneka Ecker '17 [5-6]
Mounds Park Academy	Varsity 2	8	2	7	10	14	3	44	Jack Indritz '17 Emily Jesmer '17
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	11	4	6	5	6	15	47	Carl Eaton '17 Kendyll Vandlik '20
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	9	10	9	8	4	10	50	Sydney Maxwell '17 [1-6] Luke Brady '19 [1-2] Alexander Witcraft '18 [3-6]
Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	19	9	5	3	9	5	50	Claire Clark '15 Courtney Clark '17
Stillwater High School	Varsity	12	13	10	12	11	11	69	Brian Olson '18 Joe Sanderson '18
Hudson	Raiders	7	14	11	14	13	12	71	Adam Tronnes '20 Adam Tronnes '20
Benilde St Margarets	Varsity	14	15	17	13	8	8	75	Joey Simpson '17 [1-6] Erin Patton '17 [1-2, 5-6] Alex Saffert '19 [3-4]
Southwest High School	Varsity 2	15	16	3	9	17	16	76	Luc Mainguy '15 Kaj Anders-Macleod '15
Wayzata High School	Blue	13	11	15	15	12	14	80	Emma Aubuchon '19 Anna Brew '17
Blake School	Bears	10	19	18	18	16	13	94	Cole Woerner '18 Andrew Larson '15
Providence Academy	Varsity 1	18	18	16	16	15	18	101	Jack Wall '17 Grace Cummins '16
Chanhassen High School	Varsity 2	17	20	14	17	18	19	105
Washburn High School	Varsity 2	16	12	19	19	20	20	106	Jack Erickson '17 Lizzie Easter '15
Southwest High School	Varsity 3	DSQ	17	20	20	19	17	115	Zach Depietro '16
Providence Academy	Varsity 2	20	21	21	21	21	21	125	Mikaela Maglich '16 Gabrielle Benacka '16

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Southwest High School	Varsity 1	5	1	3	2	3	10	24	Michael Stone '15 Susie Voltz '15
Mounds Park Academy	Varsity 1	6	5	2	10	2	1	26	Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6] Annika Hsu '17 [1-2, 5-6] Anneka Ecker '17 [3-4]
Washburn High School	Varsity 1	1	2	1	DSQ	1	2	29	Simon Rothman '17 Lochlan Anders-Macleod '17
Orono High School	Varsity	4	4	7	4	9	5	33	Solomon Dworsky '17 Kristin Berg '17
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	8	9	6	3	5	6	37	Lizzy Holimann '16 Charlie Dutton '19
Mahtomedi	Zephyrs	12	3	11	1	4	9	40	Genna Viggiano '18 Clara Brown '18
Mounds Park Academy	Varsity 2	10	6	4	5	12	8	45	Karan Jain '19 Conner Rodzinka '17
Wayzata High School	Blue	7	8	8	6	11	7	47	Wiley Hunt '19
Hudson	Raiders	14	14	5	13	8	3	57	Oscar Nemitz '20 Oscar Nemitz '20
Benilde St Margarets	Varsity	3	DSQ	13	8	7	11	64	Riley Norman '19 [1-6] Jacob Zagaros '19 [1-4] Alex Saffert '19 [5-6]
Southwest High School	Varsity 2	13	7	14	11	6	13	64	Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17 Teddy Noun '16
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 3	2	12	12	DSQ	14	4	66	Graham Ness '19 Stratford Vandlik '18
Stillwater High School	Varsity	11	11	9	9	16	12	68	Leigh Marker '17 Steve Franklin '18
Providence Academy	Varsity 1	16	10	17	7	10	15	75	Claire Christianson '18 Erich Pinske '18
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	9	13	10	14	13	19	78	Henry Westlund '19 Garrett Moen '19
Chanhassen High School	Varsity 1	15	16	18	12	21	14	96	Jordan Leines '15 Ryne Ryshavy '17
Southwest High School	Varsity 3	17	18	16	15	15	20	101
Chanhassen High School	Varsity 2	19	15	19	16	20	16	105	Ryan Bohara '18 Kent Penner '18
Blake School	Bears	18	17	21	19	19	17	111	Cole Woerner '18 Andrew Larson '15
Washburn High School	Varsity 2	20	19	20	18	17	18	112	Rachel Syring '17 Tighe Case '18
Providence Academy	Varsity 2	21	DNF	15	17	18	21	114	Claire Christianson '18 Erich Pinske '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Benilde St Margarets Varsity	14	14	14	14	14	14
Blake School Bears	17	17	17	17	17	17
Chanhassen High School Varsity 1	9	9	9	9	9	9
Chanhassen High School Varsity 2	18	18	18	18	18	18
Hudson Raiders	12	12	12	12	12	12
Mahtomedi Zephyrs	7	7	7	7	7	7
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	5	5	5	5	5	5
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	11	11	11	11	11	11
Minnetonka High School Skippers 3	8	8	8	8	8	8
Mounds Park Academy Varsity 1	3	3	3	3	3	3
Mounds Park Academy Varsity 2	6	6	6	6	6	6
Orono High School Varsity	4	4	4	4	4	4
Providence Academy Varsity 1	16	16	16	16	16	16
Providence Academy Varsity 2	21	21	21	21	21	21
Southwest High School Varsity 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Southwest High School Varsity 2	15	15	15	15	15	15
Southwest High School Varsity 3	19	19	19	19	19	19
Stillwater High School Varsity	13	13	13	13	13	13
Washburn High School Varsity 1	2	2	2	2	2	2
Washburn High School Varsity 2	20	20	20	20	20	20
Wayzata High School Blue	10	10	10	10	10	10

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Benilde St Margarets Varsity	14	14	14	14	14	14
Blake School Bears	17	17	17	17	17	17
Chanhassen High School Varsity 1	9	9	9	9	9	9
Chanhassen High School Varsity 2	18	18	18	18	18	18
Hudson Raiders	12	12	12	12	12	12
Mahtomedi Zephyrs	7	7	7	7	7	7
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	5	5	5	5	5	5
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	11	11	11	11	11	11
Minnetonka High School Skippers 3	8	8	8	8	8	8
Mounds Park Academy Varsity 1	3	3	3	3	3	3
Mounds Park Academy Varsity 2	6	6	6	6	6	6
Orono High School Varsity	4	4	4	4	4	4
Providence Academy Varsity 1	16	16	16	16	16	16
Providence Academy Varsity 2	21	21	21	21	21	21
Southwest High School Varsity 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Southwest High School Varsity 2	15	15	15	15	15	15
Southwest High School Varsity 3	19	19	19	19	19	19
Stillwater High School Varsity	13	13	13	13	13	13
Washburn High School Varsity 1	2	2	2	2	2	2
Washburn High School Varsity 2	20	20	20	20	20	20
Wayzata High School Blue	10	10	10	10	10	10

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Benilde St Margarets	Joey Simpson '17 [1-6]	Erin Patton '17 [1-2, 5-6] Alex Saffert '19 [3-4]
Varsity	Riley Norman '19 [1-6]	Jacob Zagaros '19 [1-4] Alex Saffert '19 [5-6]
Blake School	Cole Woerner '18	Andrew Larson '15
Bears	Cole Woerner '18	Andrew Larson '15
Chanhassen High School	Dane Pedersen '15	Max Penner '18
Varsity 1	Jordan Leines '15	Ryne Ryshavy '17
Chanhassen High School
Varsity 2	Ryan Bohara '18	Kent Penner '18
Hudson	Adam Tronnes '20	Adam Tronnes '20
Raiders	Oscar Nemitz '20	Oscar Nemitz '20
Mahtomedi	Claire Clark '15	Courtney Clark '17
Zephyrs	Genna Viggiano '18	Clara Brown '18
Minnetonka High School	Carl Eaton '17	Kendyll Vandlik '20
Skippers 1	Lizzy Holimann '16	Charlie Dutton '19
Minnetonka High School	Sydney Maxwell '17 [1-6]	Luke Brady '19 [1-2] Alexander Witcraft '18 [3-6]
Skippers 2	Henry Westlund '19	Garrett Moen '19
Minnetonka High School	Mike Johnson '17	Rita Usmanov '19
Skippers 3	Graham Ness '19	Stratford Vandlik '18
Mounds Park Academy	Josh Sullivan '16 [1-6]	Acadia Hegedus '18 [1-4] Anneka Ecker '17 [5-6]
Varsity 1	Toby Sullivan '19 [1-6]	Annika Hsu '17 [1-2, 5-6] Anneka Ecker '17 [3-4]
Mounds Park Academy	Jack Indritz '17	Emily Jesmer '17
Varsity 2	Karan Jain '19	Conner Rodzinka '17
Orono High School	Samuel Bartel '18	Dominic Serino '19
Varsity	Solomon Dworsky '17	Kristin Berg '17
Providence Academy	Jack Wall '17	Grace Cummins '16
Varsity 1	Claire Christianson '18	Erich Pinske '18
Providence Academy	Mikaela Maglich '16	Gabrielle Benacka '16
Varsity 2	Claire Christianson '18	Erich Pinske '18
Southwest High School	Jason Davis '17	Lachlan Anders-Macleod '17
Varsity 1	Michael Stone '15	Susie Voltz '15
Southwest High School	Luc Mainguy '15	Kaj Anders-Macleod '15
Varsity 2	Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17	Teddy Noun '16
Southwest High School	Zach Depietro '16
Varsity 3
Stillwater High School	Brian Olson '18	Joe Sanderson '18
Varsity	Leigh Marker '17	Steve Franklin '18
Washburn High School	Tate Nolte '16	Maddison Mott '17
Varsity 1	Simon Rothman '17	Lochlan Anders-Macleod '17
Washburn High School	Jack Erickson '17	Lizzie Easter '15
Varsity 2	Rachel Syring '17	Tighe Case '18
Wayzata High School	Emma Aubuchon '19	Anna Brew '17
Blue	Wiley Hunt '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MN Conference Finale - Calhoun

Division A

Division B

From the notes