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SAISA SP-6 JV

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 51 51
2 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Varsity 52 52
3 South Lake High School South Lake High School Varsity 53 53
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 64 64
5 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Varsity 65 65
6 Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 67 67
7 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Varsity 68 68
8 Hagerty High School Hagerty High School Varsity 85 85
9 Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy 112 112
10 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 116 MRP 116 MRP
11 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 123 MRP 123 MRP
12 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 124 124
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 3 4 3 5 4 9 3 3 5 1 6 5 51 Bayard Lalor '15 [1-12]
Samantha Spritz '16 [1-5, 9-12]
Miriam Khan '15 [6-8]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Varsity 5 6 4 1 2 1 7 7 8 2 3 6 52 Mikaela Munao '18
Adriana Munao '16
South Lake High School South Lake High School Varsity 6 5 1 2 5 4 8 6 7 5 2 2 53 Cameron Smith '15
No Show
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders DNS DNS DNS 4 1 2 4 1 2 4 4 3 64 Alie (Alexandra) Toppa '16 [1-3, 5-6, 9-10]
Mack Fox '16 [4, 7-8, 11-12]
Liza (Elizabeth) Toppa '16 [1-3, 5-6, 9-10]
Clyde Wright '16 [4, 7-8, 11-12]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Varsity 2 1 8 8 7 11 9 2 1 8 7 1 65 Caden Kuchura '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Hunter Sorensen '17 [3-6, 9-10]
Noah Hascup '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Colin Brauchler '16 [3-6, 9-10]
Pine View School Pine View School Pythons 1 3 5 3 11 7 6 4 4 6 9 8 67 Isabella Lemole '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lila Van Den Broek '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Stefan Johnson '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Michael Grass '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Varsity 4 9 2 6 6 5 1 9 9 12 1 4 68 Charlie Curtis '17 [1-2, 5-7, 11-12]
Crista Abberger '19 [3-4, 8-10]
Olivia Mcintosh '18 [1-2, 5-7, 11]
Audrey Perry '17 [3-4, 12]
Kate Donaldson '17 [8-10]
Hagerty High School Hagerty High School Varsity 10 2 7 10 3 6 5 8 11 3 8 12 85 Leah Harper '18
No Show
Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy 9 11 10 11 9 12 11 5 3 9 12 10 112 Clara Poffenberger '17
Brooke Papa '16
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 8 8 9 9 8 8 2 10 10 7 10 7 116 MRP No Show
No Show
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 11 10 6 7 12 3 10 DNS 6 11 5 9 123 MRP No Show
No Show
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 7 7 11 12 10 10 12 11 12 10 11 11 124 Tiago Zanaga Da Costa '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Max Salikhov '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Nicole Torres '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Charles Bourland '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Compass Rose AcademyCompass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy181818181818181818181818
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity121212121212121212121212
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders141414141414141414141414
Hagerty High SchoolHagerty High School Varsity888888888888888888888888
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Varsity555555555555
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Varsity111111111111
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy Thunderwolves333333333333
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pythons666666666666
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Varsity696969696969696969696969
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders888888888888
South Lake High SchoolSouth Lake High School Varsity444444444444444444444444
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors618618618618618618618618618618618618
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Compass Rose Academy Clara Poffenberger '17 Brooke Papa '16
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity No Show No Show
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders Tiago Zanaga Da Costa '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Max Salikhov '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Nicole Torres '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Charles Bourland '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Varsity Charlie Curtis '17 [1-2, 5-7, 11-12]
Crista Abberger '19 [3-4, 8-10]		 Olivia Mcintosh '18 [1-2, 5-7, 11]
Audrey Perry '17 [3-4, 12]
Kate Donaldson '17 [8-10]
Hagerty High School Hagerty High School Varsity Leah Harper '18 No Show
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Varsity Caden Kuchura '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Hunter Sorensen '17 [3-6, 9-10]		 Noah Hascup '16 [1-2, 7-8, 11-12]
Colin Brauchler '16 [3-6, 9-10]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Varsity Mikaela Munao '18 Adriana Munao '16
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves Bayard Lalor '15 [1-12] Samantha Spritz '16 [1-5, 9-12]
Miriam Khan '15 [6-8]
Pine View School Pine View School Pythons Isabella Lemole '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Lila Van Den Broek '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Stefan Johnson '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Michael Grass '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
South Lake High School South Lake High School Varsity Cameron Smith '15 No Show
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders Alie (Alexandra) Toppa '16 [1-3, 5-6, 9-10]
Mack Fox '16 [4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Liza (Elizabeth) Toppa '16 [1-3, 5-6, 9-10]
Clyde Wright '16 [4, 7-8, 11-12]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors No Show No Show

Conditions — 01/31/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1024.3 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1024.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Preparato: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Preparato by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Shorecrest Preparato, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →