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Texas High School Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 25 21 46
2 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 26 36 62
3 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 31 33 64
4 Episcopal High School Episcopal High School Varsity 53 44 97
5 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 4 56 58 114
6 St. Thomas' Episcopal St. Thomas' Episcopal Saints 61 60 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 4 1 1 2 5 2 1 4 1 1 1 2 25 Dane Byerly '16
Brandon Garcia '16
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 1 2 3 1 4 3 2 1 3 2 3 1 26 Marcus Abate '16
Emily Gueldner '16
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 2 4 4 3 1 1 3 3 2 3 2 3 31 Anna Willits '17
Philip Adams '18
Episcopal High School Episcopal High School Varsity 6 5 2 4 3 4 5 6 4 4 4 6 53 Macey Ann Mccann '16
Andrew Emerson '15
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 4 3 6 6 6 2 5 4 2 5 6 6 5 56 Doug Byerly '18
No Show
St. Thomas' Episcopal St. Thomas' Episcopal Saints 5 3 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 5 5 4 61 Celia Houston '19
Hugh Clarke '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 21 Hunter Skinner '16
Laura Masterson '16
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 1 1 4 1 4 4 2 5 1 2 4 4 33 Julia Sheaffer '18
Sara Tahir '16
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 5 6 2 3 3 2 36 Alex Abate '18
Jack Stancil '18
Episcopal High School Episcopal High School Varsity 4 4 1 5 3 5 4 3 6 4 2 3 44 Richard Marshall Mccann '18 [1-7]
Thomas Ford Mccann '18 [8-12]
Morgan Mckee '18 [1-7]
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 4 6 6 5 4 5 2 6 4 4 6 5 5 58 Alexander Hankins '18
No Show
St. Thomas' Episcopal St. Thomas' Episcopal Saints 5 5 6 6 6 6 3 1 5 5 6 6 60 Celia Houston '19
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 1112233445566
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 2223344556611
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 3334455661122
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 4445566112233
Episcopal High SchoolEpiscopal High School Varsity556611223344
St. Thomas' EpiscopalSt. Thomas' Episcopal Saints661122334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 1112233445566
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 2223344556611
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 3334455661122
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights 4445566112233
Episcopal High SchoolEpiscopal High School Varsity556611223344
St. Thomas' EpiscopalSt. Thomas' Episcopal Saints661122334455

Conditions — 03/07/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1030.4 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From ENE (69°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1030.4 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn · E 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clear Falls: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clear Falls by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Clear Falls, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →