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2016 North Points 6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 10 13 23
2 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 22 14 36
3 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 27 23 50
4 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 18 36 54
5 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 22 40 62
6 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 42 22 64
7 Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 48 39 87
8 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 31 58 89
9 Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 35 64 99
10 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 67 39 106
11 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 67 41 108
12 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors 60 49 109
13 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 55 56 111
14 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 63 58 121
15 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 56 69 125
16 Pamlico County High School Pamlico County High School Hurricanes 74 70 144
17 SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 70 75 145
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 1 3 2 3 1 10 Josh Dochoda '16
Andreea Ranney-Pace '16
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 4 2 6 1 5 18 Telmo Basterra '17
Emmie Landford '16
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 3 1 7 9 2 22 Kyle Mergenthaler '16
Mackie Conner '16
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 10 4 3 2 3 22 Austin Ando '17
Hunter Moore '16
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 7 8 1 5 6 27 Walter Gnann '17 [1-5]
Luke Mcguire '18 [1-2]
Jacob Lawson '18 [3-5]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 13 5 5 4 4 31 Valerio Petris '16
Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 2 9 10 7 7 35 G. Alex White '16
David Robertson '17
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 5 7 9 12 9 42 Adam Larson '19
Jackson Sippe '17
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 6 6 14 11 11 48 Levi Hencke '18
Lia Osborne '16
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 11 12 16 8 8 55 Croix Farmer '17
Caroline Puckette '16
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 9 13 8 14 12 56 Benjamin Smith '22
Polk Baggett '22
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors 12 16 4 15 13 60 Sam Cabiness '16
Addison Haly '17
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 15 11 15 6 16 63 Noah Benton '18
Victoria Marinoff '18
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 16 14 13 10 14 67 Matthew Chenard '17
William Bowden '16
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 17 10 17 13 10 67 Elizabeth Walters '16
Mary Hope Chakeris '18
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 8 15 11 DNF DNS 70 Sarah Deloach '17
Mccormick Emge '18
Pamlico County High School Pamlico County High School Hurricanes 14 17 12 16 15 74 Alexis Edwards '16
Caroline James '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 1 3 1 6 2 13 Hannah Steadman '16
Lily Schneider '19
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 4 4 4 1 1 14 Cameron Gise '16
James Renneker '18
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 3 2 3 11 3 22 Kenny Corsig '19
Nathan Guptill '19
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 5 7 2 3 6 23 Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-5]
Sarah Suber '18 [1-2]
Chris Hoogenboom '18 [3-5]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 7 1 10 7 11 36 Griffin Stevenson '17
Olivia Pruitt '17
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 2 8 7 9 13 39 Kelsey Ferguson '18
Emma Richardson '17
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 10 15 6 4 4 39 Jacob Thompson '18
Declan O'Dell '18
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity DSQ 5 5 5 7 40 Garrett Mergenthaler '19
Jason Perryman '17
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 13 10 8 2 8 41 Ann Sheridan '18
Elizabeth Ouzts '17
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors 9 6 13 16 5 49 Chris Chaplin '16 [1-5]
Sarah Harrington '18 [1-2, 5]
Allie Ugur '17 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 16 9 11 8 12 56 Jordan Newland '18 [1-5]
Britton Durst '19 [1-2]
Megan Fetterley '19 [3-5]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 8 12 12 10 16 58 Michael Lane '17
Sadie Ingram '17
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 11 11 9 12 15 58 Noah Giltmier '18
Anna Sandor '18
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 12 13 15 14 10 64 Gareth Ferguson '19
Ryan Wheeler '19
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 14 17 14 15 9 69 Mairead Benson '22
William Lewis '21
Pamlico County High School Pamlico County High School Hurricanes 6 14 16 17 17 70 Ben Bruno '18
Alden Sylvester '18
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 15 16 17 13 14 75 Frances Hart '19
Kate Sherman '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors31312294
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers1133111
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity2294944
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity33111111327
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity9494445
SOA Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity1010111131
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity1111113273276
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity44557
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity327327668
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats55779
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs668810
Pamlico County High SchoolPamlico County High School Hurricanes779914
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity88101011
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity99141412
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers141412121
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw High School111131312
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors1212113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors1133111
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers2294944
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity33111111327
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity9494445
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity1111113273276
SOA Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity141412121
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity44557
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity327327668
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity55779
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats668810
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs779914
Pamlico County High SchoolPamlico County High School Hurricanes88101011
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity99141412
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity1010111131
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers111131312
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw High School1212113
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors31312294
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Sam Cabiness '16 Addison Haly '17
Raptors Chris Chaplin '16 [1-5] Sarah Harrington '18 [1-2, 5]
Allie Ugur '17 [3-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Elizabeth Walters '16 Mary Hope Chakeris '18
Panthers Ann Sheridan '18 Elizabeth Ouzts '17
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Walter Gnann '17 [1-5] Luke Mcguire '18 [1-2]
Jacob Lawson '18 [3-5]
Varsity Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-5] Sarah Suber '18 [1-2]
Chris Hoogenboom '18 [3-5]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Benjamin Smith '22 Polk Baggett '22
CFA Varsity Mairead Benson '22 William Lewis '21
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Levi Hencke '18 Lia Osborne '16
Varsity Kelsey Ferguson '18 Emma Richardson '17
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts G. Alex White '16 David Robertson '17
Varsity Gareth Ferguson '19 Ryan Wheeler '19
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Telmo Basterra '17 Emmie Landford '16
Varsity Griffin Stevenson '17 Olivia Pruitt '17
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Croix Farmer '17 Caroline Puckette '16
Varsity Jordan Newland '18 [1-5] Britton Durst '19 [1-2]
Megan Fetterley '19 [3-5]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Matthew Chenard '17 William Bowden '16
Wildcats Jacob Thompson '18 Declan O'Dell '18
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Adam Larson '19 Jackson Sippe '17
Mustangs Kenny Corsig '19 Nathan Guptill '19
Pamlico County High School Pamlico County High School Alexis Edwards '16 Caroline James '19
Hurricanes Ben Bruno '18 Alden Sylvester '18
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Kyle Mergenthaler '16 Mackie Conner '16
Varsity Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Jason Perryman '17
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Valerio Petris '16 Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Varsity Michael Lane '17 Sadie Ingram '17
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts Sarah Deloach '17 Mccormick Emge '18
SOA Varsity Frances Hart '19 Kate Sherman '17
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Josh Dochoda '16 Andreea Ranney-Pace '16
Chargers Hannah Steadman '16 Lily Schneider '19
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Noah Benton '18 Victoria Marinoff '18
Waccamaw High School Noah Giltmier '18 Anna Sandor '18
Wando High School Wando High School Austin Ando '17 Hunter Moore '16
Wando Warriors Cameron Gise '16 James Renneker '18

Conditions — 03/12/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From SE (145°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1021.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pine Lake Prep: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pine Lake Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Pine Lake Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →