May Madness

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 15 34 49
2 Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Spartans 33 47 80
3 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 44 56 100
4 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 84 31 115
5 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 72 46 118
6 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 76 59 135
7 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 63 95 158
8 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 54 107 161
9 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 117 94 211
10 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 137 84 221
11 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 71 153 224
12 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 114 115 229
13 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 112 124 236
14 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 130 114 244
15 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 129 117 246
16 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 169 162 331
17 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 157 178 335
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 15 Alex Keck '17 [1-10]
Alex Guindon '17 [1-6]
Jane Rogers '17 [7-10]
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Spartans 8 3 3 9 2 1 2 3 1 1 33 Tommy Rorrer '18 [1-10]
Meg Traska '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Jack Scherer '21 [7-8]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 5 4 4 2 4 6 3 4 6 6 44 Peter Odom '17 [1-10]
Caroline Bernet '17 [1-2, 7-10]
Caroline Fairbanks '17 [3-6]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 2 1 5 12 6 4 8 5 8 3 54 Patrick Schmidt '17
Erin Schaubel '18
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 4 10 2 3 3 9 11 7 5 9 63 Jemima Korbel '18
Ari Greenberg '18
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 9 6 8 6 8 8 6 6 7 7 71 Alexander Bonsager '20
Lauren Geib '18
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 6 11 10 7 5 10 4 10 4 5 72 Cj Enright '17
Evan Fallon '18
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 10 8 6 5 7 3 10 9 10 8 76 Sam Morin '18
Emerson Wright '19
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 3 5 9 DNF DNS DNS 5 1 3 4 84 Peter Reckamp '16 [1-10]
Will Flocco '16 [1-6]
Natalie Shilati '16 [7-8]
Genevieve Lee '16 [9-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 13 13 DNS 4 10 7 12 14 9 12 112 Han-Ray Jahn '17 [1-10]
Lilly Allen '19 [1-2]
Sam Pascal '18 [3-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 12 7 DNS 8 9 5 14 13 17 11 114 Austin Suvari '19 [1-10]
Aj Brown '18 [1-8]
Paul Clark '17 [9-10]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 14 9 13 10 12 11 13 8 13 14 117 Will Plovanic '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Zach Nagel '19 [3-4]
Haden Wright '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Nathan Whisner '19 [3-4]
George Geroulis '19 [9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 7 12 11 DNF DNS DNS 7 11 12 15 129 Genna Viggiano '18
Kristen Geib '20
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 16 16 7 DNS DNF 13 9 12 11 10 130 Will Grosspietsch '18
Wagner Emma '20
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 11 14 12 11 11 DSQ 15 16 16 13 137 Greg Wootton '19 [1-10]
Grayson Hunter '19 [1-6]
Elle Schoonveld '19 [7-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 15 15 DNS DNS 13 12 OCS 17 14 17 157 Gregor Leech '18 [1-10]
Susie Driscoll '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Claire Russell '18 [3-6, 9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 DNF 17 DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 15 15 16 169 Andrew Lestingi '17
Caroline Yardley '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 1 3 2 2 2 2 2 6 2 7 3 31 Zachary Miller '16 [1-10]
Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [1-2, 9-10]
Owen Hall '16 [3-8]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School VARSITY OCS 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 34 Christian Spencer '18
Myles Murphy '16
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 4 7 5 7 4 5 2 6 4 2 46 David Phlamm '18 [1-10]
Berenger Jeannides '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Mitchell Thompson '19 [3-6]
Cameron Wright '18 [7-8]
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Spartans 1 1 7 9 6 4 3 3 8 5 47 Reed Weston '19
Karson Mraz '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 5 5 4 3 3 3 9 5 10 9 56 Owen Patterson '19
No Show
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 2 3 3 5 11 9 5 11 2 8 59 Lillian Nemeth '18
Matteo Torquati '19
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Varsity 13 9 13 DNF 5 6 4 4 6 6 84 Preston Anderson '18 [1-10]
Elle Schoonveld '19 [1-2]
Will Alter '19 [3-4]
Grace Rigas '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Laurel Schenkman '18 [7-8]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 8 6 10 8 9 10 11 15 5 12 94 Noah Barton '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Nathan Whisner '19 [7-8]
George Geroulis '19 [1-6]
Zach Nagel '19 [7-10]
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 10 13 8 6 7 7 14 12 11 7 95 Aidan Lallas '18
Alexander Cato '19
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 2 6 14 9 DNF 8 11 10 9 9 13 107 Megan Grosspietsch '16
Chloe Frentzel '17
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 1 7 12 11 DNF 10 8 7 16 14 11 114 Graves Anna '18
Odeja Ryan '19
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 2 DNF 10 DNF 4 13 12 13 14 3 10 115 Nick Ingraffia '17 [1-10]
Paul Clark '17 [1-6]
Ryan Henderson '19 [7-8]
Aj Brown '18 [9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 4 6 DNF DNS DNS 8 7 12 14 117 Olivia Staruck '16
Annika Hsu '17
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Varsity 1 9 15 12 DNF 12 DNF 12 8 16 4 124 Will Robinson '18 [1-10]
Sam Callan '17 [1-8]
Lilly Allen '19 [9-10]
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 11 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS 16 13 15 15 153 Morgan Termaat '18 [1-10]
Morgan Brown '20 [1-8]
Lauren Geib '18 [9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 15 10 13 16 162 Katherine Lestingi '18 [1-10]
Caroline Schmidt '17 [1]
Caroline Hayes '18 [2-8]
Shannon Ogorzaly '18 [9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 17 17 DNS DNS 178 Bridget Falkenhayn '19
Maggie Bryne '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity1133557799
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons161611335577
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 1224466881010
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 2335577991111
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity44668810101212
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY55779911111313
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity6688101012121414
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 17799111113131515
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2881010121214141616
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 3991111131315151717
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs101012121414161611
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs111113131515171722
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1212141416161133
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 11313151517172244
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 214141616113355
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Spartans15151717224466
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity171722446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Varsity224466881010
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons171722446688
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 1335577991111
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Varsity 244668810101212
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity55779911111313
Kettle Moraine High SchoolKettle Moraine High School VARSITY6688101012121414
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity7799111113131515
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 1881010121214141616
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 2991111131315151717
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers 3101012121414161611
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs111113131515171722
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs1212141416161133
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1313151517172244
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 114141616113355
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons 215151717224466
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Spartans161611335577
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Greg Wootton '19 [1-10] Grayson Hunter '19 [1-6]
Elle Schoonveld '19 [7-10]
Varsity Preston Anderson '18 [1-10] Elle Schoonveld '19 [1-2]
Will Alter '19 [3-4]
Grace Rigas '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Laurel Schenkman '18 [7-8]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Han-Ray Jahn '17 [1-10] Lilly Allen '19 [1-2]
Sam Pascal '18 [3-10]
Varsity 1 Will Robinson '18 [1-10] Sam Callan '17 [1-8]
Lilly Allen '19 [9-10]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Austin Suvari '19 [1-10] Aj Brown '18 [1-8]
Paul Clark '17 [9-10]
Varsity 2 Nick Ingraffia '17 [1-10] Paul Clark '17 [1-6]
Ryan Henderson '19 [7-8]
Aj Brown '18 [9-10]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Cj Enright '17 Evan Fallon '18
Varsity David Phlamm '18 [1-10] Berenger Jeannides '18 [1-2, 9-10]
Mitchell Thompson '19 [3-6]
Cameron Wright '18 [7-8]
Kettle Moraine High School Kettle Moraine High School Alex Keck '17 [1-10] Alex Guindon '17 [1-6]
Jane Rogers '17 [7-10]
VARSITY Christian Spencer '18 Myles Murphy '16
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Jemima Korbel '18 Ari Greenberg '18
Varsity Aidan Lallas '18 Alexander Cato '19
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Peter Reckamp '16 [1-10] Will Flocco '16 [1-6]
Natalie Shilati '16 [7-8]
Genevieve Lee '16 [9-10]
Ramblers 1 Zachary Miller '16 [1-10] Gaby Ahlstrom '16 [1-2, 9-10]
Owen Hall '16 [3-8]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Andrew Lestingi '17 Caroline Yardley '16
Ramblers 2 Katherine Lestingi '18 [1-10] Caroline Schmidt '17 [1]
Caroline Hayes '18 [2-8]
Shannon Ogorzaly '18 [9-10]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Gregor Leech '18 [1-10] Susie Driscoll '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Claire Russell '18 [3-6, 9-10]
Ramblers 3 Bridget Falkenhayn '19 Maggie Bryne '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 Kristen Geib '20
Zephyrs Olivia Staruck '16 Annika Hsu '17
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Alexander Bonsager '20 Lauren Geib '18
Mustangs Morgan Termaat '18 [1-10] Morgan Brown '20 [1-8]
Lauren Geib '18 [9-10]
New Trier HS New Trier HS Will Plovanic '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Zach Nagel '19 [3-4]
Haden Wright '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Nathan Whisner '19 [3-4]
George Geroulis '19 [9-10]
Trevian Noah Barton '19 [1-6, 9-10]
Nathan Whisner '19 [7-8]
George Geroulis '19 [1-6]
Zach Nagel '19 [7-10]
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Will Grosspietsch '18 Wagner Emma '20
Raccoons 1 Graves Anna '18 Odeja Ryan '19
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Patrick Schmidt '17 Erin Schaubel '18
Raccoons 2 Megan Grosspietsch '16 Chloe Frentzel '17
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Tommy Rorrer '18 [1-10] Meg Traska '18 [1-6, 9-10]
Jack Scherer '21 [7-8]
Spartans Reed Weston '19 Karson Mraz '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Sam Morin '18 Emerson Wright '19
Maroons Lillian Nemeth '18 Matteo Torquati '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Peter Odom '17 [1-10] Caroline Bernet '17 [1-2, 7-10]
Caroline Fairbanks '17 [3-6]
Varsity Owen Patterson '19 No Show

Conditions — 05/14/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 32°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 29.4 kn
From NW (306°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine7.8 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn · NW 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Pewaukee Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pewaukee Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Pewaukee Yacht Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →