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Minnesota Boy's State Championship

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 16 16
2 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 3 22 22
3 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 24 24
4 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 30 30
5 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 30 30
6 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 37 37
7 Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Varsity 43 43
8 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 55 55
9 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 57 57
10 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 58 58
11 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 2 60 60
12 Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 69 69
13 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 73 73
14 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 3 76 76
15 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 1 85 85
16 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 92 92
17 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 4 97 97
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 7 1 1 1 5 1 16 Samuel Bartel '18
Erik Sundberg '17
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 3 3 4 2 2 8 3 22 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Chase Blum '18
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 6 9 3 1 4 24 Toby Sullivan '19
Josh Sullivan '16
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 2 2 6 5 4 11 30 Jack Indritz '17 [1-4]
Alexander Bonsager '20 [5-6]
Alexander Bonsager '20 [1-4]
Jack Indritz '17 [5-6]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 5 3 14 4 2 2 30 Jason Davis '17
Gints Pelecis '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 6 8 3 11 3 6 37 Wiley Hunt '19
Theo Odermann '21
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Varsity 4 9 4 6 11 9 43 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Michael Dowson '19
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 8 13 5 10 12 7 55 George Moore '20
Chip Specker '19
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 17 10 8 8 9 5 57 Ethan Staruck '19
Charlie Wagner '16
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 10 7 15 7 7 12 58 Simon Rothman '17
Remi Clark '20
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 2 13 5 10 12 10 10 60 Walker Mullin '19
Jacob Zagaros '19
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 11 12 11 9 13 13 69 Benedict Sklaney '16
Sevrin Weed '18
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 15 14 12 DNF 6 8 73 Erich Pinske '18
Archie Bolgar '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 3 9 16 7 14 14 16 76 Grover Warner '19
Henry Chadbourn '18
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 1 12 15 16 13 15 14 85 Joey Simpson '17
Aaron Wachowiak '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 16 17 13 15 16 15 92 Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-3]
Ryan Bohara '18 [4-6]
Ryan Bohara '18 [1-3]
Lucas Haarstad '17 [4-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 4 14 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS 97 Austin Charrier '17
Jack Swenson '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red 1666666
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red 2252525252525
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy888888
Eden Prairie Sailing TeamEden Prairie Sailing Team Varsity555555
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity262626262626
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers111111111111
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs333333
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1444444
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2131313131313
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 3111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 4272727272727
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1292929292929
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2777777
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 3121212121212
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity303030303030
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy222222
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears101010101010
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 1 Joey Simpson '17 Aaron Wachowiak '19
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 2 Walker Mullin '19 Jacob Zagaros '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy Lucas Haarstad '17 [1-3]
Ryan Bohara '18 [4-6]		 Ryan Bohara '18 [1-3]
Lucas Haarstad '17 [4-6]
Eden Prairie Sailing Team Eden Prairie Sailing Team Varsity Matthew Kickhafer '19 Michael Dowson '19
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity George Moore '20 Chip Specker '19
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers Toby Sullivan '19 Josh Sullivan '16
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs Jack Indritz '17 [1-4]
Alexander Bonsager '20 [5-6]		 Alexander Bonsager '20 [1-4]
Jack Indritz '17 [5-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 Samuel Bartel '18 Erik Sundberg '17
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 Erich Pinske '18 Archie Bolgar '19
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 3 Seamus Hendrickson '21 Chase Blum '18
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 4 Austin Charrier '17 Jack Swenson '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 Jason Davis '17 Gints Pelecis '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 Simon Rothman '17 Remi Clark '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 3 Grover Warner '19 Henry Chadbourn '18
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity Benedict Sklaney '16 Sevrin Weed '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy Wiley Hunt '19 Theo Odermann '21
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears Ethan Staruck '19 Charlie Wagner '16

Conditions — 05/28/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1008.2 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From N (5°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1008.2 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnetonka: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnetonka by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Minnetonka, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →