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MN State Coed Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 11 33 44
2 Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 31 22 53
3 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 29 36 65
4 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 52 19 71
5 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 45 35 80
6 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 44 59 103
7 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 56 63 119
8 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 58 62 120
9 Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 79 77 156
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 11 Samuel Bartel '18 [1-9]
Erik Sundberg '17 [1-2, 5-9]
Amanda Forsans '17 [3-4]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 4 2 5 1 4 6 2 3 2 29 Kate Cox '16
Olivia Staruck '16
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 2 7 3 2 2 4 3 2 6 31 Jason Davis '17
Madison Mott '17
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 5 4 4 4 6 5 6 7 3 44 Genna Viggiano '18
Kristen Geib '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 3 8 2 9 5 3 4 4 7 45 Izzi Boo '16 [1-9]
Annika Hsu '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Morgan Brown '20 [3-4, 9]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 7 3 7 5 3 2 8 8 9 52 Seamus Hendrickson '20 [1-9]
Helen Mcdonnell '17 [1-2, 5-9]
Chase Blum '18 [3-4]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 8 5 6 6 8 7 5 6 5 56 Walker Mullin '19
Caroline Murphy '17
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 6 6 8 7 7 8 7 5 4 58 George Moore '19
Kate Higgins '18
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 9 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 8 79 Benedict Sklaney '16
Meghan Reed '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 1 1 1 4 3 1 2 3 3 19 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-9]
Kristin Berg '16 [1-4, 7-9]
Chase Blum '18 [5-6]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Varsity 3 3 3 1 2 3 1 2 4 22 Simon Rothman '17
Remi Clark '19
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 RAF 5 2 2 4 4 4 1 1 33 Erich Pinske '18 [1-9]
Archie Bolgar '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Amanda Forsans '17 [5-6, 9]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 4 2 4 5 5 2 5 6 2 35 Clara Brown '18
Lauren Geib '17
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 2 4 5 3 1 6 3 5 7 36 Ethan Staruck '18
Charlie Wagner '16
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 5 8 DNF BKD 7 5 8 4 5 59 Acadia Hegedus '18
Courtney Clark '17
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 7 7 7 6 8 7 6 8 6 62 Grace Drought '19
Clare Leeper '19
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 6 6 6 7 6 8 9 7 8 63 Alex Saffert '20
Jacob Zagaros '19
Washburn High School Washburn High School Varsity 8 9 8 9 9 9 7 9 9 77 Eleanor Koster '15
Safiya Easthousen '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red22446611111
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity3355101012122
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 144661111113
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 25510101212224
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 166111111335
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 21010121222446
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity111111335510
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity121222446611
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears113355101012

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red113355101012
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity22446611111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 13355101012122
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs 244661111113
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 15510101212224
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 266111111335
Southwest Senior High SchoolSouthwest Senior High School Varsity1010121222446
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Varsity111111335510
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears121222446611
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Walker Mullin '19 Caroline Murphy '17
Red Alex Saffert '20 Jacob Zagaros '19
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '19 Kate Higgins '18
Varsity Grace Drought '19 Clare Leeper '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 Kristen Geib '20
Zephyrs 1 Acadia Hegedus '18 Courtney Clark '17
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Izzi Boo '16 [1-9] Annika Hsu '17 [1-2, 5-8]
Morgan Brown '20 [3-4, 9]
Zephyrs 2 Clara Brown '18 Lauren Geib '17
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Bartel '18 [1-9] Erik Sundberg '17 [1-2, 5-9]
Amanda Forsans '17 [3-4]
Scarlet 1 Erich Pinske '18 [1-9] Archie Bolgar '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Amanda Forsans '17 [5-6, 9]
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '20 [1-9] Helen Mcdonnell '17 [1-2, 5-9]
Chase Blum '18 [3-4]
Scarlet 2 Rachel Bartel '20 [1-9] Kristin Berg '16 [1-4, 7-9]
Chase Blum '18 [5-6]
Southwest Senior High School Southwest Senior High School Jason Davis '17 Madison Mott '17
Varsity Simon Rothman '17 Remi Clark '19
Washburn High School Washburn High School Benedict Sklaney '16 Meghan Reed '15
Varsity Eleanor Koster '15 Safiya Easthousen '15
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Kate Cox '16 Olivia Staruck '16
Bears Ethan Staruck '18 Charlie Wagner '16

Conditions — 05/29/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1013.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/White Bear Lake: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Mahtomedi/Mounds Park Academy/Mounds View/White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →