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MN Conference #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 16 24 40
2 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 12 44 56
3 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 47 17 64
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 62 8 70
5 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 51 23 74
6 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 35 47 82
7 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Trojans 48 50 98
8 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 45 55 100
9 Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 76 45 121
10 Visitation School Visitation School Mixed 74 48 122
11 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School mixed 51 71 122
12 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 49 77 126
13 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 56 74 130
14 Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 69 76 145
15 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 82 71 153
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 2 1 2 1 4 2 12 Alexander Bonsager '20
Lauren Geib '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 1 8 1 2 1 3 16 Simon Rothman '17
Remi Clark '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 11 6 10 4 3 1 35 Toby Sullivan '18
Morgan Brown '20
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 8 4 4 5 7 DNF 45 Brian Olson '18
Brian Olson '18
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 5 11 9 3 14 5 47 Walker Mullin '19
Mei Vickery '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Trojans 3 12 6 7 10 10 48 Aidan Burke '18
Adam Hoffman '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 14 5 7 8 8 7 49 Henry Westlind '19
Hannah Dillahunt '17
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 7 OCS 3 13 5 6 51 Rachel Bartel '20
Kristin Berg '16
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School mixed 16 15 8 6 2 4 51 George Moore '19
Kate Higgins '18
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 12 3 5 11 16 9 56 Tighe Case '18
Jackson Lee '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 4 10 12 15 9 12 62 Michael Dowson '19
Abby Sanders '19
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 10 7 16 12 11 13 69 Lucas Haarstad '17
Cassie Ferguson '18
Visitation School Visitation School Mixed 13 9 15 10 13 14 74 Emily Shanley '17
Laurel Schreier '17
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 15 13 13 9 15 11 76 Eleanor Christianson '19
Claire Christianson '18
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 9 14 14 16 12 DNF 82 Ben Ragus '20
Phoenix Pham '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 1 1 1 1 2 8 Matthew Kickhafer '19 [1-6]
Annika Irene '19 [1-2]
Kacy Bryant '18 [3-6]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 6 2 2 2 4 1 17 Liam Long '17
Alex Saffert '20
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 4 4 8 3 3 23 Seamus Hendrickson '20
Louise Rosenbaum '20
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 4 3 3 5 5 4 24 Jason Davis '17
Madison Mott '17
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 7 7 6 9 6 9 44 Vivian Bonsager '20
Clara Brown '18
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 9 5 12 6 8 5 45 Adam Tronnes '20
Nathan Bogel '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 12 10 4 12 6 47 Genna Viggiano '18
Kristen Geib '20
Visitation School Visitation School Mixed 10 6 9 7 9 7 48 Matt Dresen '20
Jack Elias '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Trojans BYE 11 13 3 2 13 50 Wiley Hunt '19
Divya Periakaruppan '20
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Mixed 5 8 7 10 14 11 55 Katie Wallace '18
Leigh Marker '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School mixed 8 15 14 15 7 12 71 Chip Specker '19
Stephanie Daub '16
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 11 13 5 12 15 15 71 Nicole Guiliani '20
Clare Leeper '19
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 12 DNF 8 11 16 10 74 Sevrin Weed '18
Joshua Shepherd '15
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Navy 15 9 DNS DNS 10 8 76 Ryan Bohara '18 [1-6]
Ana Haarstad '19 [1-4]
Cassie Ferguson '18 [5-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 14 14 11 13 11 14 77 Charlie Dutton '19
Harrison Alderink '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy777777
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed111111111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers333333
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mixed111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet131313131313
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed555555
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity888888
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School mixed141414141414
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed151515151515
Visitation SchoolVisitation School Mixed181818181818
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed121212121212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Trojans171717171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Chanhassen High SchoolChanhassen High School Navy777777
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed444444
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed111111111111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers333333
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mixed111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet131313131313
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed555555
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity888888
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School mixed141414141414
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Mixed151515151515
Visitation SchoolVisitation School Mixed181818181818
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed121212121212
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Trojans171717171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Walker Mullin '19 Mei Vickery '21
Mixed Liam Long '17 Alex Saffert '20
Chanhassen High School Chanhassen High School Lucas Haarstad '17 Cassie Ferguson '18
Navy Ryan Bohara '18 [1-6] Ana Haarstad '19 [1-4]
Cassie Ferguson '18 [5-6]
Edina High School Edina High School Ben Ragus '20 Phoenix Pham '19
mixed Nicole Guiliani '20 Clare Leeper '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Toby Sullivan '18 Morgan Brown '20
Mixed Genna Viggiano '18 Kristen Geib '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Michael Dowson '19 Abby Sanders '19
Mixed Matthew Kickhafer '19 [1-6] Annika Irene '19 [1-2]
Kacy Bryant '18 [3-6]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Henry Westlind '19 Hannah Dillahunt '17
Skippers Charlie Dutton '19 Harrison Alderink '19
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Alexander Bonsager '20 Lauren Geib '17
Mixed Vivian Bonsager '20 Clara Brown '18
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Kristin Berg '16
Scarlet Seamus Hendrickson '20 Louise Rosenbaum '20
Providence Academy Providence Academy Eleanor Christianson '19 Claire Christianson '18
Mixed Adam Tronnes '20 Nathan Bogel '20
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Simon Rothman '17 Remi Clark '19
Varsity Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School George Moore '19 Kate Higgins '18
mixed Chip Specker '19 Stephanie Daub '16
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Brian Olson '18 Brian Olson '18
Mixed Katie Wallace '18 Leigh Marker '17
Visitation School Visitation School Emily Shanley '17 Laurel Schreier '17
Mixed Matt Dresen '20 Jack Elias '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Tighe Case '18 Jackson Lee '19
mixed Sevrin Weed '18 Joshua Shepherd '15
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Aidan Burke '18 Adam Hoffman '18
Trojans Wiley Hunt '19 Divya Periakaruppan '20

Conditions — 05/07/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1009.2 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From NE (53°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.3 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1009.2 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Chanhassen/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →