Minnesota Conference Regatta Finale - Tier 3

HostLake Calhoun Sailing School
Date05/14/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Southwest Senior High School	Varsity	7	28	35
2	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	20	29	49
3	Orono High School	Scarlet 2	37	33	70
4	Wayzata High School	Trojans	37	43	80
5	Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	45	44	89
6	Stillwater High School	Varsity	58	34	92
7	Orono High School	Scarlet 1	55	38	93
8	Edina High School	Varsity	47	69	116
9	Mahtomedi	Mixed	65	62	127
10	White Bear Lake High School	Mixed	69	59	128
11	Washburn High School	Varsity	84	56	140
12	Benilde St Margarets	Red	63	80	143
13	Orono High School	Scarlet 3	77	75	152
14	Providence Academy	Mixed	82	109	191
15	Washburn High School	mixed	97	95	192

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Southwest Senior High School	Varsity	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	7	Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	3	4	4	3	2	2	2	20	Matthew Kickhafer '19 Connor Wacker '19
Wayzata High School	Trojans	4	2	8	6	9	3	5	37	Emma Aubuchon '18 Brianna Misk '17
Orono High School	Scarlet 2	5	6	6	2	3	7	8	37	Seamus Hendrickson '20 Helen Mcdonnell '17
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	2	9	5	4	7	8	10	45	Mike Johnson '17 [1-7] Annika Irene '19 [1-2, 5-7] Abby Sanders '19 [3-4]
Edina High School	Varsity	8	5	2	11	4	11	6	47	George Moore '19 Kate Higgins '18
Orono High School	Scarlet 1	14	3	3	10	5	4	DNS	55	Samuel Bartel '18 [1-7] Amanda Forsans '17 [1-2, 7] Louise Rosenbaum '20 [3-4] Megan Schoenzeit '21 [5-6]
Stillwater High School	Varsity	DNF	7	9	12	6	5	3	58	Brian Olson '18 [1-7] Katie Wallace '18 [1-4] Oscar Nemitz '20 [5-7]
Benilde St Margarets	Red	11	11	11	7	10	6	7	63	Walker Mullin '19 Caroline Murphy '17
Mahtomedi	Mixed	10	8	10	13	11	9	4	65	Vivian Bonsager '20 Clara Brown '18
White Bear Lake High School	Mixed	7	13	7	5	DNF	12	9	69	Jack Indritz '17 Addie Engebretson '18
Orono High School	Scarlet 3	6	10	12	8	12	15	14	77	Erik Sundberg '17 Mei Vickery '21
Providence Academy	Mixed	9	12	14	9	13	14	11	82	Eleanor Christianson '19 [1-7] Grace Van Dellen '18 [1-4, 7] Claire Christianson '18 [5-6]
Washburn High School	Varsity	12	14	13	14	8	10	13	84	Tighe Case '18 Jackson Lee '19
Washburn High School	mixed	13	15	15	15	14	13	12	97	Gints Pelecis '20 Henry Chadbourn '18

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Southwest Senior High School	Varsity	1	11	1	3	6	5	1	28	Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17 Remi Clark '19
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 1	11	4	5	2	1	1	5	29	Graham Ness '19 Charlie Dutton '19
Orono High School	Scarlet 2	2	10	3	5	5	6	2	33	Rachel Bartel '20 Kristin Berg '16
Stillwater High School	Varsity	8	3	6	7	2	4	4	34	Aidan Lundgren '21 [1-7] Nathan Bogel '20 [1-4] Katie Wallace '18 [5-7]
Orono High School	Scarlet 1	5	1	4	9	9	7	3	38	Erich Pinske '18 [1-7] Megan Schoenzeit '21 [1-2, 7] Amanda Forsans '17 [3-6]
Wayzata High School	Trojans	6	2	2	10	4	3	DNF	43	Wiley Hunt '19 Divya Periakaruppan '20
Minnetonka High School	Skippers 2	9	8	9	1	7	2	8	44	Henry Westlind '19 [1-7] Kacy Bryant '18 [1-4] Abby Sanders '19 [5-7]
Washburn High School	Varsity	4	9	7	12	10	8	6	56	Ben Ragus '20 Mason Pirner '20
White Bear Lake High School	Mixed	7	7	13	4	3	9	DSQ	59	Matt Dresen '20 Jack Elias '20
Mahtomedi	Mixed	3	5	11	8	13	10	12	62	Acadia Hegedus '18 Courtney Clark '17
Edina High School	Varsity	12	6	10	6	12	12	11	69	Grace Drought '19 Clare Leeper '19
Orono High School	Scarlet 3	10	DNF	8	13	8	13	7	75	Archie Bolgar '19 Jack Swenson '19
Benilde St Margarets	Red	14	12	12	11	11	11	9	80	Alex Saffert '20 Jacob Zagaros '19
Washburn High School	mixed	DNF	13	14	14	14	14	10	95	Eleanor Koster '15 [1-7] Safiya Easthousen '15 [1-2, 5-7] Anna Rose '15 [3-4]
Providence Academy	Mixed	13	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	109	Ryan Bohara '18 Claire Christianson '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.330+0.33

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Benilde St Margarets Red	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Edina High School Varsity	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Mahtomedi Mixed	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Orono High School Scarlet 1	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Orono High School Scarlet 2	21	21	21	21	21	21	21
Orono High School Scarlet 3	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Providence Academy Mixed	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Southwest Senior High School Varsity	22	22	22	22	22	22	22
Stillwater High School Varsity	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Washburn High School Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Washburn High School mixed	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Wayzata High School Trojans	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
White Bear Lake High School Mixed	19	19	19	19	19	19	19

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Benilde St Margarets Red	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Edina High School Varsity	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Mahtomedi Mixed	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Minnetonka High School Skippers 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Minnetonka High School Skippers 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Orono High School Scarlet 1	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Orono High School Scarlet 2	21	21	21	21	21	21	21
Orono High School Scarlet 3	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Providence Academy Mixed	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Southwest Senior High School Varsity	22	22	22	22	22	22	22
Stillwater High School Varsity	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Washburn High School Varsity	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Washburn High School mixed	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Wayzata High School Trojans	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
White Bear Lake High School Mixed	19	19	19	19	19	19	19

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Benilde St Margarets	Walker Mullin '19	Caroline Murphy '17
Red	Alex Saffert '20	Jacob Zagaros '19
Edina High School	George Moore '19	Kate Higgins '18
Varsity	Grace Drought '19	Clare Leeper '19
Mahtomedi	Vivian Bonsager '20	Clara Brown '18
Mixed	Acadia Hegedus '18	Courtney Clark '17
Minnetonka High School	Matthew Kickhafer '19	Connor Wacker '19
Skippers 1	Graham Ness '19	Charlie Dutton '19
Minnetonka High School	Mike Johnson '17 [1-7]	Annika Irene '19 [1-2, 5-7] Abby Sanders '19 [3-4]
Skippers 2	Henry Westlind '19 [1-7]	Kacy Bryant '18 [1-4] Abby Sanders '19 [5-7]
Orono High School	Samuel Bartel '18 [1-7]	Amanda Forsans '17 [1-2, 7] Louise Rosenbaum '20 [3-4] Megan Schoenzeit '21 [5-6]
Scarlet 1	Erich Pinske '18 [1-7]	Megan Schoenzeit '21 [1-2, 7] Amanda Forsans '17 [3-6]
Orono High School	Seamus Hendrickson '20	Helen Mcdonnell '17
Scarlet 2	Rachel Bartel '20	Kristin Berg '16
Orono High School	Erik Sundberg '17	Mei Vickery '21
Scarlet 3	Archie Bolgar '19	Jack Swenson '19
Providence Academy	Eleanor Christianson '19 [1-7]	Grace Van Dellen '18 [1-4, 7] Claire Christianson '18 [5-6]
Mixed	Ryan Bohara '18	Claire Christianson '18
Southwest Senior High School	Jason Davis '17	Madison Mott '17
Varsity	Lauritz (Lolo) Young-Walser '17	Remi Clark '19
Stillwater High School	Brian Olson '18 [1-7]	Katie Wallace '18 [1-4] Oscar Nemitz '20 [5-7]
Varsity	Aidan Lundgren '21 [1-7]	Nathan Bogel '20 [1-4] Katie Wallace '18 [5-7]
Washburn High School	Tighe Case '18	Jackson Lee '19
Varsity	Ben Ragus '20	Mason Pirner '20
Washburn High School	Gints Pelecis '20	Henry Chadbourn '18
mixed	Eleanor Koster '15 [1-7]	Safiya Easthousen '15 [1-2, 5-7] Anna Rose '15 [3-4]
Wayzata High School	Emma Aubuchon '18	Brianna Misk '17
Trojans	Wiley Hunt '19	Divya Periakaruppan '20
White Bear Lake High School	Jack Indritz '17	Addie Engebretson '18
Mixed	Matt Dresen '20	Jack Elias '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Minnesota Conference Regatta Finale - Tier 3

Division A

Division B

From the notes